Regular Season - 9 · 25 November 2026, 18:00 UTC

Enppi vs Ceramica Cleopatra Premier League prediction

Petrosport Stadium, Cairo

Our model says: Enppi 1–2 Ceramica Cleopatra

The model makes it 26% Enppi, 26% draw, 48% Ceramica Cleopatra — fair odds of 3.85, 3.85 and 2.08.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

Expected goals: Enppi 1.14, Ceramica Cleopatra 1.73.

Both teams to score: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%, under 2.5: 45%.

Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,920 settled matches.

Edge to Ceramica Cleopatra: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.

Published · updated

Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 12 November 2026. Enppi's rating is built from 34 Egyptian Premier League matches and Ceramica Cleopatra's from 34, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 627 matches.

Key facts

  • Enppi are 16th on 7 points from 8 games; Ceramica Cleopatra are 4th on 18 points from 8 games — Premier League.
  • Enppi have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 3-1 win away to Olympic El Qanah.
  • Ceramica Cleopatra have won 4 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-1 win at home to Masr.
  • Last 6 meetings: level at 2 wins each, 2 draws; the most recent, 11 April 2026, ended Enppi 1–1 Ceramica Cleopatra.

More Egyptian Premier League predictions

Live win probability

From kick-off

From kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.

Model insights: Enppi vs Ceramica Cleopatra

57%
Both teams to score
55%
Over 2.5 goals
45%
Under 2.5 goals

Most likely scorelines

Enppi win Draw Ceramica Cleopatra win
  1. 1–112%
  2. 1–210%
  3. 0–19%
  4. 0–28%
  5. 2–16%
  6. 0–06%
  7. 1–06%

Scores read Enppi first; the other scorelines share the remaining 42%. How to read this.

Has the model earned this number?

Ceramica Cleopatra at 48%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Form going into Enppi vs Ceramica Cleopatra

Enppi

Premier League

  • W3-1away to Olympic El Qanah30 October 2026
  • L0-3El Mokawloon19 October 2026
  • L2-3away to Future FC12 October 2026
  • L1-2Pyramids FC17 September 2026
  • W2-1Masr9 September 2026

Ceramica Cleopatra

Premier League

  • W2-1Masr31 October 2026
  • W2-0Petrojet21 October 2026
  • L1-4away to Pyramids FC12 October 2026
  • W2-0National Bank of Egypt14 September 2026
  • W2-0away to Smouha SC8 September 2026

What these results say

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Egypt Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
16Enppi82151116-57
4Ceramica Cleopatra8602158+718

Where the two sides stand. Full table

What's at stake

Enppi

Chance to finish in the bottom three · 12% today

Win 5%
Draw 11%
Defeat 15%

Ceramica Cleopatra

Chance to finish in the top six · 94% today

Win 97%
Draw 93%
Defeat 90%

From our Premier League season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.

Head-to-head: Enppi vs Ceramica Cleopatra

  • 11 April 2026Enppi 1–1 Ceramica CleopatraPremier League
  • 6 January 2026Enppi 2–0 Ceramica CleopatraLeague Cup
  • 20 August 2025Ceramica Cleopatra 2–0 EnppiPremier League
  • 17 February 2025Ceramica Cleopatra 2–2 EnppiPremier League
  • 24 May 2024Enppi 3–2 Ceramica CleopatraPremier League
  • 10 January 2024Ceramica Cleopatra 2–0 EnppiLeague Cup

Leading scorers: Enppi and Ceramica Cleopatra

Enppi

No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.

Ceramica Cleopatra

GoalsAssists

  • Mohamed Reda32
  • Ahmed Belhadji23

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The rest of the season

Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Enppi a 0% chance of the title and Ceramica Cleopatra 4.7%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Enppi Ceramica Cleopatra
0.69 Attack strength (vs league average) 0.79
2.04 Defence strength (vs league average, lower = stronger) 1.47
1.14 Model expected goals (this match) 1.73

Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Ceramica Cleopatra the highest probability at 48%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.14 expected goals for Enppi against 1.73 for Ceramica Cleopatra. Enppi's attack/defence rating is 0.69/2.04 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.79/1.47 for Ceramica Cleopatra.

Enppi carry a model rating of 6.32 against 6.54 for Ceramica Cleopatra.

How the model reaches 48% for Ceramica Cleopatra to win

Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 34% for Ceramica Cleopatra to win. Then home advantage takes away 1 point, the level of the two sides adds 2 points, Enppi's ratings add 7 points and Ceramica Cleopatra's ratings add 6 points, which lands on the published 48%.

  1. Two average sides, neutral ground34%
  2. Home advantage33%−1
  3. Both sides at this match's level35%+2
  4. Enppi's ratings42%+7
  5. Ceramica Cleopatra's ratings48%+6

Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.

Season stats

EnppiCeramica Cleopatra
8Matches8
2W 1D 5LRecord6W 0D 2L
11 1.4 per gameGoals scored15 1.9 per game
16 2.0 per gameGoals conceded8 1.0 per game
1 of 8Clean sheets4 of 8
2 of 8Failed to score0 of 8
3 of 4Penalties scored1 of 3
13 1.6 per gameYellow cards12 1.5 per game
0Red cards1
4-2-3-1 5×Usual shape4-2-3-1 7×

Enppi at home · Ceramica Cleopatra away

4Played3
1W 0D 3LRecord2W 0D 1L
4–9Goals for – against6–5
0 of 4Clean sheets1 of 3

League matches only, Premier League, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.

Goals scored and conceded, by minute

All Premier League matches this season: Enppi 8, Ceramica Cleopatra 8.

Enppi scored 144200
Ceramica Cleopatra conceded 111203
Ceramica Cleopatra scored 311332
Enppi conceded 222234

League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.

The next 5 matches, by difficulty

Enppi

  • at Al Ittihad Alexandria8 Dec · Premier Leaguewin 32%
  • vs El Geish16 Dec · Premier Leaguewin 43%
  • at Asyut Petrol22 Dec · Premier Leaguewin 39%
  • vs National Bank of Egypt27 Dec · Premier Leaguewin 34%
  • at Petrojet5 Jan · Premier Leaguewin 35%

Ceramica Cleopatra

  • vs El Mokawloon8 Dec · Premier Leaguewin 42%
  • at Wadi Degla15 Dec · Premier Leaguewin 42%
  • vs Al Ahly24 Dec · Premier Leaguewin 32%
  • at El Geish29 Dec · Premier Leaguewin 51%
  • at Al Masry6 Jan · Premier Leaguewin 45%

Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.