Cercle Brugge
vs
Antwerp
Jupiler Pro League prediction
Our model says: Cercle Brugge 2–1 Antwerp
The model makes it 53% Cercle Brugge, 23% draw, 24% Antwerp — fair odds of 1.89, 4.35 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (9%).
Expected goals: Cercle Brugge 2.19, Antwerp 1.31.
Both teams to score: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%, under 2.5: 32%.
Model confidence: High.
Edge to Cercle Brugge: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published
Key facts
- Cercle Brugge are bottom on 3 points from 8 games; Antwerp are 13th on 7 points from 8 games — Jupiler Pro League.
- Cercle Brugge have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 1-2 defeat at home to Anderlecht.
- Antwerp have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 1-5 defeat away to KVC Westerlo.
- Last 6 meetings: Antwerp 3 wins to 1, 2 draws; the most recent, 31 January 2026, ended Cercle Brugge 0–4 Antwerp.
More Jupiler Pro League predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Cercle Brugge vs Antwerp
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Cercle Brugge at 53% here. Across 4,088 settled matches (as of 18 October 2026), 989 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 56.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Cercle Brugge vs Antwerp
Cercle Brugge
- L1-2Anderlecht10 October 2026
- L2-3away to Charleroi19 September 2026
- D1-1away to OH Leuven12 September 2026
- L0-3Gent6 September 2026
- L0-1Lommel United29 August 2026
Antwerp
- L1-5away to KVC Westerlo11 October 2026
- L0-2Union St. Gilloise20 September 2026
- L1-3away to Club Brugge KV13 September 2026
- L0-1away to Standard Liege5 September 2026
- L1-4St. Truiden30 August 2026
What these results say
- Cercle Brugge did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Cercle Brugge conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Antwerp did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Antwerp conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Cercle Brugge | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 3 |
| 13 | Antwerp | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Cercle Brugge vs Antwerp
- 31 January 2026Cercle Brugge 0–4 AntwerpJupiler Pro League
- 4 October 2025Antwerp 1–1 Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League
- 1 March 2025Cercle Brugge 0–0 AntwerpJupiler Pro League
- 6 October 2024Antwerp 3–0 Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League
- 12 May 2024Antwerp 1–2 Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League
- 21 April 2024Cercle Brugge 0–1 AntwerpJupiler Pro League
Leading scorers: Cercle Brugge and Antwerp
Cercle Brugge
No player in Jupiler Pro League's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.
Antwerp
GoalsAssists
- M. Frey40
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Cercle Brugge carry a model rating of 6.76 against 6.61 for Antwerp. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 2.19 goals for Cercle Brugge and 1.31 for Antwerp. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Cercle Brugge rate 1.04 in attack and 1.27 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Antwerp rate 0.80 and 1.30.
Where the model differs from the table
The table and the model disagree here: the standings favour Antwerp, while our numbers lean the other way. The model weights recent expected goals rather than results already banked, so it moves before the table does.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,973 correct results out of 4,112 settled predictions (48%), with 412 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Cercle Brugge the highest probability at 53%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.19 expected goals for Cercle Brugge against 1.31 for Antwerp. Cercle Brugge's attack/defence rating is 1.04/1.27 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.8/1.3 for Antwerp.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Cercle Brugge at home · Antwerp away
League matches only, Jupiler Pro League, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Jupiler Pro League matches this season: Cercle Brugge 8, Antwerp 8.
Antwerp score most often in the 76–90 minute window (5 goals); Cercle Brugge have let in 5 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Cercle Brugge
- at RAAL La Louvière7 Nov · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 44%
- vs KVC Westerlo20 Nov · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 43%
- vs KV Mechelen28 Nov · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 53%
- at SK Beveren12 Dec · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 44%
Antwerp
- vs Lommel United7 Nov · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 30%
- at Zulte Waregem21 Nov · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 23%
- vs Anderlecht29 Nov · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 31%
- at RAAL La Louvière12 Dec · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 35%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.