Hvidovre
vs
Kolding IF
1. Division prediction
Our model says: Hvidovre 2–0 Kolding IF
The model makes it 57% Hvidovre, 25% draw, 18% Kolding IF — fair odds of 1.75, 4.00 and 5.56.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0 (11%).
Expected goals: Hvidovre 1.94, Kolding IF 0.88.
Both teams to score: 50%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%, under 2.5: 47%.
Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 61% of the time, over 2,130 settled matches.
Edge to Hvidovre: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 13 November 2026. Hvidovre's rating is built from 46 1. Division (Denmark) matches and Kolding IF's from 46, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.
Key facts
- Hvidovre are top on 32 points from 14 games; Kolding IF are 9th on 15 points from 14 games — 1. Division.
- Hvidovre are unbeaten in their last 5 games (3 won), most recently a 3-0 win at home to Aarhus Fremad.
- Kolding IF have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-3 defeat away to Hillerød.
- Last 6 meetings: Hvidovre 3 wins to 1, 2 draws; the most recent, 1 August 2026, ended Kolding IF 0–1 Hvidovre.
More 1. Division (Denmark) predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Hvidovre vs Kolding IF
Has the model earned this number?
Hvidovre at 57%: of 1,625 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.5% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Hvidovre vs Kolding IF
Hvidovre
1. Division
- W3-0Aarhus Fremad9 November 2026
- D1-1away to Esbjerg31 October 2026
- D2-2HB Koge23 October 2026
- W1-0Hillerød18 October 2026
- W2-1away to Vejle9 October 2026
Kolding IF
1. Division
- L1-3away to Hillerød7 November 2026
- W3-2HB Koge31 October 2026
- L0-1away to AB Copenhagen24 October 2026
- W2-1Vendsyssel FF16 October 2026
- D1-1away to Hobro10 October 2026
What these results say
- Hvidovre went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Hvidovre scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Kolding IF conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Kolding IF scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Both sides scored in 4 of these 5 matches for Kolding IF.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Denmark 1. Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hvidovre | 14 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 27 | 13 | +14 | 32 |
| 9 | Kolding IF | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 15 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Hvidovre vs Kolding IF
- 1 August 2026Kolding IF 0–1 Hvidovre1. Division
- 3 May 2026Kolding IF 1–1 Hvidovre1. Division
- 21 April 2026Hvidovre 2–1 Kolding IF1. Division
- 15 March 2026Hvidovre 0–0 Kolding IF1. Division
- 13 September 2025Kolding IF 0–1 Hvidovre1. Division
- 3 May 2025Hvidovre 0–1 Kolding IF1. Division
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Hvidovre a 72.4% chance of the title and Kolding IF 0%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Hvidovre the highest probability at 57%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.94 expected goals for Hvidovre against 0.88 for Kolding IF. Hvidovre's attack/defence rating is 0.62/1.58 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.46/1.92 for Kolding IF.
How the model reaches 57% for Hvidovre to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Hvidovre to win. Then home advantage adds 8 points, the level of the two sides takes away 1 point, Hvidovre's ratings add 8 points and Kolding IF's ratings add 6 points, which lands on the published 57%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage44%+8
- Both sides at this match's level43%−1
- Hvidovre's ratings51%+8
- Kolding IF's ratings57%+6
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Hvidovre at home · Kolding IF away
League matches only, 1. Division, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All 1. Division matches this season: Hvidovre 14, Kolding IF 14.
Hvidovre score most often in the 76–90 minute window (7 goals); Kolding IF have let in 3 there.
Kolding IF score most often in the 46–60 minute window (5 goals); Hvidovre have let in 3 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Hvidovre
- at FC Fredericia6 Dec · 1. Divisionwin 26%
- vs Vejle20 Feb · 1. Divisionwin 45%
- at Hillerød27 Feb · 1. Divisionwin 40%
- vs Hobro6 Mar · 1. Divisionwin 62%
Kolding IF
- vs Esbjerg4 Dec · 1. Divisionwin 42%
- at FC Fredericia20 Feb · 1. Divisionwin 17%
- vs Hobro27 Feb · 1. Divisionwin 47%
- at Vendsyssel FF6 Mar · 1. Divisionwin 33%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.