Regular Season - 9 · 24 October 2026, 18:45 UTC

KVC Westerlo vs SK Beveren Jupiler Pro League prediction

Het Kuipje, Westerlo

Our model says: KVC Westerlo 2–1 SK Beveren

The model makes it 60% KVC Westerlo, 21% draw, 19% SK Beveren — fair odds of 1.67, 4.76 and 5.26. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (9%).

Expected goals: KVC Westerlo 2.44, SK Beveren 1.14.

Both teams to score: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 69%, under 2.5: 31%.

Model confidence: High.

Edge to KVC Westerlo: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.

Published · updated

Key facts

  • KVC Westerlo are 6th on 13 points from 8 games; SK Beveren are 11th on 9 points from 8 games — Jupiler Pro League.
  • KVC Westerlo are unbeaten in their last 5 games (4 won), most recently a 5-1 win at home to Antwerp.
  • SK Beveren have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-3 defeat at home to Lommel United.
  • Last 6 meetings: level at 2 wins each, 2 draws; the most recent, 1 November 2023, ended SK Beveren 3–1 KVC Westerlo.

More Jupiler Pro League predictions

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Live win probability

From kick-off

From kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.

Model insights: KVC Westerlo vs SK Beveren

63%
Both teams to score
69%
Over 2.5 goals
31%
Under 2.5 goals

Most likely scorelines

KVC Westerlo win Draw SK Beveren win
  1. 2–19%
  2. 2–08%
  3. 1–18%
  4. 3–18%
  5. 3–07%
  6. 1–06%
  7. 2–25%

Scores read KVC Westerlo first. Each bar is the model's probability of that exact result, drawn against the likeliest one; the other scorelines it considered share the remaining 49%.

Has the model earned this number?

It puts KVC Westerlo at 60% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 872 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Form going into KVC Westerlo vs SK Beveren

KVC Westerlo

  • W5-1Antwerp11 October 2026
  • W2-0away to St. Truiden20 September 2026
  • W4-2Standard Liege12 September 2026
  • W4-0away to KV Mechelen5 September 2026
  • D2-2Zulte Waregem30 August 2026

SK Beveren

  • L1-3Lommel United9 October 2026
  • L0-1away to Kortrijk20 September 2026
  • W2-0St. Truiden12 September 2026
  • W3-0OH Leuven6 September 2026
  • L0-4away to Genk28 August 2026

What these results say

  • KVC Westerlo went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
  • KVC Westerlo scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • KVC Westerlo won 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Jupiler Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
6KVC Westerlo84132017+313
11SK Beveren8305814-69

Where the two sides stand. Full table

What's at stake

KVC Westerlo

Chance to finish in the top four · 13% today

Win 14%
Draw 12%
Defeat 9%

SK Beveren

Chance to finish in the bottom three · 39% today

Win 30%
Draw 40%
Defeat 42%

From our Jupiler Pro League season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. Each figure is that side's chance once this match ends in a win, a draw or a defeat for it, with every other match still left to the model. Positions in the table, not competition rules: what a place is worth differs from league to league.

Head-to-head: KVC Westerlo vs SK Beveren

  • 1 November 2023SK Beveren 3–1 KVC WesterloCup
  • 23 March 2023SK Beveren 2–2 KVC WesterloFriendlies Clubs
  • 25 February 2022KVC Westerlo 2–1 SK BeverenChallenger Pro League
  • 30 January 2022SK Beveren 2–1 KVC WesterloChallenger Pro League
  • 7 November 2021KVC Westerlo 1–1 SK BeverenChallenger Pro League
  • 12 September 2021SK Beveren 0–2 KVC WesterloChallenger Pro League

Leading scorers: KVC Westerlo and SK Beveren

KVC Westerlo

GoalsAssists

  • N. Bassette50
  • S. Saito31

SK Beveren

GoalsAssists

  • C. Lokesa40

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

The two sides

KVC Westerlo carry a model rating of 6.8 against 6.52 for SK Beveren. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.

The model expects goals

Under the hood the model expects 2.44 goals for KVC Westerlo and 1.14 for SK Beveren. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.

KVC Westerlo rate 1.10 in attack and 1.25 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; SK Beveren rate 0.71 and 1.37.

The rest of the season

Across the rest of the season our simulation gives KVC Westerlo a 0.1% chance of the title and SK Beveren 0%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.

How this was produced

Publicly tracked record so far: 1,774 correct results out of 3,712 settled predictions (48%), with 376 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.

Full method: how the model works.

From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives KVC Westerlo the highest probability at 60%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.44 expected goals for KVC Westerlo against 1.14 for SK Beveren. KVC Westerlo's attack/defence rating is 1.1/1.25 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.71/1.37 for SK Beveren.

