Regular Season - 35 · 25 November 2026, 15:00 UTC

Dinamo Batumi vs Dila Erovnuli Liga prediction

Batumi Arena, Batumi

Our model says: Dinamo Batumi 2–1 Dila

The model makes it 46% Dinamo Batumi, 26% draw, 28% Dila — fair odds of 2.17, 3.85 and 3.57.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

Expected goals: Dinamo Batumi 1.81, Dila 1.29.

Both teams to score: 61%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%, under 2.5: 40%.

Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,920 settled matches.

Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.

Published · updated

Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 12 November 2026. Dinamo Batumi's rating is built from 68 Erovnuli Liga matches and Dila's from 68, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 528 matches.

Key facts

  • Dinamo Batumi are top on 59 points from 32 games; Dila are 6th on 40 points from 32 games — Erovnuli Liga.
  • Dinamo Batumi have won 4 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-3 defeat away to Spaeri.
  • Dila have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 0-2 defeat at home to Dinamo Tbilisi.
  • Last 6 meetings: Dila 3 wins to 2, 1 draw; the most recent, 28 October 2026, ended Dinamo Batumi 3–1 Dila.

More Erovnuli Liga predictions

All Erovnuli Liga predictions →

Live win probability

From kick-off

From kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.

Model insights: Dinamo Batumi vs Dila

61%
Both teams to score
60%
Over 2.5 goals
40%
Under 2.5 goals

Most likely scorelines

Dinamo Batumi win Draw Dila win
  1. 1–111%
  2. 2–110%
  3. 1–08%
  4. 2–07%
  5. 1–27%
  6. 2–26%
  7. 3–16%

Scores read Dinamo Batumi first; the other scorelines share the remaining 45%. How to read this.

Has the model earned this number?

Dinamo Batumi at 46%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Form going into Dinamo Batumi vs Dila

Dinamo Batumi

Erovnuli Liga

  • L2-3away to Spaeri7 November 2026
  • W1-0Meshakhte1 November 2026
  • W3-0Samgurali24 October 2026
  • W3-1away to Gagra17 October 2026
  • W1-0Dinamo Tbilisi11 October 2026

Dila

Erovnuli Liga

  • L0-2Dinamo Tbilisi8 November 2026
  • L1-2away to Torpedo Kutaisi2 November 2026
  • L1-2away to Meshakhte24 October 2026
  • L0-2FC Iberia 199919 October 2026
  • L1-3away to Rustavi10 October 2026

What these results say

  • Dinamo Batumi scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Dinamo Batumi won 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Dila did not win any of these 5 matches.
  • Dila conceded in every one of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Erovnuli Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Dinamo Batumi3217875640+1659
6Dila32124164141040

Where the two sides stand. Full table

What's at stake

Dinamo Batumi

Chance to finish top of the regular season · 21% today

Win 30%
Draw 14%
Defeat 8%

From our Erovnuli Liga season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.

Head-to-head: Dinamo Batumi vs Dila

  • 28 October 2026Dinamo Batumi 3–1 DilaDavid Kipiani Cup
  • 13 September 2026Dila 2–2 Dinamo BatumiErovnuli Liga
  • 12 June 2026Dinamo Batumi 3–2 DilaErovnuli Liga
  • 22 April 2026Dila 1–0 Dinamo BatumiErovnuli Liga
  • 21 November 2025Dinamo Batumi 1–2 DilaErovnuli Liga
  • 14 September 2025Dila 2–0 Dinamo BatumiErovnuli Liga

The rest of the season

Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Dinamo Batumi a 21.2% chance of the title and Dila 0%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Dinamo Batumi Dila
0.62 Attack strength (vs league average) 0.54
1.87 Defence strength (vs league average, lower = stronger) 1.96
1.81 Model expected goals (this match) 1.29

Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Dinamo Batumi the highest probability at 46%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.81 expected goals for Dinamo Batumi against 1.29 for Dila. Dinamo Batumi's attack/defence rating is 0.62/1.87 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.54/1.96 for Dila.

Dinamo Batumi carry a model rating of 6.3 against 6.21 for Dila. A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.

How the model reaches 46% for Dinamo Batumi to win

Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Dinamo Batumi to win. Then home advantage adds 4 points, the level of the two sides adds 1 point, Dinamo Batumi's ratings add 3 points and Dila's ratings add 2 points, which lands on the published 46%.

  1. Two average sides, neutral ground36%
  2. Home advantage40%+4
  3. Both sides at this match's level41%+1
  4. Dinamo Batumi's ratings44%+3
  5. Dila's ratings46%+2

Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.

Season stats

Dinamo BatumiDila
32Matches32
17W 8D 7LRecord12W 4D 16L
56 1.8 per gameGoals scored41 1.3 per game
40 1.3 per gameGoals conceded41 1.3 per game
10 of 32Clean sheets8 of 32
6 of 32Failed to score8 of 32
7 of 7Penalties scored2 of 2
66 2.1 per gameYellow cards72 2.3 per game
3Red cards4
4-2-3-1 6×Usual shape3-4-1-2 9×

Dinamo Batumi at home · Dila away

16Played16
11W 3D 2LRecord6W 0D 10L
31–18Goals for – against21–23
6 of 16Clean sheets3 of 16

League matches only, Erovnuli Liga, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.

Goals scored and conceded, by minute

All Erovnuli Liga matches this season: Dinamo Batumi 32, Dila 32.

Dinamo Batumi scored 121112777
Dila conceded 55761010
Dila scored 499368
Dinamo Batumi conceded 24671011

League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.

The next 2 matches, by difficulty

Dinamo Batumi

  • at FC Iberia 199930 Nov · Erovnuli Ligawin 29%
  • at Torpedo Kutaisi5 Dec · Erovnuli Ligawin 36%

Dila

  • vs Samgurali30 Nov · Erovnuli Ligawin 49%
  • vs Spaeri5 Dec · Erovnuli Ligawin 49%

Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.