Croatian HNL predictions

Friday 9 October — 1 match

• 16:00 UTC HNK Gorica vs Rudes — model 47% / 28% / 25%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.13 · 3.57 · 4.00.

Saturday 10 October — 4 matches

• 13:00 UTC HNK Hajduk Split vs Dinamo Zagreb — model 36% / 28% / 36%, most likely 2-1, fair odds 2.78 · 3.57 · 2.78. Tight game · draw in reach
• 15:00 UTC NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs NK Varazdin — model 34% / 31% / 35%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 2.94 · 3.23 · 2.86. Tight game · draw in reach
• 15:00 UTC NK Slaven Belupo vs HNK Rijeka — model 28% / 30% / 42%, most likely 0-1, fair odds 3.57 · 3.33 · 2.38.
• 16:00 UTC NK Osijek vs Istra 1961 — model 42% / 30% / 28%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.38 · 3.33 · 3.57.

Saturday 17 October — 5 matches

• 15:00 UTC HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin — model 45% / 30% / 25%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.22 · 3.33 · 4.00.
• 15:00 UTC NK Osijek vs HNK Gorica — model 43% / 31% / 26%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.33 · 3.23 · 3.85.
• 15:00 UTC NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Istra 1961 — model 40% / 30% / 30%, most likely 1-0, fair odds 2.50 · 3.33 · 3.33.
• 15:00 UTC NK Slaven Belupo vs Dinamo Zagreb — model 21% / 25% / 54%, most likely 0-2, fair odds 4.76 · 4.00 · 1.85.
• 15:00 UTC Rudes vs HNK Rijeka — model 26% / 27% / 47%, most likely 1-2, fair odds 3.85 · 3.70 · 2.13.

Last round: the model's hits and misses

18–20 September: the model called the result of 2 of 5 matches.

• Rudes 2–2 NK Slaven Belupo — the model said 37% / 29% / 34%, most likely 1-0: result missed.
• NK Varazdin 0–0 NK Osijek — the model said 45% / 27% / 28%, most likely 2-1: result missed.
• Istra 1961 0–1 HNK Gorica — the model said 42% / 28% / 30%, most likely 2-1: result missed.
• HNK Rijeka 3–0 HNK Hajduk Split — the model said 37% / 30% / 33%, most likely 1-0: result correct.
• Dinamo Zagreb 3–2 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb — the model said 54% / 25% / 21%, most likely 2-0: result correct.