Season stats

KVC WesterloSK Beveren
8Matches8
4W 1D 3LRecord3W 0D 5L
20 2.5 per gameGoals scored8 1.0 per game
17 2.1 per gameGoals conceded14 1.8 per game
2 of 8Clean sheets3 of 8
1 of 8Failed to score3 of 8
1 of 1Penalties scored1 of 1
11 1.4 per gameYellow cards15 1.9 per game
0Red cards1
4-2-3-1 6×Usual shape4-2-3-1 7×

KVC Westerlo at home · SK Beveren away

4Played4
2W 1D 1LRecord0W 0D 4L
12–10Goals for – against1–11
0 of 4Clean sheets0 of 4

League matches only, Jupiler Pro League, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.

Position by match

KVC WesterloSK Beveren

151018 KVC Westerlo, match 1, 8 August 2026: vs Union St. Gilloise 1-5 → 18thKVC Westerlo, match 2, 15 August 2026: at Genk 3-2 → 17thKVC Westerlo, match 3, 23 August 2026: at Lommel United 4-0 → 18thKVC Westerlo, match 4, 30 August 2026: vs Zulte Waregem 2-2 → 16thKVC Westerlo, match 5, 5 September 2026: at KV Mechelen 0-4 → 12thKVC Westerlo, match 6, 12 September 2026: vs Standard Liege 4-2 → 13thKVC Westerlo, match 7, 20 September 2026: at St. Truiden 0-2 → 8thKVC Westerlo, match 8, 11 October 2026: vs Antwerp 5-1 → 6thSK Beveren, match 1, 9 August 2026: at Antwerp 2-1 → 14thSK Beveren, match 2, 16 August 2026: vs Anderlecht 1-0 → 9thSK Beveren, match 3, 22 August 2026: at Zulte Waregem 4-0 → 10thSK Beveren, match 4, 28 August 2026: at Genk 4-0 → 11thSK Beveren, match 5, 6 September 2026: vs OH Leuven 3-0 → 12thSK Beveren, match 6, 12 September 2026: vs St. Truiden 2-0 → 8thSK Beveren, match 7, 20 September 2026: at Kortrijk 1-0 → 10thSK Beveren, match 8, 9 October 2026: vs Lommel United 1-3 → 11th 12345678 151018 KVC Westerlo, match 1, 8 August 2026: vs Union St. Gilloise 1-5 → 18thKVC Westerlo, match 2, 15 August 2026: at Genk 3-2 → 17thKVC Westerlo, match 3, 23 August 2026: at Lommel United 4-0 → 18thKVC Westerlo, match 4, 30 August 2026: vs Zulte Waregem 2-2 → 16thKVC Westerlo, match 5, 5 September 2026: at KV Mechelen 0-4 → 12thKVC Westerlo, match 6, 12 September 2026: vs Standard Liege 4-2 → 13thKVC Westerlo, match 7, 20 September 2026: at St. Truiden 0-2 → 8thKVC Westerlo, match 8, 11 October 2026: vs Antwerp 5-1 → 6thSK Beveren, match 1, 9 August 2026: at Antwerp 2-1 → 14thSK Beveren, match 2, 16 August 2026: vs Anderlecht 1-0 → 9thSK Beveren, match 3, 22 August 2026: at Zulte Waregem 4-0 → 10thSK Beveren, match 4, 28 August 2026: at Genk 4-0 → 11thSK Beveren, match 5, 6 September 2026: vs OH Leuven 3-0 → 12thSK Beveren, match 6, 12 September 2026: vs St. Truiden 2-0 → 8thSK Beveren, match 7, 20 September 2026: at Kortrijk 1-0 → 10thSK Beveren, match 8, 9 October 2026: vs Lommel United 1-3 → 11th 12345678

KVC Westerlo are 6th after 8 Jupiler Pro League matches (between 6th and 18th so far); SK Beveren are 11th after 8 (between 8th and 14th). Rebuilt from the season's results after each side's matches (x-axis: that side's match number); ties split on goal difference, then goals scored.

Goals scored and conceded, by minute

All Jupiler Pro League matches this season: KVC Westerlo 8, SK Beveren 8.

KVC Westerlo scored 512425
SK Beveren conceded 132521
SK Beveren scored 111212
KVC Westerlo conceded 143244

Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.

The next 5 matches, by difficulty

KVC Westerlo

  • at Anderlecht31 Oct · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 29%
  • vs Charleroi7 Nov · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 39%
  • at Cercle Brugge20 Nov · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 34%
  • vs RAAL La Louvière28 Nov · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 61%
  • at Club Brugge KV13 Dec · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 11%

SK Beveren

  • vs Union St. Gilloise31 Oct · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 13%
  • at Standard Liege6 Nov · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 21%
  • vs Gent22 Nov · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 21%
  • at Charleroi28 Nov · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 16%
  • vs Cercle Brugge12 Dec · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 31%

Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.