Al Khaleej Saihat
vs
Al-Ittihad
Pro League prediction
Our model says: Al Khaleej Saihat 1–2 Al-Ittihad
The model makes it 26% Al Khaleej Saihat, 25% draw, 49% Al-Ittihad — fair odds of 3.85, 4.00 and 2.04.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: Al Khaleej Saihat 1.30, Al-Ittihad 1.99.
Both teams to score: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%, under 2.5: 36%.
Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,920 settled matches.
Edge to Al-Ittihad: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published · updated
Key facts
- Al Khaleej Saihat are 9th on 15 points from 12 games; Al-Ittihad are 4th on 24 points from 11 games — Pro League.
- Al Khaleej Saihat have won 3 of their last 5 games, most recently a 4-2 win at home to Al-Hazm.
- Al-Ittihad are unbeaten in 3 games, most recently a 1-1 draw away to Abha.
- Last 6 meetings: Al-Ittihad 3 wins to 0, 3 draws; the most recent, 27 February 2026, ended Al-Ittihad 1–0 Al Khaleej Saihat.
More Saudi Pro League predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Ittihad
Has the model earned this number?
Al-Ittihad at 49%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Ittihad
Al Khaleej Saihat
Pro League
- W4-2Al-Hazm29 October 2026
- L1-4away to Al-Ahli Jeddah23 October 2026
- W3-2away to Al-Fateh18 October 2026
- W2-0Al-Fayha15 October 2026
- D1-1away to Al-Ettifaq10 October 2026
Al-Ittihad
Pro League
- D1-1away to Abha30 October 2026
- W2-0Al Diriyah23 October 2026
- W4-1away to Al-Ettifaq20 October 2026
- L2-3away to Al-Hilal10 October 2026
- W3-1away to Al-Faisaly FC11 September 2026
What these results say
- Al Khaleej Saihat scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Al Khaleej Saihat conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Both sides scored in 4 of these 5 matches for Al Khaleej Saihat.
- Al-Ittihad scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Al-Ittihad conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Both sides scored in 4 of these 5 matches for Al-Ittihad.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Saudi Arabia Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Al Khaleej Saihat | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 15 |
| 4 | Al-Ittihad | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | +10 | 24 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Al Khaleej Saihat
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 4% today
Al-Ittihad
Chance to finish in the top four
From our Pro League season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Ittihad
- 27 February 2026Al-Ittihad 1–0 Al Khaleej SaihatPro League
- 1 November 2025Al Khaleej Saihat 4–4 Al-IttihadPro League
- 26 February 2025Al Khaleej Saihat 1–1 Al-IttihadPro League
- 27 September 2024Al-Ittihad 4–1 Al Khaleej SaihatPro League
- 16 May 2024Al Khaleej Saihat 1–1 Al-IttihadPro League
- 30 November 2023Al-Ittihad 4–2 Al Khaleej SaihatPro League
Leading scorers: Al Khaleej Saihat and Al-Ittihad
Al Khaleej Saihat
GoalsAssists
- J. King50
Al-Ittihad
GoalsAssists
- Y. En-Nesyri70
- G. Ilenikhena63
- S. Bergwijn51
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Al Khaleej Saihat a 0% chance of the title and Al-Ittihad 0.8%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Al-Ittihad the highest probability at 49%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.30 expected goals for Al Khaleej Saihat against 1.99 for Al-Ittihad. Al Khaleej Saihat's attack/defence rating is 0.7/1.52 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.88/1.13 for Al-Ittihad.
How the model reaches 49% for Al-Ittihad to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 37% for Al-Ittihad to win. Then home advantage takes away 3 points, Al Khaleej Saihat's ratings add 8 points and Al-Ittihad's ratings add 7 points, which lands on the published 49%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground37%
- Home advantage34%−3
- Al Khaleej Saihat's ratings42%+8
- Al-Ittihad's ratings49%+7
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Al Khaleej Saihat at home · Al-Ittihad away
League matches only, Pro League, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Pro League matches this season: Al Khaleej Saihat 12, Al-Ittihad 11.
Al Khaleej Saihat score most often in the 76–90 minute window (5 goals); Al-Ittihad have let in 2 there.
Al-Ittihad score most often in the 31–45 minute window (6 goals); Al Khaleej Saihat have let in 9 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Al Khaleej Saihat
- at Al-Faisaly FC26 Nov · Pro Leaguewin 38%
- vs Al Diriyah3 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 38%
- at Al-Qadisiyah FC10 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 12%
- vs Al Taawon14 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 42%
Al-Ittihad
- vs Pakhtakor23 Nov · AFC Champions League Elitewin 78%
- vs Al-Ahli Jeddah26 Nov · Pro Leaguewin 37%
- at Al Riyadh3 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 57%
- at Al-Wasl FC7 Dec · AFC Champions League Elitewin 34%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.