Real Madrid sit 2nd in the La Liga on 30 points from 12 matches, having scored 31 and conceded 10. On the model's scale they rate 1.67 in attack and 0.59 in defence (1.00 = an average top-flight side, lower defence is better), against La Liga averages of 1.02 and 0.98: above the division's average at both ends. Across their last 5 league matches they have 5 wins, most recently beating Valencia 3-0 away. That is 2.50 points a match, scoring 2.58 and conceding 0.83 per game across 10 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats. That leaves them 3 points behind Barcelona at the top, in a table of 20. Among the 20 rated sides in the division that is the 2nd-best attack and the 1st-best defence. They scored in 5 of those 5 and kept 3 clean sheets. Next they host Celta Vigo in the La Liga on 21 November 2026, a match the model gives them 70%.
Model rating
One scale across every league we cover: 1.00 is an average top-flight side — how the ratings are built.
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Last 5 | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 48:13 | +35 | WWLWW | 33 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 31:10 | +21 | WWWWW | 30 |
| 3 | Atletico Madrid | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 23:10 | +13 | WWWWL | 28 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 20:15 | +5 | WLDWW | 26 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 21:20 | +1 | WWWLW | 22 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17:19 | -2 | DLWLD | 18 |
| 7 | Athletic Club | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:11 | +4 | DLWWD | 16 |
| 8 | Villarreal | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17:15 | +2 | LDWLW | 15 |
| 9 | Deportivo La Coruna | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15:14 | +1 | LDLWD | 15 |
| 10 | Racing Santander | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 17:30 | -13 | DLWLW | 14 |
| 11 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | DWDLD | 13 |
| 12 | Alaves | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | LLDLD | 13 |
| 13 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13:14 | -1 | DLLWD | 12 |
| 14 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15:21 | -6 | DDLWL | 12 |
| 15 | Getafe | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8:18 | -10 | LDLWL | 12 |
| 16 | Osasuna | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12:23 | -11 | LWLLD | 12 |
| 17 | Levante | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 16:21 | -5 | DWLLD | 11 |
| 18 | Elche | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14:20 | -6 | DDWLL | 10 |
| 19 | Valencia | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8:20 | -12 | DDLWL | 9 |
| 20 | Malaga | 12 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 9:23 | -14 | DLDLL | 5 |
- Champions League
- Europa League
- Conference League qualifying
- Relegation
Real Madrid sit 2 of 20, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Position by match
Real Madrid have been between 1st and 5th after each of their 12 La Liga matches; 2nd now. Rebuilt from the season's results after each of Real Madrid's matches (x-axis); ties split on goal difference, then goals scored.
Recent league form
- W3-0away to Valencia7 November 2026
- W3-0away to Racing Santander1 November 2026
- W2-1away to Barcelona25 October 2026
- W4-1Sevilla18 October 2026
- W1-0Villarreal10 October 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo
Real Madrid host Celta Vigo at Madrid on 21 November 2026, 20:00 UTC. The model makes it 70% Real Madrid, 20% draw and 10% Celta Vigo, with a most likely scoreline of 2-0. It projects 2.24 expected goals for Real Madrid against 0.56. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 39% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.
Full preview and model analysis for Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo
Recent meetings with Celta Vigo
- 6 March 2026Celta Vigo 1–2 Real MadridLa Liga
- 7 December 2025Real Madrid 0–2 Celta VigoLa Liga
- 4 May 2025Real Madrid 3–2 Celta VigoLa Liga
- 16 January 2025Real Madrid 5–2 Celta VigoCopa del Rey
- 19 October 2024Celta Vigo 1–2 Real MadridLa Liga
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.
Other results that matter to Real Madrid
-
Barcelona v Villarreal · 22 November 2026
Real Madrid fans want Villarreal to win: that leaves Real Madrid's chance to win the league at 51.1%, against 41.3% if Barcelona win (44.0% today).
Barcelona win41.3%−2.7Draw48.7%+4.7Villarreal win51.1%+7.1 -
Getafe v Atletico Madrid · 22 November 2026
Real Madrid fans want a draw: that leaves Real Madrid's chance to win the league at 45.8%, against 43.1% if Atletico Madrid win (44.0% today).
Getafe win45.0%+1.0Draw45.8%+1.8Atletico Madrid win43.1%−0.9 -
Levante v Elche · 23 November 2026
Real Madrid fans want Elche to win: that leaves Real Madrid's chance to win the league at 45.6%, against 43.0% if Levante win (44.0% today).
Levante win43.0%−1.0Draw44.7%+0.7Elche win45.6%+1.6
From our season simulation, reading only the runs in which each result happened. A match is listed when it moves Real Madrid's figure by 2 points or more and both halves of the runs agree on which result helps.
Upcoming fixtures
Recent results
Leading scorers
- Kylian Mbappé13 goals2 assists
- J. Bellingham4 goals3 assists
League goals this season.
Head-to-head records
- Real Madrid vs Barcelona2W 0D 5L7 meetings
- Real Madrid vs Sevilla6W 1D 0L7 meetings
- Real Madrid vs Valencia5W 1D 1L7 meetings
- Real Madrid vs AS Roma6W 0D 0L6 meetings
- Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid3W 0D 3L6 meetings
- Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo5W 0D 1L6 meetings
- Real Madrid vs Elche4W 2D 0L6 meetings
- Real Madrid vs Espanyol5W 0D 1L6 meetings
- Real Madrid vs Malaga5W 1D 0L6 meetings
- Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano3W 3D 0L6 meetings
Real Madrid's record against each club, over the meetings on this site's own match record, which begins in July 2026. All head-to-head records.