GO Ahead Eagles 3–2 Telstar: how the model saw it
GO Ahead Eagles 3–2 Telstar finished with GO Ahead Eagles winning. The model had the right result: it gave that outcome 48%, though it expected 2-1 rather than 3–2.
More →GO Ahead Eagles 3–2 Telstar finished with GO Ahead Eagles winning. The model had the right result: it gave that outcome 48%, though it expected 2-1 rather than 3–2.
More →Cruzeiro go into this one as a clear favourite by our numbers: 61%, which is fair odds of 1.64. Our published scoreline is 2-0 — the likeliest exact score within that result rather than across the whole match — and the model gives Remo 17% to win outright.
More →Our model leans to Gimnasia La Plata here, but not by much: 46% (fair odds 2.17) against 27% for the draw. Published scoreline: 2-1, the likeliest exact score within that result.
More →Our model leans to Gimnasia Mendoza here, but not by much: 47% (fair odds 2.13) against 30% for the draw. Published scoreline: 1-0, the likeliest exact score within that result.
More →Our model leans to Barcelona here, but not by much: 48% (fair odds 2.08) against 25% for the draw. Published scoreline: 2-1, the likeliest exact score within that result.
More →Crystal Palace host Newcastle in a game our model cannot separate: 38% for the home side, 25% for the draw and 37% for the visitors.
More →Liverpool host Brighton in a game our model cannot separate: 34% for the home side, 26% for the draw and 40% for the visitors.
More →Bayern München 2–2 Arsenal finished with a draw. The model got this one wrong. It leaned to Bayern München at 47%, and rated the actual result at 25%.
More →Real Betis 1–0 Feyenoord finished with Real Betis winning. The model had the right result: it gave that outcome 48%, though it expected 2-1 rather than 1–0.
More →Atlas 2–5 Club America finished with Club America winning. The model had the right result: it gave that outcome 43%, though it expected 1-2 rather than 2–5.
More →Juventus 2–2 Rennes finished with a draw. The model got this one wrong. It leaned to Juventus at 59%, and rated the actual result at 22%.
More →Palmeiras 0–1 Fluminense finished with Fluminense winning. The model got this one wrong. It leaned to Palmeiras at 57%, and rated the actual result at 17%.
More →Sturm Graz 1–0 Marseille finished with Sturm Graz winning. The model got this one wrong. It leaned to Marseille at 42%, and rated the actual result at 31%.
More →Al-Ahli Jeddah go into this one as a clear favourite by our numbers: 67%, which is fair odds of 1.49. Our published scoreline is 2-1 — the likeliest exact score within that result rather than across the whole match — and the model gives Al Khaleej Saihat 14% to win outright.
More →Our model leans to Manchester City here, but not by much: 51% (fair odds 1.96) against 24% for the draw. Published scoreline: 1-2, the likeliest exact score within that result.
More →Coventry host Fulham in a game our model cannot separate: 34% for the home side, 29% for the draw and 37% for the visitors.
More →Our model leans to AS Roma here, but not by much: 43% (fair odds 2.33) against 30% for the draw. Published scoreline: 0-1, the likeliest exact score within that result.
More →Paris Saint Germain 4–2 Barcelona finished with Paris Saint Germain winning. The model had the right result: it gave that outcome 41%, though it expected 2-1 rather than 4–2.
More →Atletico San Luis 2–1 Club Queretaro finished with Atletico San Luis winning. The model had the right result: it gave that outcome 43%, though it expected 1-0 rather than 2–1.
More →Como 4–1 Manchester United finished with Como winning. The model had the right result: it gave that outcome 50%, though it expected 2-1 rather than 4–1.
More →