Kosovo 1–1 Austria: model review
Kosovo 1–1 Austria finished with a draw. The model got this one wrong. It leaned to Austria at 41%, and rated the actual result at 30%.
More →Kosovo 1–1 Austria finished with a draw. The model got this one wrong. It leaned to Austria at 41%, and rated the actual result at 30%.
More →Our model leans to Argentinos Juniors here, but not by much: 42% (fair odds 2.38) against 33% for the draw. Published scoreline: 1-0, the likeliest exact score within that result.
More →Sarmiento Junin host River Plate in a game our model cannot separate: 35% for the home side, 29% for the draw and 36% for the visitors.
More →Talleres Cordoba host Belgrano Cordoba in a game our model cannot separate: 32% for the home side, 33% for the draw and 35% for the visitors.
More →Belarus host Finland in a game our model cannot separate: 34% for the home side, 29% for the draw and 37% for the visitors.
More →Our model leans to Spain here, but not by much: 49% (fair odds 2.04) against 28% for the draw. Published scoreline: 0-1, the likeliest exact score within that result.
More →England go into this one as a clear favourite by our numbers: 64%, which is fair odds of 1.56. Our published scoreline is 2-0 — the likeliest exact score within that result rather than across the whole match — and the model gives Czechia 15% to win outright.
More →Scotland host Slovenia in a game our model cannot separate: 32% for the home side, 30% for the draw and 38% for the visitors.
More →Boca Juniors 3–0 Union Santa Fe finished with Boca Juniors winning. The model had the right result: it gave that outcome 53%, though it expected 2-0 rather than 3–0.
More →Independiente Rivadavia 1–1 Gimnasia La Plata finished with a draw. The model got this one wrong. It leaned to Independiente Rivadavia at 43%, and rated the actual result at 29%.
More →Our model leans to Finland here, but not by much: 40% (fair odds 2.50) against 31% for the draw. Published scoreline: 1-0, the likeliest exact score within that result.
More →Our model leans to Germany here, but not by much: 40% (fair odds 2.50) against 30% for the draw. Published scoreline: 0-1, the likeliest exact score within that result.
More →Our model leans to France here, but not by much: 40% (fair odds 2.50) against 30% for the draw. Published scoreline: 1-0, the likeliest exact score within that result.
More →Our model leans to Italy here, but not by much: 47% (fair odds 2.13) against 27% for the draw. Published scoreline: 2-1, the likeliest exact score within that result.
More →Ukraine host Hungary in a game our model cannot separate: 33% for the home side, 34% for the draw and 33% for the visitors.
More →Our model has a prediction for 80 matches this weekend (3-4 October), across 15 competitions. It is surest about Spain: 67% to beat Czechia, most likely 2-0. 11 matches are within three points either way, games where the draw is a real outcome.
More →Belgium 3–0 Türkiye finished with Belgium winning. The model had the right result: it gave that outcome 49%, though it expected 2-1 rather than 3–0.
More →France 1–1 Italy finished with a draw. The model got this one wrong. It leaned to France at 40%, and rated the actual result at 31%.
More →Seattle Sounders 2–1 Sporting Kansas City finished with Seattle Sounders winning. Our model had called it exactly: it published 2-1, a scoreline it rated at 10%.
More →Independiente host Instituto Cordoba in a game our model cannot separate: 38% for the home side, 32% for the draw and 30% for the visitors.
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