Regular Season - 12 · 22 November 2026, 16:00 UTC

Trabzonspor vs Eyüpspor Süper Lig prediction

Papara Park, Trabzon

Our model says: Trabzonspor 3–0 Eyüpspor

The model makes it 81% Trabzonspor, 13% draw, 6% Eyüpspor — fair odds of 1.23, 7.69 and 16.67.

Most likely scoreline: 3-0 (13%).

Expected goals: Trabzonspor 3.11, Eyüpspor 0.54.

Both teams to score: 40%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%, under 2.5: 30%.

Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 61% of the time, over 2,123 settled matches.

One-sided: Trabzonspor are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.

Published 8 November 2026 · updated 11 November 2026

Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 11 November 2026. Trabzonspor's rating is built from 45 Süper Lig matches and Eyüpspor's from 45, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 747 matches.

Key facts

Trabzonspor are 2nd on 25 points from 11 games; Eyüpspor are bottom on 3 points from 11 games — Süper Lig.
Trabzonspor are unbeaten in their last 5 games (5 won), most recently a 2-0 win away to Alanyaspor.
Eyüpspor have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 0-2 defeat at home to Kocaelispor.
Last 4 meetings: Trabzonspor 3 wins to 0, 1 draw; the most recent, 18 March 2026, ended Eyüpspor 0–1 Trabzonspor.

More Süper Lig predictions

All Süper Lig predictions →

Live win probability

From kick-off

From kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.

Model insights: Trabzonspor vs Eyüpspor

40%

Both teams to score

70%

Over 2.5 goals

30%

Under 2.5 goals

Most likely scorelines

Trabzonspor win Draw Eyüpspor win

3–013%
2–013%
4–010%
1–08%
3–17%
2–17%
5–06%

Scores read Trabzonspor first; the other scorelines share the remaining 36%. How to read this.

Has the model earned this number?

Trabzonspor at 81%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Form going into Trabzonspor vs Eyüpspor

Trabzonspor

Süper Lig

W2-0away to Alanyaspor8 November 2026
W2-0Gaziantep FK1 November 2026
W4-3away to Rizespor26 October 2026
W2-0Beşiktaş19 October 2026
W3-0away to Samsunspor10 October 2026

Eyüpspor

Süper Lig

L0-2Kocaelispor7 November 2026
L1-5away to Amed1 November 2026
L0-1Kasımpaşa24 October 2026
L0-2away to Erzurumspor FK17 October 2026
L0-4Göztepe12 October 2026

What these results say

Trabzonspor won every one of these 5 matches.
Trabzonspor scored in every one of these 5 matches.
Trabzonspor kept a clean sheet in 4 of these 5 matches.
Eyüpspor did not win any of these 5 matches.
Eyüpspor conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
Eyüpspor failed to score in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Süper Lig table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	Trabzonspor	11	8	1	2	26	8	+18	25
18	Eyüpspor	11	1	0	10	3	30	-27	3

Where the two sides stand. Full table

What's at stake

Trabzonspor

Chance to win the league · 20% today

Win 20%

Draw 15%

Defeat 11%

Eyüpspor

Chance to finish in the bottom three · 97% today

Win 94%

Draw 95%

Defeat 97%

From our Süper Lig season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.

Head-to-head: Trabzonspor vs Eyüpspor

18 March 2026Eyüpspor 0–1 TrabzonsporSüper Lig
25 October 2025Trabzonspor 2–0 EyüpsporSüper Lig
10 February 2025Trabzonspor 1–0 EyüpsporSüper Lig
1 September 2024Eyüpspor 0–0 TrabzonsporSüper Lig

Leading scorers: Trabzonspor and Eyüpspor

Trabzonspor

GoalsAssists

Mohamed Salah93
Franculino Djú42
E. Muçi36

Eyüpspor

No player in Süper Lig's leading scorers — 3 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The rest of the season

Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Trabzonspor a 19.8% chance of the title and Eyüpspor 0%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Trabzonspor Eyüpspor

1.12 Attack strength (vs league average) 0.47

0.87 Defence strength (vs league average, lower = stronger) 1.67

3.11 Model expected goals (this match) 0.54

Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Trabzonspor the highest probability at 81%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 3.11 expected goals for Trabzonspor against 0.54 for Eyüpspor. Trabzonspor's attack/defence rating is 1.12/0.87 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.47/1.67 for Eyüpspor.

Trabzonspor carry a model rating of 6.98 against 6.22 for Eyüpspor.

How the model reaches 81% for Trabzonspor to win

Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 37% for Trabzonspor to win. Then home advantage adds 6 points, the level of the two sides takes away 1 point, Trabzonspor's ratings add 21 points and Eyüpspor's ratings add 18 points, which lands on the published 81%.

Two average sides, neutral ground37%
Home advantage43%+6
Both sides at this match's level42%−1
Trabzonspor's ratings63%+21
Eyüpspor's ratings81%+18

Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.

Goal trends

TrabzonsporModelEyüpspor

Over 1.5 goals

90%

9 of 10 games

88%

model, this match

80%

8 of 10 games

Over 2.5 goals

60%

6 of 10 games

70%

model, this match

50%

5 of 10 games

Over 3.5 goals

30%

3 of 10 games

49%

model, this match

30%

3 of 10 games

Both teams score

30%

3 of 10 games

40%

model, this match

20%

2 of 10 games

Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.

Season stats

TrabzonsporEyüpspor

11Matches11

8W 1D 2LRecord1W 0D 10L

26 2.4 per gameGoals scored3 0.3 per game

8 0.7 per gameGoals conceded30 2.7 per game

6 of 11Clean sheets0 of 11

1 of 11Failed to score9 of 11

1 of 1Penalties scored–

20 1.8 per gameYellow cards15 1.4 per game

1Red cards2

4-2-3-1 5×Usual shape4-1-4-1 6×

Trabzonspor at home · Eyüpspor away

5Played5

5W 0D 0LRecord0W 0D 5L

15–1Goals for – against1–19

4 of 5Clean sheets0 of 5

League matches only, Süper Lig, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.

Position by match

TrabzonsporEyüpspor

Trabzonspor are 2nd after 11 Süper Lig matches (between 2nd and 10th so far); Eyüpspor are 18th after 11 (between 14th and 18th). How to read this.

Goals scored and conceded, by minute

All Süper Lig matches this season: Trabzonspor 11, Eyüpspor 11.

Trabzonspor scored 547523

Eyüpspor conceded 765714

Trabzonspor score most often in the 31–45 minute window (7 goals); Eyüpspor have let in 5 there.

Eyüpspor scored 001011

Trabzonspor conceded 211211

League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.

The next 5 matches, by difficulty

Trabzonspor

at CSKA Sofia26 Nov · UEFA Europa Conference Leaguewin 40%
at Göztepe30 Nov · Süper Ligwin 45%
vs Çorum FK6 Dec · Süper Ligwin 65%
vs FK Jablonec10 Dec · UEFA Europa Conference Leaguewin 68%
at Fenerbahçe13 Dec · Süper Ligwin 27%

Eyüpspor

vs Başakşehir29 Nov · Süper Ligwin 14%
at Gençlerbirliği S.K.6 Dec · Süper Ligwin 17%
vs Galatasaray12 Dec · Süper Ligwin 9%
at Konyaspor19 Dec · Süper Ligwin 18%
vs Samsunspor17 Jan · Süper Ligwin 29%

Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.