Regular Season - 12 · 22 November 2026, 13:00 UTC

Konyaspor vs Beşiktaş Süper Lig prediction

Konya Buyuksehir Belediye Stadium, Konya

Our model says: Konyaspor 0–1 Beşiktaş

The model makes it 23% Konyaspor, 28% draw, 49% Beşiktaş — fair odds of 4.35, 3.57 and 2.04.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1 (13%).

Expected goals: Konyaspor 0.87, Beşiktaş 1.55.

Both teams to score: 47%. Over 2.5 goals: 44%, under 2.5: 56%.

Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,920 settled matches.

One-sided: Beşiktaş are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.

Published 8 November 2026 · updated 12 November 2026

Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 12 November 2026. Konyaspor's rating is built from 45 Süper Lig matches and Beşiktaş's from 45, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 747 matches.

Key facts

Konyaspor are 15th on 8 points from 11 games; Beşiktaş are 4th on 22 points from 11 games — Süper Lig.
Konyaspor have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-1 defeat away to Samsunspor.
Beşiktaş are unbeaten in 3 games, most recently a 3-0 win at home to Gençlerbirliği S.K..
Last 6 meetings: Beşiktaş 4 wins to 2, 0 draws; the most recent, 5 May 2026, ended Beşiktaş 0–1 Konyaspor.

More Süper Lig predictions

All Süper Lig predictions →

Live win probability

From kick-off

From kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.

Model insights: Konyaspor vs Beşiktaş

47%

Both teams to score

44%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

Under 2.5 goals

Most likely scorelines

Konyaspor win Draw Beşiktaş win

0–113%
1–113%
0–211%
0–09%
1–29%
1–07%
0–36%

Scores read Konyaspor first; the other scorelines share the remaining 32%. How to read this.

Has the model earned this number?

Beşiktaş at 49%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Form going into Konyaspor vs Beşiktaş

Konyaspor

Süper Lig

L0-1away to Samsunspor7 November 2026
L0-4Galatasaray30 October 2026
W2-0Gençlerbirliği S.K.25 October 2026
L0-1away to Amed17 October 2026
D0-0Başakşehir11 October 2026

Beşiktaş

Süper Lig

W3-0Gençlerbirliği S.K.8 November 2026
D2-2away to Kasımpaşa1 November 2026
W2-0Başakşehir26 October 2026
L0-2away to Trabzonspor19 October 2026
W2-1Kocaelispor11 October 2026

What these results say

Konyaspor failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
Konyaspor failed to score in 4 of these 5 matches.
4 of these 5 matches for Konyaspor had two goals or fewer.
Beşiktaş scored in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Süper Lig table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
15	Konyaspor	11	2	2	7	6	14	-8	8
4	Beşiktaş	11	7	1	3	23	12	+11	22

Where the two sides stand. Full table

What's at stake

Konyaspor

Chance to finish in the bottom three · 26% today

Win 19%

Draw 25%

Defeat 29%

Beşiktaş

Chance to finish in the top four · 58% today

Win 62%

Draw 55%

Defeat 49%

From our Süper Lig season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.

Head-to-head: Konyaspor vs Beşiktaş

5 May 2026Beşiktaş 0–1 KonyasporTürkiye Kupası
31 January 2026Beşiktaş 2–1 KonyasporSüper Lig
22 October 2025Konyaspor 0–2 BeşiktaşSüper Lig
15 March 2025Konyaspor 1–0 BeşiktaşSüper Lig
20 October 2024Beşiktaş 2–0 KonyasporSüper Lig
28 February 2024Beşiktaş 2–0 KonyasporTürkiye Kupası

The full Konyaspor vs Beşiktaş record →

Leading scorers: Konyaspor and Beşiktaş

Konyaspor

No player in Süper Lig's leading scorers — 6 league goals as a side.

Beşiktaş

GoalsAssists

D. Vlahović90

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The rest of the season

Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Konyaspor a 0% chance of the title and Beşiktaş 5.9%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Konyaspor Beşiktaş

0.56 Attack strength (vs league average) 1.09

1.08 Defence strength (vs league average, lower = stronger) 0.94

0.87 Model expected goals (this match) 1.55

Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Beşiktaş the highest probability at 49%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 0.87 expected goals for Konyaspor against 1.55 for Beşiktaş. Konyaspor's attack/defence rating is 0.56/1.08 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 1.09/0.94 for Beşiktaş.

Konyaspor carry a model rating of 6.55 against 6.92 for Beşiktaş.

How the model reaches 49% for Beşiktaş to win

Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Beşiktaş to win. Then home advantage takes away 5 points, the level of the two sides takes away 1 point, Konyaspor's ratings add 8 points and Beşiktaş's ratings add 11 points, which lands on the published 49%.

Two average sides, neutral ground36%
Home advantage31%−5
Both sides at this match's level30%−1
Konyaspor's ratings38%+8
Beşiktaş's ratings49%+11

Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.

Goal trends

KonyasporModelBeşiktaş

Over 1.5 goals

40%

4 of 10 games

70%

model, this match

90%

9 of 10 games

Over 2.5 goals

30%

3 of 10 games

44%

model, this match

70%

7 of 10 games

Over 3.5 goals

20%

2 of 10 games

23%

model, this match

30%

3 of 10 games

Both teams score

20%

2 of 10 games

47%

model, this match

50%

5 of 10 games

Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.

Season stats

KonyasporBeşiktaş

11Matches11

2W 2D 7LRecord7W 1D 3L

6 0.5 per gameGoals scored23 2.1 per game

14 1.3 per gameGoals conceded12 1.1 per game

4 of 11Clean sheets4 of 11

7 of 11Failed to score2 of 11

–Penalties scored3 of 3

24 2.2 per gameYellow cards25 2.3 per game

1Red cards0

4-2-3-1 10×Usual shape4-1-4-1 11×

Konyaspor at home · Beşiktaş away

6Played5

2W 1D 3LRecord1W 1D 3L

4–7Goals for – against6–9

3 of 6Clean sheets0 of 5

League matches only, Süper Lig, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.

Position by match

KonyasporBeşiktaş

Konyaspor are 15th after 11 Süper Lig matches (between 13th and 18th so far); Beşiktaş are 4th after 11 (between 1st and 11th). How to read this.

Goals scored and conceded, by minute

All Süper Lig matches this season: Konyaspor 11, Beşiktaş 11.

Konyaspor scored 201101

Beşiktaş conceded 140323

Konyaspor score most often in the 0–15 minute window (2 goals); Beşiktaş have let in 1 there.

Beşiktaş scored 164335

Konyaspor conceded 233313

Beşiktaş score most often in the 16–30 minute window (6 goals); Konyaspor have let in 3 there.

League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.

The next 5 matches, by difficulty

Konyaspor

at Alanyaspor27 Nov · Süper Ligwin 31%
vs Gaziantep FK5 Dec · Süper Ligwin 45%
at Göztepe13 Dec · Süper Ligwin 22%
vs Eyüpspor19 Dec · Süper Ligwin 54%
at Çorum FK17 Jan · Süper Ligwin 25%

Beşiktaş

vs Hapoel Beer Sheva26 Nov · UEFA Europa Leaguewin 60%
vs Galatasaray30 Nov · Süper Ligwin 39%
vs Samsunspor6 Dec · Süper Ligwin 70%
at Bayer Leverkusen10 Dec · UEFA Europa Leaguewin 25%
at Gaziantep FK14 Dec · Süper Ligwin 58%

Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.