Independiente Rivadavia vs Gimnasia La Plata Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Independiente Rivadavia 1-1 Gimnasia La Plata.
Before kick-off the model made it 44% Independiente Rivadavia, 28% draw, 28% Gimnasia La Plata — fair odds of 2.27, 3.57 and 3.57.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Liga Profesional Argentina predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Independiente Rivadavia at 44%: of 2,664 settled 40–50% forecasts, 45.9% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Independiente Rivadavia vs Gimnasia La Plata
Line-ups
- 30Nicolás BolcatoG
- 14L. GómezD
- 2L. CostaD
- 42S. StuderD
- 3J. ElordiD
- 10M. FernándezM
- 5T. BottariM
- 25J. FlorentínM
- 77L. SequeiraM
- 43F. SartoriF
- 17M. SalasF
- 27D. CregoM
- 8L. BuccaM
- 21Emmanuel GómezG
- 34S. MoreyraM
- 13A. OsellaD
- 7V. RamisF
- 20A. RiepM
- 11G. RíosM
- 40I. VillalbaD
- 23N. InsfránG
- 31B. Barros SchelottoD
- 4R. GiampaoliD
- 21E. MartínezD
- 24P. SilvaD
- 5I. MiramónM
- 18M. SeoaneM
- 9M. ZalazarM
- 8I. FernándezM
- 17L. JansonM
- 29A. AuzmendiF
- 19A. ColazoF
- 35J. CortazzoD
- 36L. LamellaD
- 16A. MaxM
- 22M. MellusoD
- 7M. PanaroF
- 20J. PérezM
- 25A. SteimbachM
- 32M. TorresF
Form going into Independiente Rivadavia vs Gimnasia La Plata
Independiente Rivadavia
All competitions we cover
- W1-0away to Barracas Central21 September 2026
- W4-3Aldosivi12 September 2026
- L1-3away to River Plate6 September 2026
- W3-1Racing Club31 August 2026
- D0-0away to Independiente22 August 2026
Gimnasia La Plata
All competitions we cover
- D2-2Banfield19 September 2026
- D1-1away to Argentinos Juniors13 September 2026
- W2-1Tigre5 September 2026
- W2-1away to Rosario Central29 August 2026
- L2-3Gimnasia Mendoza22 August 2026
What these results say
- Independiente Rivadavia scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Gimnasia La Plata scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Gimnasia La Plata conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Both sides scored in every one of these 5 matches for Gimnasia La Plata.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Independiente Rivadavia | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
| 3 | Gimnasia La Plata | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 19 | +4 | 28 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Independiente Rivadavia vs Gimnasia La Plata
- 15 March 2026Gimnasia La Plata 2–3 Independiente RivadaviaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 18 July 2024Independiente Rivadavia 1–0 Gimnasia La PlataLiga Profesional Argentina
- 30 January 2024Gimnasia La Plata 2–3 Independiente RivadaviaCopa de la Liga Profesional
- 29 March 2013Gimnasia La Plata 3–0 Independiente RivadaviaPrimera Nacional
- 29 September 2012Independiente Rivadavia 1–1 Gimnasia La PlataPrimera Nacional
The full Independiente Rivadavia vs Gimnasia La Plata record →
Leading scorers: Independiente Rivadavia and Gimnasia La Plata
Independiente Rivadavia
GoalsAssists
- J. Florentín91
- A. Arce91
- F. Sartori80
Gimnasia La Plata
GoalsAssists
- M. Torres102
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Independiente Rivadavia and Gimnasia La Plata drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Independiente Rivadavia at 44% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Juan Elordi 5' for Independiente Rivadavia, Rodrigo Agustín Colazo 86' for Gimnasia La Plata.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.