Regular Season - 15 · 21 November 2026, 13:00 UTC

Vendsyssel FF vs Hvidovre 1. Division prediction

Nord Energi Arena, Hjorring

Our model says: Vendsyssel FF 0–1 Hvidovre

The model makes it 26% Vendsyssel FF, 27% draw, 47% Hvidovre — fair odds of 3.85, 3.70 and 2.13.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

Expected goals: Vendsyssel FF 1.11, Hvidovre 1.64.

Both teams to score: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 52%, under 2.5: 48%.

Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,920 settled matches.

One-sided: Hvidovre are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.

Published · updated

Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 12 November 2026. Vendsyssel FF's rating is built from 14 1. Division (Denmark) matches and Hvidovre's from 46, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.

Key facts

  • Vendsyssel FF are bottom on 12 points from 14 games; Hvidovre are top on 32 points from 14 games — 1. Division.
  • Vendsyssel FF have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 0-3 defeat away to AB Copenhagen.
  • Hvidovre are unbeaten in their last 5 games (3 won), most recently a 3-0 win at home to Aarhus Fremad.
  • Last 6 meetings: Hvidovre 4 wins to 0, 2 draws; the most recent, 25 July 2026, ended Hvidovre 2–2 Vendsyssel FF.

More 1. Division (Denmark) predictions

All 1. Division (Denmark) predictions →

Live win probability

From kick-off

From kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.

Model insights: Vendsyssel FF vs Hvidovre

55%
Both teams to score
52%
Over 2.5 goals
48%
Under 2.5 goals

Most likely scorelines

Vendsyssel FF win Draw Hvidovre win
  1. 1–112%
  2. 0–110%
  3. 1–210%
  4. 0–29%
  5. 0–07%
  6. 1–07%
  7. 2–16%

Scores read Vendsyssel FF first; the other scorelines share the remaining 39%. How to read this.

Has the model earned this number?

Hvidovre at 47%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Form going into Vendsyssel FF vs Hvidovre

Vendsyssel FF

1. Division

  • L0-3away to AB Copenhagen6 November 2026
  • D1-1Vejle1 November 2026
  • D2-2away to Hobro23 October 2026
  • L1-2away to Kolding IF16 October 2026
  • L0-2HB Koge11 October 2026

Hvidovre

1. Division

  • W3-0Aarhus Fremad9 November 2026
  • D1-1away to Esbjerg31 October 2026
  • D2-2HB Koge23 October 2026
  • W1-0Hillerød18 October 2026
  • W2-1away to Vejle9 October 2026

What these results say

  • Vendsyssel FF did not win any of these 5 matches.
  • Vendsyssel FF conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Hvidovre went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
  • Hvidovre scored in every one of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Denmark 1. Division table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
12Vendsyssel FF142661424-1012
1Hvidovre149502713+1432

Where the two sides stand. Full table

What's at stake

Vendsyssel FF

Chance to finish in the bottom three · 66% today

Win 51%
Draw 69%
Defeat 75%

Hvidovre

Chance to finish top of the regular season · 72% today

Win 81%
Draw 70%
Defeat 61%

From our 1. Division season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.

Head-to-head: Vendsyssel FF vs Hvidovre

  • 25 July 2026Hvidovre 2–2 Vendsyssel FF1. Division
  • 26 October 2024Hvidovre 3–1 Vendsyssel FF1. Division
  • 28 September 2024Vendsyssel FF 0–1 Hvidovre1. Division
  • 27 May 2023Vendsyssel FF 2–3 Hvidovre1. Division
  • 22 April 2023Hvidovre 0–0 Vendsyssel FF1. Division
  • 18 March 2023Hvidovre 3–1 Vendsyssel FF1. Division

The rest of the season

Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Vendsyssel FF a 0% chance of the title and Hvidovre 72.4%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.

How the call on Vendsyssel FF v Hvidovre has moved

First published on 7 Nov at 28% / 28% / 44% (home / draw / away). After 1 update it reads 26% / 27% / 47%: the biggest move is Hvidovre's chance of winning, up 3 points.

  1. Vendsyssel FF win26%▼ −2
  2. Draw27%▼ −1
  3. Hvidovre win47%▲ +3

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Vendsyssel FF Hvidovre
0.43 Attack strength (vs league average) 0.62
2.2 Defence strength (vs league average, lower = stronger) 1.58
1.11 Model expected goals (this match) 1.64

Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Hvidovre the highest probability at 47%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.11 expected goals for Vendsyssel FF against 1.64 for Hvidovre. Vendsyssel FF's attack/defence rating is 0.43/2.2 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.62/1.58 for Hvidovre.

Vendsyssel FF carry a model rating of 6.03 against 6.38 for Hvidovre.

How the model reaches 47% for Hvidovre to win

Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Hvidovre to win. Then home advantage takes away 7 points, Vendsyssel FF's ratings add 8 points and Hvidovre's ratings add 10 points, which lands on the published 47%.

  1. Two average sides, neutral ground36%
  2. Home advantage29%−7
  3. Vendsyssel FF's ratings37%+8
  4. Hvidovre's ratings47%+10

Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.

Season stats

Vendsyssel FFHvidovre
14Matches14
2W 6D 6LRecord9W 5D 0L
14 1.0 per gameGoals scored27 1.9 per game
24 1.7 per gameGoals conceded13 0.9 per game
3 of 14Clean sheets4 of 14
4 of 14Failed to score0 of 14
1 of 1Penalties scored0 of 1
34 2.4 per gameYellow cards17 1.2 per game
1Red cards1

Vendsyssel FF at home · Hvidovre away

6Played7
1W 2D 3LRecord5W 2D 0L
3–8Goals for – against13–5
2 of 6Clean sheets2 of 7

League matches only, 1. Division, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.

Goals scored and conceded, by minute

All 1. Division matches this season: Vendsyssel FF 14, Hvidovre 14.

Vendsyssel FF scored 024322
Hvidovre conceded 112323

Vendsyssel FF score most often in the 31–45 minute window (4 goals); Hvidovre have let in 2 there.

Hvidovre scored 434557
Vendsyssel FF conceded 574423

Hvidovre score most often in the 76–90 minute window (7 goals); Vendsyssel FF have let in 3 there.

League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.

The next 5 matches, by difficulty

Vendsyssel FF

  • at Hillerød28 Nov · 1. Divisionwin 23%
  • vs Aalborg5 Dec · 1. Divisionwin 39%
  • at HB Koge20 Feb · 1. Divisionwin 24%
  • vs Esbjerg27 Feb · 1. Divisionwin 37%
  • vs Kolding IF6 Mar · 1. Divisionwin 38%

Hvidovre

  • vs Kolding IF27 Nov · 1. Divisionwin 57%
  • at FC Fredericia6 Dec · 1. Divisionwin 26%
  • vs Vejle20 Feb · 1. Divisionwin 45%
  • at Hillerød27 Feb · 1. Divisionwin 40%
  • vs Hobro6 Mar · 1. Divisionwin 62%

Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.