Rochdale sit 20th in the League Two on 15 points from 14 matches, having scored 17 and conceded 26. On the model's scale they rate 0.47 in attack and 2.84 in defence (1.00 = an average top-flight side, lower defence is better), against League Two averages of 0.48 and 2.10: about average in attack, below it at the back. Across their last 5 league matches they have 2 draws and 3 defeats, most recently losing to Port Vale 2-4 away. That is 1.07 points a match, scoring 1.21 and conceding 1.86 per game across 4 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats. That leaves them 16 points behind Salford City at the top, in a table of 24. Among the 24 rated sides in the division that is the 11th-best attack and the 24th-best defence. They scored in 4 of those 5 and kept 0 clean sheets. Next they host York in the League Two on 14 November 2026, a match the model gives them 31%.
Model rating
One scale across every league we cover: 1.00 is an average top-flight side — how the ratings are built.
League Two table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Last 5 | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 25:15 | +10 | WWWWW | 31 |
| 2 | Barnet | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 28:18 | +10 | WLDWD | 26 |
| 3 | Walsall | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 21:12 | +9 | DDWLW | 22 |
| 4 | Crewe | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 17:17 | 0 | WWLLD | 22 |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23:25 | -2 | LLWWL | 21 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 24:18 | +6 | LLDWW | 20 |
| 7 | York | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 24:21 | +3 | DDWLL | 20 |
| 8 | Gillingham | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 20:19 | +1 | WLDLW | 20 |
| 9 | Accrington Stanley | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 23:17 | +6 | DWDWD | 19 |
| 10 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24:21 | +3 | DLDWL | 19 |
| 11 | Tranmere | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 19:17 | +2 | DLWDW | 19 |
| 12 | Exeter City | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 11:9 | +2 | WDWWL | 19 |
| 13 | Swindon Town | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | LDWDW | 19 |
| 14 | Newport County | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 20:17 | +3 | WDDLW | 18 |
| 15 | Shrewsbury | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17:22 | -5 | LWWDL | 18 |
| 16 | Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18:18 | 0 | DWLLW | 17 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | LLLDL | 16 |
| 18 | Oldham | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | WLDLW | 15 |
| 19 | Port Vale | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10:14 | -4 | WWDLW | 15 |
| 20 | Rochdale | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 17:26 | -9 | DLDLL | 15 |
| 21 | Northampton | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 9:10 | -1 | WLWDL | 14 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 18:25 | -7 | LLDDL | 12 |
| 23 | Colchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 12:19 | -7 | LDDLL | 12 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:21 | -8 | DLLDW | 9 |
- Promotion to League One
- League Two play-offs
- Relegation
Rochdale sit 20 of 24, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- L2-4away to Port Vale31 October 2026
- L0-5Accrington Stanley24 October 2026
- D2-2Grimsby20 October 2026
- L2-3away to Crewe17 October 2026
- D1-1away to Tranmere10 October 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Rochdale vs York
Rochdale host York at Spotland Stadium, Rochdale on 14 November 2026, 15:00 UTC. The model makes it 31% Rochdale, 24% draw and 45% York, with a most likely scoreline of 1-2. It projects 1.59 expected goals for Rochdale against 2.04. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 70% and over 2.5 goals at 70%.
Full preview and model analysis for Rochdale vs York
Recent meetings with York
- 25 April 2026Rochdale 1–1 YorkNational League
- 11 November 2025York 4–1 RochdaleNational League
- 11 October 2025Rochdale 1–2 YorkFA Cup
- 25 March 2025Rochdale 0–4 YorkNational League
- 20 August 2024York 1–0 RochdaleNational League
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.
Other results that matter to Rochdale
-
Walsall v Crawley Town · 3 October 2026
Rochdale fans want Walsall to win: that leaves Rochdale's risk of a bottom-two finish at 33.8%, against 38.2% if Crawley Town win (34.6% today).
Walsall win33.8%−0.8Draw35.0%+0.4Crawley Town win38.2%+3.6 -
Accrington Stanley v Salford City · 21 November 2026
Rochdale fans want Accrington Stanley to win: that leaves Rochdale's risk of a bottom-two finish at 32.8%, against 35.9% after a draw (34.6% today).
Accrington Stanley win32.8%−1.8Draw35.9%+1.3Salford City win35.7%+1.1 -
Crawley Town v Barnet · 24 November 2026
Rochdale fans want Barnet to win: that leaves Rochdale's risk of a bottom-two finish at 33.6%, against 36.7% if Crawley Town win (34.6% today).
Crawley Town win36.7%+2.1Draw35.4%+0.8Barnet win33.6%−1.0
From our season simulation, reading only the runs in which each result happened. A match is listed when it moves Rochdale's figure by 2 points or more and both halves of the runs agree on which result helps.
