Omonia 29is Maiou
vs
Omonia Aradippou
1. Division prediction
Our model says: Omonia 29is Maiou 1–0 Omonia Aradippou
The model makes it 49% Omonia 29is Maiou, 27% draw, 24% Omonia Aradippou — fair odds of 2.04, 3.70 and 4.17.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: Omonia 29is Maiou 1.69, Omonia Aradippou 1.03.
Both teams to score: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%, under 2.5: 49%.
Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,921 settled matches.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 13 November 2026. Omonia 29is Maiou's rating is built from 9 Cypriot First Division matches and Omonia Aradippou's from 42, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.
Key facts
- Omonia 29is Maiou are 8th on 11 points from 9 games; Omonia Aradippou are 13th on 6 points from 9 games — 1. Division.
- Omonia 29is Maiou have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-4 defeat away to Pafos.
- Omonia Aradippou have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 2-3 defeat away to Nea Salamis.
- Last 6 meetings: Omonia Aradippou 4 wins to 1, 1 draw; the most recent, 11 May 2025, ended Omonia Aradippou 4–1 Omonia 29is Maiou.
More Cypriot First Division predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Omonia 29is Maiou vs Omonia Aradippou
Has the model earned this number?
Omonia 29is Maiou at 49%: of 2,926 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Omonia 29is Maiou vs Omonia Aradippou
Omonia 29is Maiou
1. Division
- L2-4away to Pafos8 November 2026
- W1-0Nea Salamis1 November 2026
- L1-4away to Apoel Nicosia25 October 2026
- W1-0Anorthosis18 October 2026
- L1-2away to AEL11 October 2026
Omonia Aradippou
1. Division
- L2-3away to Nea Salamis6 November 2026
- L1-2Apoel Nicosia1 November 2026
- L0-2away to Anorthosis24 October 2026
- L0-2AEL18 October 2026
- L0-1away to AEK Larnaca12 October 2026
What these results say
- Omonia 29is Maiou scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Omonia Aradippou did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Omonia Aradippou conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Cyprus 1. Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Omonia 29is Maiou | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 | Omonia Aradippou | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Omonia 29is Maiou vs Omonia Aradippou
- 11 May 2025Omonia Aradippou 4–1 Omonia 29is Maiou1. Division
- 21 January 2025Omonia Aradippou 1–0 Omonia 29is Maiou1. Division
- 5 October 2024Omonia 29is Maiou 1–2 Omonia Aradippou1. Division
- 20 April 2024Omonia 29is Maiou 1–2 Omonia Aradippou2. Division
- 25 February 2024Omonia Aradippou 1–2 Omonia 29is Maiou2. Division
- 15 September 2023Omonia Aradippou 1–1 Omonia 29is Maiou2. Division
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Omonia 29is Maiou the highest probability at 49%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.69 expected goals for Omonia 29is Maiou against 1.03 for Omonia Aradippou. Omonia 29is Maiou's attack/defence rating is 0.76/1.68 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.51/1.37 for Omonia Aradippou.
How the model reaches 49% for Omonia 29is Maiou to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Omonia 29is Maiou to win. Then home advantage adds 8 points, Omonia 29is Maiou's ratings add 4 points and Omonia Aradippou's ratings add 1 point, which lands on the published 49%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage44%+8
- Omonia 29is Maiou's ratings48%+4
- Omonia Aradippou's ratings49%+1
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Omonia 29is Maiou at home · Omonia Aradippou away
League matches only, 1. Division, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All 1. Division matches this season: Omonia 29is Maiou 9, Omonia Aradippou 9.
Omonia 29is Maiou score most often in the 46–60 minute window (5 goals); Omonia Aradippou have let in 0 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Omonia 29is Maiou
- at Aris3 Dec · 1. Divisionwin 22%
- vs Omonia Nicosia7 Dec · 1. Divisionwin 17%
- vs Krasava Ypsonas12 Dec · 1. Divisionwin 53%
- at Karmiotissa19 Dec · 1. Divisionwin 42%
Omonia Aradippou
- at Apollon Limassol2 Dec · 1. Divisionwin 14%
- vs Aris7 Dec · 1. Divisionwin 31%
- vs Omonia Nicosia15 Dec · 1. Divisionwin 15%
- at Krasava Ypsonas21 Dec · 1. Divisionwin 29%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.