Bristol Rovers sit 6th in the League Two on 12 points from 7 matches, having scored 12 and conceded 11. On the model's scale they rate 0.55 in attack and 2.13 in defence (1.00 = an average top-flight side, lower defence is better), against League Two averages of 0.50 and 2.09: above the division's average in attack, about average at the back. Across their last 5 league matches they have 3 wins and 2 defeats, most recently losing to Gillingham 0-3 away. That is 1.71 points a match, scoring 1.71 and conceding 1.57 per game across 4 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats. That leaves them 3 points behind Barnet at the top, in a table of 24. Among the 24 rated sides in the division that is the 5th-best attack and the 13th-best defence. They scored in 4 of those 5 and kept 4 clean sheets. Next they host Exeter City in the League Two on 26 September 2026, a match the model gives them 38%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, on one scale across every league we cover: 1.00 is an average top-flight side, so clubs in lower divisions read below it — how the ratings are built.
League Two table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barnet | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 10 | +7 | 15 |
| 2 | Walsall | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 13 |
| 3 | Grimsby | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 | Gillingham | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 12 |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 11 | +3 | 12 |
| 6 | Bristol Rovers | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 12 |
| 7 | York | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 10 | +3 | 11 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 | Crewe | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 11 |
| 10 | Tranmere | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 10 |
| 11 | Fleetwood Town | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 10 |
| 12 | Salford City | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | Swindon Town | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Rotherham | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 9 |
| 15 | Colchester | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 |
| 16 | Oldham | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 7 |
| 17 | Rochdale | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 7 |
| 19 | Newport County | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 6 |
| 20 | Exeter City | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 6 |
| 21 | Accrington Stanley | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 6 |
| 22 | Northampton | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 6 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 5 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
Bristol Rovers sit 6 of 24, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- L0-3away to Gillingham19 September 2026
- L0-2away to Grimsby12 September 2026
- W1-0Rotherham5 September 2026
- W2-0Colchester1 September 2026
- W2-0away to Crawley Town29 August 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Bristol Rovers vs Exeter City
Bristol Rovers host Exeter City at Memorial Stadium, Bristol on 26 September 2026, 14:00 UTC. The model makes it 38% Bristol Rovers, 29% draw and 33% Exeter City, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1. It projects 1.51 expected goals for Bristol Rovers against 1.31. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.
Full preview and model analysis for Bristol Rovers vs Exeter City
Recent meetings with Exeter City
- 12 April 2025Bristol Rovers 1–2 Exeter CityLeague One
- 26 December 2024Exeter City 3–1 Bristol RoversLeague One
- 29 October 2024Bristol Rovers 2–3 Exeter CityEFL Trophy
- 3 February 2024Exeter City 0–1 Bristol RoversLeague One
- 23 January 2024Bristol Rovers 0–1 Exeter CityLeague One
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.