El Geish
vs
Future FC
Premier League prediction
Our model says: El Geish 0–1 Future FC
The model makes it 28% El Geish, 33% draw, 39% Future FC — fair odds of 3.57, 3.03 and 2.56.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1 (15%).
Expected goals: El Geish 0.84, Future FC 1.09.
Both teams to score: 39%. Over 2.5 goals: 31%, under 2.5: 69%.
Model confidence: Low — calls at this level have come off 38% of the time, over 1,304 settled matches.
Edge to Future FC: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 11 November 2026. El Geish's rating is built from 41 Egyptian Premier League matches and Future FC's from 41, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 627 matches.
Key facts
- El Geish are 14th on 8 points from 8 games; Future FC are 6th on 13 points from 8 games — Premier League.
- El Geish have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 0-0 draw away to Al Ittihad Alexandria.
- Future FC have won 3 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-1 defeat at home to Al Ahly.
- Last 6 meetings: level at 1 win each, 4 draws; the most recent, 29 April 2026, ended Future FC 0–0 El Geish.
More Egyptian Premier League predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: El Geish vs Future FC
Has the model earned this number?
Future FC at 39%: of 4,756 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into El Geish vs Future FC
El Geish
Premier League
- D0-0away to Al Ittihad Alexandria30 October 2026
- L1-4Pyramids FC20 October 2026
- L0-3away to National Bank of Egypt13 October 2026
- L0-1Smouha SC14 September 2026
- D1-1away to Olympic El Qanah7 September 2026
Future FC
Premier League
- L0-1Al Ahly29 October 2026
- L2-3away to Masr20 October 2026
- W3-2Enppi12 October 2026
- W2-0away to Asyut Petrol15 September 2026
- W2-1Wadi Degla9 September 2026
What these results say
- El Geish did not win any of these 5 matches.
- El Geish conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Future FC scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Future FC conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Egypt Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | El Geish | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 8 |
| 6 | Future FC | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
El Geish
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 30% today
Future FC
Chance to finish in the top six · 29% today
From our Premier League season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: El Geish vs Future FC
- 29 April 2026Future FC 0–0 El GeishPremier League
- 14 September 2025El Geish 1–0 Future FCPremier League
- 29 May 2025El Geish 1–1 Future FCPremier League
- 13 February 2025Future FC 0–0 El GeishPremier League
- 2 May 2024Future FC 0–0 El GeishPremier League
- 7 October 2023El Geish 0–2 Coca-ColaPremier League
Leading scorers: El Geish and Future FC
El Geish
GoalsAssists
- Islam Mohareb21
Future FC
GoalsAssists
- Mahmoud Mamdouh81
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives El Geish a 0% chance of the title and Future FC 0.1%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Future FC the highest probability at 39%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 0.84 expected goals for El Geish against 1.09 for Future FC. El Geish's attack/defence rating is 0.44/1.75 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.58/1.7 for Future FC.
How the model reaches 39% for Future FC to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 34% for Future FC to win. Then home advantage takes away 1 point, El Geish's ratings add 2 points and Future FC's ratings add 4 points, which lands on the published 39%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground34%
- Home advantage33%−1
- El Geish's ratings35%+2
- Future FC's ratings39%+4
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
El Geish at home · Future FC away
League matches only, Premier League, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Premier League matches this season: El Geish 8, Future FC 8.
Future FC score most often in the 76–90 minute window (5 goals); El Geish have let in 5 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
El Geish
- vs Wadi Degla8 Dec · Premier Leaguewin 25%
- at Enppi16 Dec · Premier Leaguewin 27%
- at Zamalek SC23 Dec · Premier Leaguewin 16%
- vs Ceramica Cleopatra29 Dec · Premier Leaguewin 20%
- at Asyut Petrol6 Jan · Premier Leaguewin 30%
Future FC
- vs Olympic El Qanah9 Dec · Premier Leaguewin 38%
- at El Mokawloon16 Dec · Premier Leaguewin 29%
- at Petrojet24 Dec · Premier Leaguewin 35%
- vs Al Masry27 Dec · Premier Leaguewin 35%
- at Smouha SC4 Jan · Premier Leaguewin 31%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.