Al Kholood
vs
Al-Hilal
Pro League prediction
Our model says: Al Kholood 0–3 Al-Hilal
The model makes it 10% Al Kholood, 16% draw, 74% Al-Hilal — fair odds of 10.00, 6.25 and 1.35.
Most likely scoreline: 0-3 (9%).
Expected goals: Al Kholood 0.92, Al-Hilal 3.08.
Both teams to score: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 76%, under 2.5: 24%.
Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 61% of the time, over 2,123 settled matches.
One-sided: Al-Hilal are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published
Key facts
- Al Kholood are 11th on 12 points from 11 games; Al-Hilal are top on 30 points from 11 games — Pro League.
- Al Kholood have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 3-5 defeat away to Al-Nassr.
- Al-Hilal are unbeaten in their last 5 games (5 won), most recently a 2-0 win at home to Al-Fateh.
- Last 5 meetings: Al-Hilal 5 wins to 0, 0 draws; the most recent, 8 May 2026, ended Al Kholood 1–2 Al-Hilal.
More Saudi Pro League predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Al Kholood vs Al-Hilal
Has the model earned this number?
Al-Hilal at 74%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Al Kholood vs Al-Hilal
Al Kholood
Pro League
- L3-5away to Al-Nassr29 October 2026
- L0-3Al-Ettifaq24 October 2026
- L2-3away to Al-Faisaly FC15 October 2026
- L0-5Al-Qadisiyah FC9 October 2026
- L0-2away to Al Riyadh13 September 2026
Al-Hilal
Pro League
- W2-0Al-Fateh31 October 2026
- W3-2away to Al-Qadisiyah FC23 October 2026
- W1-0Al-Hazm19 October 2026
- W3-2Al-Ittihad10 October 2026
- W6-0away to Al Taawon12 September 2026
What these results say
- Al Kholood did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Al Kholood conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Al Kholood had three goals or more.
- Al-Hilal won every one of these 5 matches.
- Al-Hilal scored in every one of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Saudi Arabia Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Al Kholood | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 12 |
| 1 | Al-Hilal | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 9 | +23 | 30 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Al Kholood vs Al-Hilal
- 8 May 2026Al Kholood 1–2 Al-HilalKing's Cup
- 8 April 2026Al-Hilal 6–0 Al KholoodPro League
- 31 December 2025Al Kholood 1–3 Al-HilalPro League
- 25 February 2025Al-Hilal 5–1 Al KholoodPro League
- 28 September 2024Al Kholood 2–4 Al-HilalPro League
Leading scorers: Al Kholood and Al-Hilal
Al Kholood
GoalsAssists
- J. Domingues63
Al-Hilal
GoalsAssists
- Gabriel Martinelli60
- O. Watkins55
- Rúben Neves53
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Al Kholood a 0% chance of the title and Al-Hilal 69.4%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Al-Hilal the highest probability at 74%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 0.92 expected goals for Al Kholood against 3.08 for Al-Hilal. Al Kholood's attack/defence rating is 0.68/1.73 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 1.2/0.82 for Al-Hilal.
How the model reaches 74% for Al-Hilal to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 37% for Al-Hilal to win. Then home advantage takes away 3 points, Al Kholood's ratings add 21 points and Al-Hilal's ratings add 19 points, which lands on the published 74%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground37%
- Home advantage34%−3
- Al Kholood's ratings55%+21
- Al-Hilal's ratings74%+19
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Al Kholood at home · Al-Hilal away
League matches only, Pro League, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Pro League matches this season: Al Kholood 11, Al-Hilal 11.
Al Kholood score most often in the 16–30 minute window (5 goals); Al-Hilal have let in 1 there.
Al-Hilal score most often in the 16–30 minute window (8 goals); Al Kholood have let in 1 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 3 matches, by difficulty
Al Kholood
- at Al-Fateh3 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 36%
- at Abha7 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 36%
- vs Al-Hazm10 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 37%
Al-Hilal
- vs Abha3 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 76%
- vs Al Ain7 Dec · AFC Champions League Elitewin 64%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.