Batman Petrolspor
vs
Muğlaspor
1. Lig prediction
Our model says: Batman Petrolspor 2–1 Muğlaspor
The model makes it 59% Batman Petrolspor, 21% draw, 20% Muğlaspor — fair odds of 1.69, 4.76 and 5.00.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (9%).
Expected goals: Batman Petrolspor 2.58, Muğlaspor 1.31.
Both teams to score: 68%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%, under 2.5: 25%.
Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 61% of the time, over 2,123 settled matches.
Edge to Batman Petrolspor: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 11 November 2026. Batman Petrolspor's rating is built from 14 TFF 1. Lig matches and Muğlaspor's from 14, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.
Key facts
- Batman Petrolspor are 5th on 24 points from 14 games; Muğlaspor are 11th on 18 points from 14 games — 1. Lig.
- Batman Petrolspor have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-1 draw away to Mardin 1969.
- Muğlaspor have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-5 defeat at home to Esenler Erokspor.
- Last 3 meetings: Batman Petrolspor 2 wins to 1, 0 draws; the most recent, 4 April 2026, ended Batman Petrolspor 1–0 Muğlaspor.
More TFF 1. Lig predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Batman Petrolspor vs Muğlaspor
Has the model earned this number?
Batman Petrolspor at 59%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Batman Petrolspor vs Muğlaspor
Batman Petrolspor
1. Lig
- D1-1away to Mardin 19698 November 2026
- L1-2away to Manisa F.K.31 October 2026
- W3-2Esenler Erokspor25 October 2026
- D2-2away to Kayserispor18 October 2026
- W4-2İstanbulspor14 October 2026
Muğlaspor
1. Lig
- L0-5Esenler Erokspor7 November 2026
- L0-6away to Kayserispor2 November 2026
- W5-0İstanbulspor24 October 2026
- W4-3away to Manisa F.K.19 October 2026
- L0-3Bursaspor15 October 2026
What these results say
- Batman Petrolspor scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Batman Petrolspor conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Both sides scored in every one of these 5 matches for Batman Petrolspor.
- Every one of these 5 matches for Muğlaspor had three goals or more.
- Muğlaspor conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
1. Lig table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Batman Petrolspor | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 24 | +3 | 24 |
| 11 | Muğlaspor | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Muğlaspor
Chance to finish in the bottom four · 24% today
From our 1. Lig season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: Batman Petrolspor vs Muğlaspor
- 4 April 2026Batman Petrolspor 1–0 Muğlaspor2. Lig
- 7 December 2025Muğlaspor 2–0 Batman Petrolspor2. Lig
- 7 December 2019Muğlaspor 2–3 Batman Petrolspor3. Lig - Group 3
Leading scorers: Batman Petrolspor and Muğlaspor
Batman Petrolspor
GoalsAssists
- Pedrinho50
- M. Biron42
Muğlaspor
GoalsAssists
- M. Diarra41
- Y. Uzunoglu41
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Batman Petrolspor a 0.7% chance of the title and Muğlaspor 0%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Batman Petrolspor the highest probability at 59%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.58 expected goals for Batman Petrolspor against 1.31 for Muğlaspor. Batman Petrolspor's attack/defence rating is 0.76/1.87 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.58/2.09 for Muğlaspor.
How the model reaches 59% for Batman Petrolspor to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Batman Petrolspor to win. Then home advantage adds 8 points, the level of the two sides adds 3 points, Batman Petrolspor's ratings add 7 points and Muğlaspor's ratings add 5 points, which lands on the published 59%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage44%+8
- Both sides at this match's level47%+3
- Batman Petrolspor's ratings54%+7
- Muğlaspor's ratings59%+5
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Batman Petrolspor at home · Muğlaspor away
League matches only, 1. Lig, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All 1. Lig matches this season: Batman Petrolspor 14, Muğlaspor 14.
Batman Petrolspor score most often in the 76–90 minute window (7 goals); Muğlaspor have let in 6 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Batman Petrolspor
- at Bandırmaspor29 Nov · 1. Ligwin 33%
- vs Keçiörengücü6 Dec · 1. Ligwin 41%
- at Ümraniyespor13 Dec · 1. Ligwin 28%
- vs Antalyaspor20 Dec · 1. Ligwin 51%
- vs Pendikspor10 Jan · 1. Ligwin 55%
Muğlaspor
- vs Mardin 196929 Nov · 1. Ligwin 30%
- vs Antalyaspor6 Dec · 1. Ligwin 39%
- at Pendikspor13 Dec · 1. Ligwin 27%
- vs Keçiörengücü20 Dec · 1. Ligwin 30%
- vs Sarıyer10 Jan · 1. Ligwin 42%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.