RAAL La Louvière
vs
Zulte Waregem
Jupiler Pro League prediction
Our model says: RAAL La Louvière 0–1 Zulte Waregem
The model makes it 30% RAAL La Louvière, 27% draw, 43% Zulte Waregem — fair odds of 3.33, 3.70 and 2.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Expected goals: RAAL La Louvière 1.21, Zulte Waregem 1.56.
Both teams to score: 56%. Over 2.5 goals: 52%, under 2.5: 48%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Edge to Zulte Waregem: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published · updated
Key facts
- RAAL La Louvière are 16th on 4 points from 8 games; Zulte Waregem are 8th on 11 points from 8 games — Jupiler Pro League.
- RAAL La Louvière have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-4 defeat at home to Club Brugge KV.
- Zulte Waregem are without a win in 3 games, most recently a 0-2 defeat at home to Gent.
- Last 6 meetings: Zulte Waregem 3 wins to 0, 3 draws; the most recent, 26 April 2026, ended Zulte Waregem 4–0 RAAL La Louvière.
More Jupiler Pro League predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: RAAL La Louvière vs Zulte Waregem
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Zulte Waregem at 43% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 1,712 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into RAAL La Louvière vs Zulte Waregem
RAAL La Louvière
- L1-4Club Brugge KV10 October 2026
- L0-2away to OH Leuven19 September 2026
- W3-0Kortrijk13 September 2026
- L0-4away to St. Truiden5 September 2026
- D2-2KV Mechelen29 August 2026
Zulte Waregem
- L0-2Gent10 October 2026
- L0-3away to Anderlecht19 September 2026
- L0-1Charleroi13 September 2026
- W2-0away to Kortrijk6 September 2026
- D2-2away to KVC Westerlo30 August 2026
What these results say
- RAAL La Louvière failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- RAAL La Louvière conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for RAAL La Louvière had three goals or more.
- Zulte Waregem failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Zulte Waregem conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | RAAL La Louvière | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 4 |
| 8 | Zulte Waregem | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
RAAL La Louvière
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 58% today
Zulte Waregem
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 3% today
From our Jupiler Pro League season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. Each figure is that side's chance once this match ends in a win, a draw or a defeat for it, with every other match still left to the model. Positions in the table, not competition rules: what a place is worth differs from league to league.
Head-to-head: RAAL La Louvière vs Zulte Waregem
- 26 April 2026Zulte Waregem 4–0 RAAL La LouvièreJupiler Pro League
- 19 April 2026RAAL La Louvière 0–2 Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro League
- 13 December 2025Zulte Waregem 2–2 RAAL La LouvièreJupiler Pro League
- 4 October 2025RAAL La Louvière 0–0 Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro League
- 2 February 2025RAAL La Louvière 0–0 Zulte WaregemChallenger Pro League
- 10 November 2024Zulte Waregem 2–1 RAAL La LouvièreChallenger Pro League
Leading scorers: RAAL La Louvière and Zulte Waregem
RAAL La Louvière
GoalsAssists
- M. Ubandoma50
Zulte Waregem
GoalsAssists
- Á. Zalán30
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
RAAL La Louvière carry a model rating of 6.51 against 6.76 for Zulte Waregem. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.21 goals for RAAL La Louvière and 1.56 for Zulte Waregem. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
RAAL La Louvière rate 0.71 in attack and 1.39 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Zulte Waregem rate 0.87 and 1.05.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,774 correct results out of 3,712 settled predictions (48%), with 376 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Zulte Waregem the highest probability at 43%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.21 expected goals for RAAL La Louvière against 1.56 for Zulte Waregem. RAAL La Louvière's attack/defence rating is 0.71/1.39 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.87/1.05 for Zulte Waregem.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
RAAL La Louvière at home · Zulte Waregem away
League matches only, Jupiler Pro League, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Position by match
RAAL La LouvièreZulte Waregem
RAAL La Louvière are 15th after 8 Jupiler Pro League matches (between 14th and 16th so far); Zulte Waregem are 8th after 8 (between 1st and 8th). Rebuilt from the season's results after each side's matches (x-axis: that side's match number); ties split on goal difference, then goals scored.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Jupiler Pro League matches this season: RAAL La Louvière 8, Zulte Waregem 8.
RAAL La Louvière score most often in the 0–15 minute window (3 goals); Zulte Waregem have let in 2 there.
Zulte Waregem score most often in the 76–90 minute window (4 goals); RAAL La Louvière have let in 4 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
RAAL La Louvière
- at Charleroi1 Nov · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 16%
- vs Cercle Brugge7 Nov · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 31%
- at Genk21 Nov · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 17%
- at KVC Westerlo28 Nov · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 18%
- vs Antwerp12 Dec · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 38%
Zulte Waregem
- vs Club Brugge KV30 Oct · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 19%
- at St. Truiden8 Nov · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 29%
- vs Antwerp21 Nov · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 51%
- at Lommel United28 Nov · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 27%
- vs Standard Liege12 Dec · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 42%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.