Ipswich 1–1 Nottingham Forest: how the model saw it
Ipswich 1–1 Nottingham Forest finished with a draw. The model got this one wrong. It leaned to Ipswich at 38%, and rated the actual result at 27%.
More →Ipswich 1–1 Nottingham Forest finished with a draw. The model got this one wrong. It leaned to Ipswich at 38%, and rated the actual result at 27%.
More →Torino 3–2 Monza finished with Torino winning. The model had the right result: it gave that outcome 44%, though it expected 2-1 rather than 3–2.
More →Aston Villa 2–1 Manchester City finished with Aston Villa winning. The model got this one wrong. It leaned to Manchester City at 48%, and rated the actual result at 28%.
More →Atlante FC 0–1 Atletico San Luis finished with Atletico San Luis winning. The model got this one wrong. It leaned to Atlante FC at 37%, and rated the actual result at 34%.
More →Napoli 3–3 AS Roma finished with a draw. The model got this one wrong. It leaned to AS Roma at 43%, and rated the actual result at 28%.
More →Necaxa 1–1 FC Juarez finished with a draw. The model got this one wrong. It leaned to Necaxa at 52%, and rated the actual result at 25%.
More →Tigre 0–1 Atletico Tucuman finished with Atletico Tucuman winning. The model got this one wrong. It leaned to Tigre at 40%, and rated the actual result at 28%.
More →Our model leans to Internacional here, but not by much: 41% (fair odds 2.44) against 29% for the draw. Published scoreline: 1-0, the likeliest exact score within that result.
More →Our model leans to Mirassol here, but not by much: 45% (fair odds 2.22) against 29% for the draw. Published scoreline: 1-0, the likeliest exact score within that result.
More →Vitoria host Atletico Paranaense in a game our model cannot separate: 35% for the home side, 27% for the draw and 38% for the visitors.
More →Galatasaray host Fenerbahçe in a game our model cannot separate: 40% for the home side, 24% for the draw and 36% for the visitors.
More →Our model leans to Paris Saint Germain here, but not by much: 55% (fair odds 1.82) against 24% for the draw. Published scoreline: 2-1, the likeliest exact score within that result.
More →Our model leans to Benfica here, but not by much: 51% (fair odds 1.96) against 27% for the draw. Published scoreline: 0-1, the likeliest exact score within that result.
More →Our model leans to Sevilla here, but not by much: 51% (fair odds 1.96) against 25% for the draw. Published scoreline: 2-1, the likeliest exact score within that result.
More →Our model has a prediction for 410 matches this weekend (24-25 October), across 66 competitions. It is surest about Borac Banja Luka: 79% to beat Sloga Doboj, most likely 2-0. 45 matches are within three points either way, games where the draw is a real outcome.
More →The injury and suspension report covers 116 of the 410 matches on our board this weekend (24-25 October). Across them, 681 players are ruled out and 218 are doubtful. Newcastle Jets have the longest list: 11 players out for their match against Macarthur FC.
More →Bournemouth 3–0 AC Milan finished with Bournemouth winning. The model got this one wrong. It leaned to AC Milan at 41%, and rated the actual result at 32%.
More →Omonia Nicosia 1–4 Benfica finished with Benfica winning. The model had the right result: it gave that outcome 40%, though it expected 1-2 rather than 1–4.
More →Atletico Nacional 3–0 Deportivo Pasto finished with Atletico Nacional winning. The model had the right result: it gave that outcome 70%, though it expected 2-0 rather than 3–0.
More →Flamengo 0–0 Estudiantes La Plata finished with a draw. The model got this one wrong. It leaned to Flamengo at 66%, and rated the actual result at 22%.
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