Regular Season - 6 · 23 November 2026, 16:45 UTC

CR Belouizdad vs Olympique Akbou Ligue 1 prediction

Our model says: CR Belouizdad 1–0 Olympique Akbou

The model makes it 54% CR Belouizdad, 25% draw, 21% Olympique Akbou — fair odds of 1.85, 4.00 and 4.76.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

Expected goals: CR Belouizdad 1.84, Olympique Akbou 0.95.

Both teams to score: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%, under 2.5: 47%.

Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 61% of the time, over 2,123 settled matches.

Edge to CR Belouizdad: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.

Published · updated

Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 11 November 2026. CR Belouizdad's rating is built from 38 Ligue 1 (Algeria) matches and Olympique Akbou's from 38, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.

Key facts

  • CR Belouizdad are top on 20 points from 8 games; Olympique Akbou are 7th on 12 points from 8 games — Ligue 1.
  • CR Belouizdad are unbeaten in their last 5 games (4 won), most recently a 1-0 win away to Ben Aknoun.
  • Olympique Akbou are unbeaten in their last 5 games (2 won), most recently a 0-0 draw at home to JS Kabylie.
  • Last 5 meetings: CR Belouizdad 4 wins to 0, 1 draw; the most recent, 8 May 2026, ended Olympique Akbou 0–1 CR Belouizdad.

More Ligue 1 (Algeria) predictions

All Ligue 1 (Algeria) predictions →

Live win probability

From kick-off

From kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.

Model insights: CR Belouizdad vs Olympique Akbou

52%
Both teams to score
53%
Over 2.5 goals
47%
Under 2.5 goals

Most likely scorelines

CR Belouizdad win Draw Olympique Akbou win
  1. 1–111%
  2. 1–011%
  3. 2–010%
  4. 2–110%
  5. 0–07%
  6. 3–06%
  7. 3–16%

Scores read CR Belouizdad first; the other scorelines share the remaining 39%. How to read this.

Has the model earned this number?

CR Belouizdad at 54%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Form going into CR Belouizdad vs Olympique Akbou

CR Belouizdad

Ligue 1

  • W1-0away to Ben Aknoun8 November 2026
  • W1-0JS Saoura2 November 2026
  • D2-2away to USM Alger24 October 2026
  • W3-2away to JS El Biar12 October 2026
  • W1-0Khenchela7 October 2026

Olympique Akbou

Ligue 1

  • D0-0JS Kabylie7 November 2026
  • D0-0away to MC Oran30 October 2026
  • W3-0CS Constantine23 October 2026
  • W2-1Ben Aknoun16 October 2026
  • D0-0away to JS Saoura8 October 2026

What these results say

  • CR Belouizdad went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
  • CR Belouizdad scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • CR Belouizdad won 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Olympique Akbou went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
  • Olympique Akbou kept a clean sheet in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Algeria Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1CR Belouizdad8620137+620
7Olympique Akbou833296+312

Where the two sides stand. Full table

What's at stake

CR Belouizdad

Chance to win the league · 42% today

Win 46%
Draw 39%
Defeat 32%

Olympique Akbou

Chance to finish in the top two · 5% today

Win 8%
Draw 5%
Defeat 4%

From our Ligue 1 season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.

Head-to-head: CR Belouizdad vs Olympique Akbou

  • 8 May 2026Olympique Akbou 0–1 CR BelouizdadLigue 1
  • 20 December 2025CR Belouizdad 3–2 Olympique AkbouLigue 1
  • 21 June 2025Olympique Akbou 0–0 CR BelouizdadLigue 1
  • 27 December 2024CR Belouizdad 1–0 Olympique AkbouLigue 1
  • 29 March 2024CR Belouizdad 2–0 Olympique AkbouCoupe Nationale

The rest of the season

Across the rest of the season our simulation gives CR Belouizdad a 42% chance of the title and Olympique Akbou 1.5%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.

How the call on CR Belouizdad v Olympique Akbou has moved

First published on 6 Oct at 52% / 26% / 22% (home / draw / away). After 4 updates it reads 54% / 25% / 21%: the biggest move is CR Belouizdad's chance of winning, up 2 points.

  1. CR Belouizdad win54%▲ +2
  2. Draw25%▼ −1
  3. Olympique Akbou win21%▼ −1

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

CR Belouizdad Olympique Akbou
0.76 Attack strength (vs league average) 0.55
1.44 Defence strength (vs league average, lower = stronger) 1.49
1.84 Model expected goals (this match) 0.95

Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives CR Belouizdad the highest probability at 54%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.84 expected goals for CR Belouizdad against 0.95 for Olympique Akbou. CR Belouizdad's attack/defence rating is 0.76/1.44 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.55/1.49 for Olympique Akbou.

CR Belouizdad carry a model rating of 6.53 against 6.36 for Olympique Akbou.

How the model reaches 54% for CR Belouizdad to win

Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for CR Belouizdad to win. Then home advantage adds 8 points, CR Belouizdad's ratings add 5 points and Olympique Akbou's ratings add 5 points, which lands on the published 54%.

  1. Two average sides, neutral ground36%
  2. Home advantage44%+8
  3. CR Belouizdad's ratings49%+5
  4. Olympique Akbou's ratings54%+5

Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.

Season stats

CR BelouizdadOlympique Akbou
8Matches8
6W 2D 0LRecord3W 3D 2L
13 1.6 per gameGoals scored9 1.1 per game
7 0.9 per gameGoals conceded6 0.8 per game
5 of 8Clean sheets5 of 8
0 of 8Failed to score4 of 8
3 of 4Penalties scored2 of 2
22 2.8 per gameYellow cards20 2.5 per game
1Red cards0

CR Belouizdad at home · Olympique Akbou away

3Played4
3W 0D 0LRecord1W 2D 1L
3–0Goals for – against2–2
3 of 3Clean sheets3 of 4

League matches only, Ligue 1, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.

Goals scored and conceded, by minute

All Ligue 1 matches this season: CR Belouizdad 8, Olympique Akbou 8.

CR Belouizdad scored 312213
Olympique Akbou conceded 110102
Olympique Akbou scored 101701
CR Belouizdad conceded 311210

Olympique Akbou score most often in the 46–60 minute window (7 goals); CR Belouizdad have let in 2 there.

League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.

The next 3 matches, by difficulty

CR Belouizdad

  • vs JS Kabylie28 Nov · Ligue 1win 46%
  • at MC Alger26 Dec · Ligue 1win 28%

Olympique Akbou

  • vs ES Setif28 Nov · Ligue 1win 47%
  • vs Témouchent1 Dec · Ligue 1win 53%
  • at US Biskra26 Dec · Ligue 1win 47%

Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.