Gagra sit 8th in the Erovnuli Liga on 28 points from 26 matches, having scored 24 and conceded 36. The model rates their attack at 0.35× the league average and their defence at 1.94× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better — below average at both ends by these numbers. Across their last 5 league matches they have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats, most recently losing to Dinamo Tbilisi 0-4 away. That is 1.08 points a match, scoring 0.92 and conceding 1.38 per game across 6 wins, 10 draws and 10 defeats. That leaves them 18 points behind Rustavi at the top, in a table of 10. Among the 10 rated sides in the division that is the 10th-best attack and the 5th-best defence. They scored in 5 of those 5 and kept 4 clean sheets. Next they host Meshakhte in the Erovnuli Liga on 19 September 2026, a match the model gives them 33%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
Erovnuli Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rustavi | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 32 | 21 | +11 | 46 |
| 2 | Dinamo Batumi | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 43 | 34 | +9 | 44 |
| 3 | Dinamo Tbilisi | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 40 | 27 | +13 | 42 |
| 4 | FC Iberia 1999 | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 33 | 27 | +6 | 40 |
| 5 | Dila | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 33 | 27 | +6 | 37 |
| 6 | Torpedo Kutaisi | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 41 | 31 | +10 | 36 |
| 7 | Samgurali | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 32 |
| 8 | Gagra | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 28 |
| 9 | Spaeri | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 25 |
| 10 | Meshakhte | 26 | 2 | 10 | 14 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 16 |
Gagra sit 8 of 10, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- L0-4away to Dinamo Tbilisi14 September 2026
- D1-1Torpedo Kutaisi10 September 2026
- L0-1away to Dila5 September 2026
- W2-0FC Iberia 199931 August 2026
- L0-3away to Rustavi22 August 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Gagra vs Meshakhte
Gagra host Meshakhte at David Petriashvili Stadium, Tbilisi on 19 September 2026, 14:00 UTC. The model makes it 33% Gagra, 35% draw and 32% Meshakhte, with a most likely scoreline of 0-0. It projects 0.88 expected goals for Gagra against 0.84. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 34% and over 2.5 goals at 25%.
Full preview and model analysis for Gagra vs Meshakhte