VfL Bochum
vs
SV Darmstadt 98
2. Bundesliga prediction
Our model says: VfL Bochum 1–0 SV Darmstadt 98
The model makes it 48% VfL Bochum, 27% draw, 25% SV Darmstadt 98 — fair odds of 2.08, 3.70 and 4.00.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: VfL Bochum 1.66, SV Darmstadt 98 1.03.
Both teams to score: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 50%, under 2.5: 50%.
Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,921 settled matches.
Edge to VfL Bochum: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 13 November 2026. VfL Bochum's rating is built from 45 2. Bundesliga matches and SV Darmstadt 98's from 45, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 715 matches.
Key facts
- VfL Bochum are 8th on 14 points from 11 games; SV Darmstadt 98 are 17th on 9 points from 11 games — 2. Bundesliga.
- VfL Bochum are unbeaten in 3 games, most recently a 3-2 win at home to Karlsruher SC.
- SV Darmstadt 98 are without a win in 4 games, most recently a 0-2 defeat away to 1. FC Nürnberg.
- Last 6 meetings: level at 2 wins each, 2 draws; the most recent, 18 January 2026, ended VfL Bochum 3–3 SV Darmstadt 98.
More 2. Bundesliga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: VfL Bochum vs SV Darmstadt 98
Has the model earned this number?
VfL Bochum at 48%: of 2,926 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into VfL Bochum vs SV Darmstadt 98
VfL Bochum
2. Bundesliga
- W3-2Karlsruher SC8 November 2026
- W2-1away to Energie Cottbus30 October 2026
- D1-1VfL Wolfsburg23 October 2026
- L0-2away to 1. FC Kaiserslautern17 October 2026
- L0-1Arminia Bielefeld11 October 2026
SV Darmstadt 98
2. Bundesliga
- L0-2away to 1. FC Nürnberg7 November 2026
- D1-11. FC Magdeburg31 October 2026
- D0-0FC St. Pauli23 October 2026
- L0-4away to Karlsruher SC18 October 2026
- W3-1Energie Cottbus10 October 2026
What these results say
- VfL Bochum conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- SV Darmstadt 98 failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- SV Darmstadt 98 conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
2. Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | VfL Bochum | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 14 |
| 17 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: VfL Bochum vs SV Darmstadt 98
- 18 January 2026VfL Bochum 3–3 SV Darmstadt 982. Bundesliga
- 2 August 2025SV Darmstadt 98 4–1 VfL Bochum2. Bundesliga
- 31 March 2024VfL Bochum 2–2 SV Darmstadt 98Bundesliga
- 3 November 2023SV Darmstadt 98 1–2 VfL BochumBundesliga
- 26 April 2021SV Darmstadt 98 3–1 VfL Bochum2. Bundesliga
- 2 January 2021VfL Bochum 2–1 SV Darmstadt 982. Bundesliga
Leading scorers: VfL Bochum and SV Darmstadt 98
VfL Bochum
GoalsAssists
- P. Hofmann50
SV Darmstadt 98
No player in 2. Bundesliga's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives VfL Bochum the highest probability at 48%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.66 expected goals for VfL Bochum against 1.03 for SV Darmstadt 98. VfL Bochum's attack/defence rating is 0.61/1.29 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.57/1.57 for SV Darmstadt 98.
How the model reaches 48% for VfL Bochum to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 37% for VfL Bochum to win. Then home advantage adds 6 points, the level of the two sides takes away 2 points, VfL Bochum's ratings add 4 points and SV Darmstadt 98's ratings add 3 points, which lands on the published 48%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground37%
- Home advantage43%+6
- Both sides at this match's level41%−2
- VfL Bochum's ratings45%+4
- SV Darmstadt 98's ratings48%+3
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
VfL Bochum at home · SV Darmstadt 98 away
League matches only, 2. Bundesliga, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Position by match
VfL BochumSV Darmstadt 98
VfL Bochum are 8th after 11 2. Bundesliga matches (between 6th and 18th so far); SV Darmstadt 98 are 17th after 11 (between 3rd and 18th). How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All 2. Bundesliga matches this season: VfL Bochum 11, SV Darmstadt 98 11.
VfL Bochum score most often in the 16–30 minute window (3 goals); SV Darmstadt 98 have let in 0 there.
SV Darmstadt 98 score most often in the 76–90 minute window (5 goals); VfL Bochum have let in 1 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
VfL Bochum
- at 1. FC Nürnberg5 Dec · 2. Bundesligawin 22%
- vs 1. FC Heidenheim13 Dec · 2. Bundesligawin 43%
- vs 1. FC Magdeburg19 Dec · 2. Bundesligawin 34%
- at Holstein Kiel16 Jan · 2. Bundesligawin 31%
SV Darmstadt 98
- vs Eintracht Braunschweig6 Dec · 2. Bundesligawin 39%
- at Hertha BSC12 Dec · 2. Bundesligawin 15%
- vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth20 Dec · 2. Bundesligawin 40%
- at VfL Osnabrück17 Jan · 2. Bundesligawin 27%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.