GO Ahead Eagles
vs
Telstar
Eredivisie prediction
Our model says: GO Ahead Eagles 2–1 Telstar
The model makes it 51% GO Ahead Eagles, 24% draw, 25% Telstar — fair odds of 1.96, 4.17 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: GO Ahead Eagles 1.98, Telstar 1.23.
Both teams to score: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%, under 2.5: 38%.
Model confidence: High.
Edge to GO Ahead Eagles: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published · updated
Match centre: line-ups, live score and match stats →
Key facts
- GO Ahead Eagles are 8th on 11 points from 8 games; Telstar are 15th on 6 points from 8 games — Eredivisie.
- GO Ahead Eagles have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 3-3 draw at home to Sparta Rotterdam.
- Telstar have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 2-2 draw at home to ADO Den Haag.
- Last 6 meetings: GO Ahead Eagles 3 wins to 2, 1 draw; the most recent, 8 February 2026, ended GO Ahead Eagles 1–1 Telstar.
More Eredivisie predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: GO Ahead Eagles vs Telstar
Has the model earned this number?
It puts GO Ahead Eagles at 51% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 872 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into GO Ahead Eagles vs Telstar
GO Ahead Eagles
- D3-3Sparta Rotterdam10 October 2026
- D1-1away to NEC Nijmegen20 September 2026
- D1-1Groningen12 September 2026
- D3-3away to Utrecht8 September 2026
- L2-5away to AZ Alkmaar29 August 2026
Telstar
- D2-2ADO Den Haag11 October 2026
- L0-1away to AZ Alkmaar20 September 2026
- D0-0away to Heerenveen13 September 2026
- L0-1away to Twente9 September 2026
- D2-2Cambuur6 September 2026
What these results say
- GO Ahead Eagles did not win any of these 5 matches.
- GO Ahead Eagles scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- GO Ahead Eagles conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Telstar did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Telstar conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Eredivisie table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | GO Ahead Eagles | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 17 | +2 | 11 |
| 15 | Telstar | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
GO Ahead Eagles
Chance to finish in the top four · 7% today
Telstar
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 18% today
From our Eredivisie season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. Each figure is that side's chance once this match ends in a win, a draw or a defeat for it, with every other match still left to the model. Positions in the table, not competition rules: what a place is worth differs from league to league.
Head-to-head: GO Ahead Eagles vs Telstar
GO Ahead Eagles and Telstar have met 6 times in the records we hold, GO Ahead Eagles has won 3 of them to Telstar's 2, with 1 drawn.
The record
They drew 1–1 at GO Ahead Eagles on 8 Feb 2026.
| Club | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GO Ahead Eagles | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 |
| Telstar | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 |
Between them these 6 meetings produced 18 goals, an average of 3.00 a game.
Every meeting
Every recorded meeting, newest first.
- 8 Feb 2026
EredivisieGO Ahead Eagles 1–1 Telstar - 5 Feb 2026
KNVB BekerTelstar 2–1 GO Ahead Eagles - 28 Sep 2025
EredivisieTelstar 4–2 GO Ahead Eagles - 3 Jul 2024
Friendlies ClubsGO Ahead Eagles 3–0 Telstar - 13 Feb 2021
Eerste DivisieGO Ahead Eagles 1–0 Telstar - 10 Nov 2020
Eerste DivisieTelstar 1–2 GO Ahead Eagles
How the model rates them now
Attack and defence are multipliers on an average side: above 1.00 in attack means the club scores more than the average team in its competition, and below 1.00 in defence means it concedes fewer. The methodology sets out how they are derived, including where the model is known to be wrong.
| Club | Attack | Defence |
|---|---|---|
| GO Ahead Eagles | 0.94 | 1.23 |
| Telstar | 0.68 | 1.15 |
Leading scorers: GO Ahead Eagles and Telstar
GO Ahead Eagles
GoalsAssists
- S. Tengstedt62
- V. Edvardsen32
Telstar
No player in Eredivisie's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
GO Ahead Eagles carry a model rating of 6.72 against 6.59 for Telstar. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 1.98 goals for GO Ahead Eagles and 1.23 for Telstar. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
GO Ahead Eagles rate 0.94 in attack and 1.23 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Telstar rate 0.68 and 1.15.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives GO Ahead Eagles a 0.1% chance of the title and Telstar 0%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,771 correct results out of 3,709 settled predictions (48%), with 376 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives GO Ahead Eagles the highest probability at 51%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.98 expected goals for GO Ahead Eagles against 1.23 for Telstar. GO Ahead Eagles's attack/defence rating is 0.94/1.23 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.68/1.15 for Telstar.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
GO Ahead Eagles at home · Telstar away
League matches only, Eredivisie, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Position by match
GO Ahead EaglesTelstar
GO Ahead Eagles are 8th after 8 Eredivisie matches (between 2nd and 9th so far); Telstar are 15th after 8 (between 2nd and 15th). Rebuilt from the season's results after each side's matches (x-axis: that side's match number); ties split on goal difference, then goals scored.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Eredivisie matches this season: GO Ahead Eagles 8, Telstar 8.
GO Ahead Eagles score most often in the 61–75 minute window (6 goals); Telstar have let in 1 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
GO Ahead Eagles
- at Cambuur31 Oct · Eredivisiewin 44%
- at Excelsior7 Nov · Eredivisiewin 33%
- vs Fortuna Sittard22 Nov · Eredivisiewin 50%
- at PSV Eindhoven28 Nov · Eredivisiewin 13%
Telstar
- vs Almere City FC27 Oct · KNVB Bekerwin 46%
- vs Utrecht1 Nov · Eredivisiewin 39%
- at Fortuna Sittard7 Nov · Eredivisiewin 29%
- vs PEC Zwolle21 Nov · Eredivisiewin 53%
- at Excelsior28 Nov · Eredivisiewin 26%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.