HNL

1. HNK Hajduk Split — 16 points from 7 played (5 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost), 16 scored, 5 conceded, goal difference +11. Form, oldest first: W W W W W.
2. NK Osijek — 15 points from 7 played (5 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost), 17 scored, 11 conceded, goal difference +6. Form, oldest first: W L W L W.
3. NK Varazdin — 14 points from 7 played (4 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost), 13 scored, 7 conceded, goal difference +6. Form, oldest first: W L W D D.
4. Dinamo Zagreb — 13 points from 6 played (4 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost), 14 scored, 7 conceded, goal difference +7. Form, oldest first: W W D W L.
5. HNK Rijeka — 11 points from 6 played (3 won, 2 drawn, 1 lost), 10 scored, 7 conceded, goal difference +3. Form, oldest first: L W D W D.
6. Istra 1961 — 9 points from 7 played (2 won, 3 drawn, 2 lost), 14 scored, 12 conceded, goal difference +2. Form, oldest first: W L D D W.
7. NK Lokomotiva Zagreb — 7 points from 7 played (2 won, 1 drawn, 4 lost), 9 scored, 13 conceded, goal difference -4. Form, oldest first: L L L L D.
8. NK Slaven Belupo — 6 points from 7 played (2 won, 0 drawn, 5 lost), 5 scored, 14 conceded, goal difference -9. Form, oldest first: L W L W L.
9. Rudes — 3 points from 7 played (1 won, 0 drawn, 6 lost), 8 scored, 22 conceded, goal difference -14. Form, oldest first: L W L L L.
10. HNK Gorica — 2 points from 7 played (0 won, 2 drawn, 5 lost), 4 scored, 12 conceded, goal difference -8. Form, oldest first: L L D L D.

What moved

Measured against 2026-09-14, the last update whose numbers changed — not against the last time the page was built, because an unchanged projection is carried forward rather than restamped. 9 clubs moved in all; the rest are in the projection below.

• Istra 1961 — title chance up 0.2, to 3%; bottom-three risk up 0.3, to 7.3%.
• Dinamo Zagreb — title chance down 0.2, to 27.7%; bottom-three risk up 0.1, to 0.3%.
• HNK Gorica — bottom-three risk down 0.2, to 85.6%.
• NK Lokomotiva Zagreb — bottom-three risk down 0.2, to 69.3%.
• NK Slaven Belupo — bottom-three risk down 0.2, to 51.6%.

Season projection

Every one of the 146 matches this competition has left, played out 10,000 times by the same model that makes our match predictions — but rating each side on its whole season rather than its last six games, since one hot run should not decide a title race. The figures are final positions, not qualification or relegation: those depend on each country's rules and playoffs. A statistical estimate, not betting advice. Movement is measured against 2026-09-14, the last update whose numbers changed.

1. HNK Hajduk Split — projected to finish on 62.6 points, from 16 after 7 played. Wins it 29.9% (up 0.1), finishes top four 86.9%, bottom three 0.3%.
2. Dinamo Zagreb — projected to finish on 62.2 points, from 13 after 6 played. Wins it 27.7% (down 0.2), finishes top four 84.8%, bottom three 0.3%.
3. NK Osijek — projected to finish on 61.2 points, from 15 after 7 played. Wins it 22.1% (down 0.1), finishes top four 82.1%, bottom three 0.4%.
4. NK Varazdin — projected to finish on 58.6 points, from 14 after 7 played. Wins it 13.6%, finishes top four 71.6%, bottom three 1%.
5. HNK Rijeka — projected to finish on 53.1 points, from 11 after 6 played. Wins it 3.7%, finishes top four 37.8%, bottom three 5%.
6. Istra 1961 — projected to finish on 51.7 points, from 9 after 7 played. Wins it 3% (up 0.2), finishes top four 31.6%, bottom three 7.3%.
7. NK Slaven Belupo — projected to finish on 41.5 points, from 6 after 7 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 3.1%, bottom three 51.6%.
8. NK Lokomotiva Zagreb — projected to finish on 38.7 points, from 7 after 7 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 1.3%, bottom three 69.3%.
9. Rudes — projected to finish on 36.6 points, from 3 after 7 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 0.5%, bottom three 79.3%.
10. HNK Gorica — projected to finish on 34.5 points, from 2 after 7 played. Wins it 0%, finishes top four 0.3%, bottom three 85.6%.

Top scorers

1. D. Beljo (Dinamo Zagreb) — 7 goals, 3 assists.
2. E. Frederiksen (Istra 1961) — 7 goals, 2 assists.
3. A. León (NK Osijek) — 5 goals, 1 assist.
4. N. Omerović (NK Osijek) — 5 goals.
5. H. Jaganjac (Istra 1961) — 4 goals, 1 assist.
6. M. Šego (HNK Hajduk Split) — 4 goals.
7. I. Canjuga (NK Varazdin) — 3 goals, 2 assists.
8. D. Adu-Adjei (HNK Rijeka) — 3 goals, 1 assist.
9. M. Livaja (HNK Hajduk Split) — 3 goals.
10. I. Nestorovski (NK Slaven Belupo) — 3 goals.
11. L. Mamić (NK Varazdin) — 3 goals.
12. B. Bogojević (HNK Gorica) — 3 goals.
13. D. Ahmeti (Istra 1961) — 2 goals, 3 assists.
14. T. Fruk (HNK Rijeka) — 2 goals, 3 assists.
15. L. Ilečić (Rudes) — 2 goals, 2 assists.
16. D. Vuković (NK Lokomotiva Zagreb) — 2 goals, 2 assists.
17. M. Šotiček (HNK Hajduk Split) — 2 goals, 1 assist.
18. A. Latković (NK Varazdin) — 2 goals, 1 assist.
19. R. Pukštas (HNK Hajduk Split) — 2 goals, 1 assist.
20. M. Mladenovski (NK Varazdin) — 2 goals.