Hannover 96
vs
Dynamo Dresden
2. Bundesliga prediction
Our model says: Hannover 96 2–1 Dynamo Dresden
The model makes it 45% Hannover 96, 26% draw, 29% Dynamo Dresden — fair odds of 2.22, 3.85 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: Hannover 96 1.78, Dynamo Dresden 1.35.
Both teams to score: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%, under 2.5: 40%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published
Key facts
- Hannover 96 are 12th on 8 points from 8 games; Dynamo Dresden are 17th on 5 points from 7 games — 2. Bundesliga.
- Hannover 96 have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-1 draw at home to FC St. Pauli.
- Dynamo Dresden have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 1-1 draw away to VfL Osnabrück.
- Last 6 meetings: Hannover 96 2 wins to 1, 3 draws; the most recent, 22 February 2026, ended Hannover 96 0–0 Dynamo Dresden.
More 2. Bundesliga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Hannover 96 vs Dynamo Dresden
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Hannover 96 at 45% here. Across 4,088 settled matches (as of 18 October 2026), 1,906 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.7% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Hannover 96 vs Dynamo Dresden
Hannover 96
- D1-1FC St. Pauli17 October 2026
- L0-3away to 1. FC Magdeburg10 October 2026
- W2-1VfL Bochum20 September 2026
- L1-2away to 1. FC Nürnberg11 September 2026
- D2-2Karlsruher SC4 September 2026
Dynamo Dresden
- D1-1away to VfL Osnabrück10 October 2026
- L1-2Hertha BSC19 September 2026
- D2-2away to Eintracht Braunschweig12 September 2026
- L1-2VfL Bochum5 September 2026
- L3-5away to 1. FC Heidenheim29 August 2026
What these results say
- Hannover 96 conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Hannover 96 failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Hannover 96 scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Dynamo Dresden did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Dynamo Dresden scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Dynamo Dresden conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
2. Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hannover 96 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 8 |
| 17 | Dynamo Dresden | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 5 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Hannover 96 vs Dynamo Dresden
- 22 February 2026Hannover 96 0–0 Dynamo Dresden2. Bundesliga
- 21 September 2025Dynamo Dresden 2–2 Hannover 962. Bundesliga
- 23 January 2022Hannover 96 0–0 Dynamo Dresden2. Bundesliga
- 14 August 2021Dynamo Dresden 2–0 Hannover 962. Bundesliga
- 3 June 2020Hannover 96 3–0 Dynamo Dresden2. Bundesliga
- 5 October 2019Dynamo Dresden 0–2 Hannover 962. Bundesliga
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Hannover 96 carry a model rating of 6.49 against 6.45 for Dynamo Dresden. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.78 goals for Hannover 96 and 1.35 for Dynamo Dresden. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Hannover 96 rate 0.66 in attack and 1.36 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Dynamo Dresden rate 0.70 and 1.56.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Hannover 96 a 0.2% chance of the title and Dynamo Dresden 0.1%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,973 correct results out of 4,112 settled predictions (48%), with 412 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Hannover 96 the highest probability at 45%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.78 expected goals for Hannover 96 against 1.35 for Dynamo Dresden. Hannover 96's attack/defence rating is 0.66/1.36 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.7/1.56 for Dynamo Dresden.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Hannover 96 at home · Dynamo Dresden away
League matches only, 2. Bundesliga, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Position by match
Hannover 96Dynamo Dresden
Hannover 96 are 12th after 8 2. Bundesliga matches (between 10th and 17th so far); Dynamo Dresden are 16th after 7 (between 11th and 17th). Rebuilt from the season's results after each side's matches (x-axis: that side's match number); ties split on goal difference, then goals scored.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All 2. Bundesliga matches this season: Hannover 96 8, Dynamo Dresden 7.
Hannover 96 score most often in the 16–30 minute window (3 goals); Dynamo Dresden have let in 2 there.
Dynamo Dresden score most often in the 0–15 minute window (3 goals); Hannover 96 have let in 3 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Hannover 96
- at 1. FC Heidenheim8 Nov · 2. Bundesligawin 22%
- vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth21 Nov · 2. Bundesligawin 43%
- at VfL Osnabrück28 Nov · 2. Bundesligawin 36%
- vs Hertha BSC6 Dec · 2. Bundesligawin 34%
Dynamo Dresden
- vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth6 Nov · 2. Bundesligawin 42%
- at 1. FC Kaiserslautern22 Nov · 2. Bundesligawin 25%
- vs FC St. Pauli28 Nov · 2. Bundesligawin 32%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.