Eintracht Braunschweig
vs
Energie Cottbus
2. Bundesliga prediction
Our model says: Eintracht Braunschweig 2–1 Energie Cottbus
The model makes it 38% Eintracht Braunschweig, 24% draw, 38% Energie Cottbus — fair odds of 2.63, 4.17 and 2.63. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: Eintracht Braunschweig 1.82, Energie Cottbus 1.82.
Both teams to score: 71%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%, under 2.5: 30%.
Model confidence: Low — calls at this level have come off 37% of the time, over 939 settled matches.
A tight game: Eintracht Braunschweig and Energie Cottbus are within 3 points of each other, so the draw is a real outcome here.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 23 October 2026. Eintracht Braunschweig's rating is built from 42 2. Bundesliga matches and Energie Cottbus's from 8, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 688 matches.
Key facts
- Eintracht Braunschweig are 15th on 7 points from 8 games; Energie Cottbus are 9th on 9 points from 8 games — 2. Bundesliga.
- Eintracht Braunschweig have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-2 defeat away to SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
- Energie Cottbus are without a win in 3 games, most recently a 1-1 draw at home to 1. FC Nürnberg.
- Last 6 meetings: Eintracht Braunschweig 3 wins to 1, 2 draws; the most recent, 11 January 2025, ended Eintracht Braunschweig 4–2 Energie Cottbus.
More 2. Bundesliga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Eintracht Braunschweig vs Energie Cottbus
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Eintracht Braunschweig at 38% here. Across 4,444 settled matches (as of 23 October 2026), 3,435 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Eintracht Braunschweig vs Energie Cottbus
Eintracht Braunschweig
2. Bundesliga
- L0-2away to SpVgg Greuther Fürth17 October 2026
- W1-0Holstein Kiel9 October 2026
- L0-1away to 1. FC Kaiserslautern19 September 2026
- D2-2Dynamo Dresden12 September 2026
- L1-3away to VfL Osnabrück6 September 2026
Energie Cottbus
2. Bundesliga
- D1-11. FC Nürnberg16 October 2026
- L1-3away to SV Darmstadt 9810 October 2026
- D1-1FC St. Pauli20 September 2026
- W3-0away to Karlsruher SC13 September 2026
- D4-4away to VfL Wolfsburg5 September 2026
What these results say
- Eintracht Braunschweig failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Eintracht Braunschweig conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Energie Cottbus scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Energie Cottbus failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Energie Cottbus conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
2. Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 7 |
| 9 | Energie Cottbus | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Eintracht Braunschweig vs Energie Cottbus
- 11 January 2025Eintracht Braunschweig 4–2 Energie CottbusFriendlies Clubs
- 21 July 2024Eintracht Braunschweig 3–2 Energie CottbusFriendlies Clubs
- 18 May 2019Eintracht Braunschweig 1–1 Energie Cottbus3. Liga
- 15 December 2018Energie Cottbus 0–1 Eintracht Braunschweig3. Liga
- 6 May 2013Eintracht Braunschweig 0–0 Energie Cottbus2. Bundesliga
- 24 November 2012Energie Cottbus 3–1 Eintracht Braunschweig2. Bundesliga
Leading scorers: Eintracht Braunschweig and Energie Cottbus
Eintracht Braunschweig
GoalsAssists
- Jan Urbich41
Energie Cottbus
GoalsAssists
- J. Butler51
- T. Ciğerci41
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Eintracht Braunschweig carry a model rating of 6.39 against 6.51 for Energie Cottbus. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 1.82 goals for Eintracht Braunschweig and 1.82 for Energie Cottbus. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Eintracht Braunschweig rate 0.63 in attack and 1.57 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Energie Cottbus rate 0.82 and 1.67.
Where the model differs from the table
The table and the model disagree here: the standings favour Energie Cottbus, while our numbers lean the other way. The model weights recent expected goals rather than results already banked, so it moves before the table does.
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Eintracht Braunschweig a 0% chance of the title and Energie Cottbus 0.6%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 2,146 correct results out of 4,446 settled predictions (48%), with 446 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Eintracht Braunschweig the highest probability at 38%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.82 expected goals for Eintracht Braunschweig against 1.82 for Energie Cottbus. Eintracht Braunschweig's attack/defence rating is 0.63/1.57 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.82/1.67 for Energie Cottbus.
How the model reaches 38% for Eintracht Braunschweig to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 37% for Eintracht Braunschweig to win. Then home advantage adds 6 points, Eintracht Braunschweig's ratings take away 24 points and Energie Cottbus's ratings add 19 points, which lands on the published 38%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground37%
- Home advantage43%+6
- Eintracht Braunschweig's ratings19%−24
- Energie Cottbus's ratings38%+19
Each step adds one input to the step before. In another order the steps would differ in size; the end point would not.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Eintracht Braunschweig at home · Energie Cottbus away
League matches only, 2. Bundesliga, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Position by match
Eintracht BraunschweigEnergie Cottbus
Eintracht Braunschweig are 15th after 8 2. Bundesliga matches (between 1st and 14th so far); Energie Cottbus are 9th after 8 (between 2nd and 10th). Rebuilt from the season's results after each side's matches (x-axis: that side's match number); ties split on goal difference, then goals scored.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All 2. Bundesliga matches this season: Eintracht Braunschweig 8, Energie Cottbus 8.
Eintracht Braunschweig score most often in the 0–15 minute window (4 goals); Energie Cottbus have let in 1 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 3 matches, by difficulty
Eintracht Braunschweig
- at 1. FC Nürnberg21 Nov · 2. Bundesligawin 19%
- vs VfL Wolfsburg29 Nov · 2. Bundesligawin 27%
- at SV Darmstadt 986 Dec · 2. Bundesligawin 33%
Energie Cottbus
- vs Hertha BSC22 Nov · 2. Bundesligawin 35%
- at 1. FC Magdeburg29 Nov · 2. Bundesligawin 29%
- vs VfL Osnabrück6 Dec · 2. Bundesligawin 50%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.