Al-Faisaly FC
vs
Al Khaleej Saihat
Pro League prediction
Our model says: Al-Faisaly FC 1–2 Al Khaleej Saihat
The model makes it 36% Al-Faisaly FC, 26% draw, 38% Al Khaleej Saihat — fair odds of 2.78, 3.85 and 2.63.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: Al-Faisaly FC 1.60, Al Khaleej Saihat 1.65.
Both teams to score: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 63%, under 2.5: 37%.
Model confidence: Low — calls at this level have come off 38% of the time, over 1,304 settled matches.
A tight game: Al-Faisaly FC and Al Khaleej Saihat are within 3 points of each other, so the draw is a real outcome here.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 12 November 2026. Al-Faisaly FC's rating is built from 12 Saudi Pro League matches and Al Khaleej Saihat's from 46, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 716 matches.
Key facts
- Al-Faisaly FC are 15th on 10 points from 12 games; Al Khaleej Saihat are 9th on 15 points from 12 games — Pro League.
- Al-Faisaly FC have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-4 defeat away to Al-Fayha.
- Al Khaleej Saihat have won 3 of their last 5 games, most recently a 4-2 win at home to Al-Hazm.
- Last 4 meetings: Al-Faisaly FC 3 wins to 0, 1 draw; the most recent, 15 January 2019, ended Al Khaleej Saihat 1–2 Al-Faisaly FC.
More Saudi Pro League predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Al-Faisaly FC vs Al Khaleej Saihat
Has the model earned this number?
Al Khaleej Saihat at 38%: of 4,756 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Al-Faisaly FC vs Al Khaleej Saihat
Al-Faisaly FC
Pro League
- L1-4away to Al-Fayha31 October 2026
- W1-0away to Abha27 October 2026
- L1-3Al-Nassr23 October 2026
- D2-2away to Al Shabab19 October 2026
- W3-2Al Kholood15 October 2026
Al Khaleej Saihat
Pro League
- W4-2Al-Hazm29 October 2026
- L1-4away to Al-Ahli Jeddah23 October 2026
- W3-2away to Al-Fateh18 October 2026
- W2-0Al-Fayha15 October 2026
- D1-1away to Al-Ettifaq10 October 2026
What these results say
- Al-Faisaly FC scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Al-Faisaly FC conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Al-Faisaly FC had three goals or more.
- Al Khaleej Saihat scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Al Khaleej Saihat conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Both sides scored in 4 of these 5 matches for Al Khaleej Saihat.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Saudi Arabia Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Al-Faisaly FC | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 10 |
| 9 | Al Khaleej Saihat | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 15 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Al-Faisaly FC vs Al Khaleej Saihat
- 15 January 2019Al Khaleej Saihat 1–2 Al-Faisaly FCKing's Cup
- 25 February 2017Al-Faisaly FC 2–1 Al Khaleej SaihatKing's Cup
- 22 December 2016Al Khaleej Saihat 1–1 Al-Faisaly FCPro League
- 12 August 2016Al-Faisaly FC 3–1 Al Khaleej SaihatPro League
Leading scorers: Al-Faisaly FC and Al Khaleej Saihat
Al-Faisaly FC
GoalsAssists
- Alexandre Mendy51
Al Khaleej Saihat
GoalsAssists
- J. King50
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Al Khaleej Saihat the highest probability at 38%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.60 expected goals for Al-Faisaly FC against 1.65 for Al Khaleej Saihat. Al-Faisaly FC's attack/defence rating is 0.64/1.59 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.7/1.52 for Al Khaleej Saihat.
How the model reaches 38% for Al Khaleej Saihat to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 37% for Al Khaleej Saihat to win. Then home advantage takes away 3 points, Al-Faisaly FC's ratings add 2 points and Al Khaleej Saihat's ratings add 2 points, which lands on the published 38%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground37%
- Home advantage34%−3
- Al-Faisaly FC's ratings36%+2
- Al Khaleej Saihat's ratings38%+2
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Al-Faisaly FC at home · Al Khaleej Saihat away
League matches only, Pro League, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Pro League matches this season: Al-Faisaly FC 12, Al Khaleej Saihat 12.
Al Khaleej Saihat score most often in the 76–90 minute window (5 goals); Al-Faisaly FC have let in 2 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 3 matches, by difficulty
Al-Faisaly FC
- at Al Taawon3 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 33%
- vs Al Riyadh10 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 44%
- vs Al-Hilal14 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 11%
Al Khaleej Saihat
- vs Al Diriyah3 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 38%
- at Al-Qadisiyah FC10 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 12%
- vs Al Taawon14 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 42%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.