FC Sion
vs
Servette FC
Super League prediction
Our model says: FC Sion 1–0 Servette FC
The model makes it 48% FC Sion, 28% draw, 24% Servette FC — fair odds of 2.08, 3.57 and 4.17.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: FC Sion 1.60, Servette FC 0.98.
Both teams to score: 50%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%, under 2.5: 52%.
Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,920 settled matches.
Edge to FC Sion: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 12 November 2026. FC Sion's rating is built from 51 Swiss Super League matches and Servette FC's from 51, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 538 matches.
Key facts
- FC Sion are 3rd on 26 points from 13 games; Servette FC are 6th on 17 points from 13 games — Super League.
- FC Sion are unbeaten in 3 games, most recently a 4-0 win away to FC Vaduz.
- Servette FC have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-0 draw at home to FC Zurich.
- Last 6 meetings: Servette FC 2 wins to 0, 4 draws; the most recent, 10 October 2026, ended Servette FC 3–0 FC Sion.
More Swiss Super League predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: FC Sion vs Servette FC
Has the model earned this number?
FC Sion at 48%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into FC Sion vs Servette FC
FC Sion
Super League
- W4-0away to FC Vaduz7 November 2026
- D1-1away to FC Luzern31 October 2026
- W1-0Lausanne25 October 2026
- L0-3away to Servette FC10 October 2026
- D1-1FC Zurich19 September 2026
Servette FC
Super League
- D0-0FC Zurich8 November 2026
- L1-2away to FC St. Gallen31 October 2026
- W2-1FC Vaduz24 October 2026
- W3-0FC Sion10 October 2026
- L2-3away to BSC Young Boys19 September 2026
What these results say
- FC Sion scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Servette FC scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Servette FC had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Switzerland Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | FC Sion | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 18 | +11 | 26 |
| 6 | Servette FC | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 16 | +1 | 17 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
FC Sion
Chance to finish top of the regular season · 5% today
Servette FC
Chance to finish in the top six · 63% today
From our Super League season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: FC Sion vs Servette FC
- 10 October 2026Servette FC 3–0 FC SionSuper League
- 28 February 2026Servette FC 0–0 FC SionSuper League
- 31 January 2026Servette FC 3–3 FC SionSuper League
- 17 September 2025FC Sion 0–2 Servette FCSuper League
- 13 April 2025FC Sion 1–1 Servette FCSuper League
- 4 February 2025FC Sion 3–3 Servette FCSuper League
Leading scorers: FC Sion and Servette FC
FC Sion
GoalsAssists
- Winsley Boteli Mokango64
- R. Nivokazi50
Servette FC
GoalsAssists
- K. Mutandwa50
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives FC Sion a 5% chance of the title and Servette FC 0%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How the call on FC Sion v Servette FC has moved
First published on 7 Nov at 46% / 27% / 27% (home / draw / away). After 2 updates it reads 48% / 28% / 24%: the biggest move is Servette FC's chance of winning, down 3 points.
- FC Sion win48%▲ +2
- Draw28%▲ +1
- Servette FC win24%▼ −3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives FC Sion the highest probability at 48%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.60 expected goals for FC Sion against 0.98 for Servette FC. FC Sion's attack/defence rating is 0.74/1.04 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.62/1.16 for Servette FC.
How the model reaches 48% for FC Sion to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 38% for FC Sion to win. Then home advantage adds 5 points, the level of the two sides takes away 2 points, FC Sion's ratings add 4 points and Servette FC's ratings add 3 points, which lands on the published 48%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground38%
- Home advantage43%+5
- Both sides at this match's level41%−2
- FC Sion's ratings45%+4
- Servette FC's ratings48%+3
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
FC Sion at home · Servette FC away
League matches only, Super League, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Position by match
FC SionServette FC
FC Sion are 3rd after 13 Super League matches (between 2nd and 11th so far); Servette FC are 6th after 13 (between 4th and 12th). How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Super League matches this season: FC Sion 13, Servette FC 13.
FC Sion score most often in the 76–90 minute window (9 goals); Servette FC have let in 5 there.
Servette FC score most often in the 0–15 minute window (5 goals); FC Sion have let in 5 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
FC Sion
- vs BSC Young Boys29 Nov · Super Leaguewin 46%
- at Lausanne6 Dec · Super Leaguewin 52%
- vs FC Basel 189313 Dec · Super Leaguewin 58%
- at FC Thun20 Dec · Super Leaguewin 47%
- vs Grasshoppers17 Jan · Super Leaguewin 66%
Servette FC
- vs Lausanne28 Nov · Super Leaguewin 55%
- at FC Basel 18936 Dec · Super Leaguewin 38%
- at FC Luzern13 Dec · Super Leaguewin 36%
- vs BSC Young Boys20 Dec · Super Leaguewin 37%
- vs FC Thun16 Jan · Super Leaguewin 50%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.