Swiss Super League predictions

6 matches ahead, from 10 October to 11 October, each with the model's win / draw / win split and most likely score. The clearest favourite: FC Lugano, 57% against FC Luzern. 1 is marked Tight game — the two sides within 3 points, where the draw is a real outcome. How the model works.

Saturday 10 October — 3 matches

16:00 UTC FC Zurich vs FC Thun — model 35% / 27% / 38%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 2.86 · 3.70 · 2.63. Tight game · draw in reach
16:00 UTC Servette FC vs FC Sion — model 32% / 29% / 39%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.13 · 3.45 · 2.56.
18:30 UTC FC Lugano vs FC Luzern — model 57% / 24% / 19%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 1.75 · 4.17 · 5.26.

Sunday 11 October — 3 matches

12:00 UTC Grasshoppers vs BSC Young Boys — model 23% / 23% / 54%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 4.35 · 4.35 · 1.85.
14:30 UTC FC Vaduz vs FC Basel 1893 — model 42% / 26% / 32%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.38 · 3.85 · 3.13.
14:30 UTC FC St. Gallen vs Lausanne — model 50% / 27% / 23%, most likely 2-0, fair odds 2.00 · 3.70 · 4.35.

Last round: the model's hits and misses

19–20 September: the model called the result of 3 of 6 matches.

FC Luzern 5–1 Grasshoppers — the model said 40% / 28% / 32%, most likely 2-1: result correct.
BSC Young Boys 3–2 Servette FC — the model said 41% / 29% / 30%, most likely 2-1: result correct.
FC Sion 1–1 FC Zurich — the model said 50% / 26% / 24%, most likely 2-1: result missed.
FC Vaduz 1–2 FC Thun — the model said 45% / 28% / 27%, most likely 2-1: result missed.
FC Basel 1893 1–3 FC St. Gallen — the model said 42% / 29% / 29%, most likely 1-0: result missed.
Lausanne 0–4 FC Lugano — the model said 31% / 31% / 38%, most likely 0-1: result correct.