Hannover 96
vs
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2. Bundesliga prediction
Our model says: Hannover 96 2–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth
The model makes it 47% Hannover 96, 26% draw, 27% SpVgg Greuther Fürth — fair odds of 2.13, 3.85 and 3.70.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: Hannover 96 1.80, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1.22.
Both teams to score: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%, under 2.5: 42%.
Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,920 settled matches.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 12 November 2026. Hannover 96's rating is built from 45 2. Bundesliga matches and SpVgg Greuther Fürth's from 47, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 715 matches.
Key facts
- Hannover 96 are 11th on 12 points from 11 games; SpVgg Greuther Fürth are 10th on 12 points from 11 games — 2. Bundesliga.
- Hannover 96 have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-2 draw away to 1. FC Heidenheim.
- SpVgg Greuther Fürth have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-3 defeat away to Dynamo Dresden.
- Last 6 meetings: level at 2 wins each, 2 draws; the most recent, 8 March 2026, ended Hannover 96 1–2 SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
More 2. Bundesliga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Hannover 96 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Has the model earned this number?
Hannover 96 at 47%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Hannover 96 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Hannover 96
2. Bundesliga
- D2-2away to 1. FC Heidenheim8 November 2026
- W2-1Dynamo Dresden1 November 2026
- L0-2away to Eintracht Braunschweig25 October 2026
- D1-1FC St. Pauli17 October 2026
- L0-3away to 1. FC Magdeburg10 October 2026
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2. Bundesliga
- L0-3away to Dynamo Dresden6 November 2026
- W1-0Holstein Kiel1 November 2026
- L0-3away to VfL Osnabrück25 October 2026
- W2-0Eintracht Braunschweig17 October 2026
- L1-2away to Hertha BSC11 October 2026
What these results say
- Hannover 96 conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Hannover 96 failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
2. Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hannover 96 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 12 |
| 10 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Hannover 96
Chance to finish in the bottom two · 8% today
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Chance to finish in the bottom two · 15% today
From our 2. Bundesliga season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: Hannover 96 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth
- 8 March 2026Hannover 96 1–2 SpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga
- 5 October 2025SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2–2 Hannover 962. Bundesliga
- 11 May 2025Hannover 96 1–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga
- 15 December 2024SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1–0 Hannover 962. Bundesliga
- 16 February 2024Hannover 96 2–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga
- 3 September 2023SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1–3 Hannover 962. Bundesliga
Leading scorers: Hannover 96 and SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Hannover 96
No player in 2. Bundesliga's leading scorers — 12 league goals as a side.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
GoalsAssists
- F. Klaus71
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
Where the model differs from the table
The table and the model disagree here: the standings favour SpVgg Greuther Fürth (10th, with Hannover 96 11th), while our numbers lean to Hannover 96. Hannover 96 rate 0.67 in attack and 1.41 in defence, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0.62 and 1.55 (lower is better in defence), so Hannover 96 have been the better side at both ends on recent expected goals, which the table does not yet show.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Hannover 96 the highest probability at 47%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.80 expected goals for Hannover 96 against 1.22 for SpVgg Greuther Fürth. Hannover 96's attack/defence rating is 0.67/1.41 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.62/1.55 for SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
How the model reaches 47% for Hannover 96 to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 37% for Hannover 96 to win. Then home advantage adds 6 points, Hannover 96's ratings add 2 points and SpVgg Greuther Fürth's ratings add 2 points, which lands on the published 47%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground37%
- Home advantage43%+6
- Hannover 96's ratings45%+2
- SpVgg Greuther Fürth's ratings47%+2
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Hannover 96 at home · SpVgg Greuther Fürth away
League matches only, 2. Bundesliga, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Position by match
Hannover 96SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Hannover 96 are 11th after 11 2. Bundesliga matches (between 10th and 17th so far); SpVgg Greuther Fürth are 10th after 11 (between 5th and 15th). How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All 2. Bundesliga matches this season: Hannover 96 11, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 11.
Hannover 96 score most often in the 46–60 minute window (4 goals); SpVgg Greuther Fürth have let in 4 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Hannover 96
- at VfL Osnabrück28 Nov · 2. Bundesligawin 33%
- vs Hertha BSC5 Dec · 2. Bundesligawin 30%
- at Holstein Kiel12 Dec · 2. Bundesligawin 32%
- vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern20 Dec · 2. Bundesligawin 35%
- at Arminia Bielefeld15 Jan · 2. Bundesligawin 28%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
- vs Arminia Bielefeld29 Nov · 2. Bundesligawin 34%
- at 1. FC Kaiserslautern5 Dec · 2. Bundesligawin 23%
- vs VfL Wolfsburg13 Dec · 2. Bundesligawin 28%
- at SV Darmstadt 9820 Dec · 2. Bundesligawin 33%
- vs Karlsruher SC15 Jan · 2. Bundesligawin 46%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.