Gagra vs FC Iberia 1999 Erovnuli Liga prediction & result
Final score: Gagra 2-0 FC Iberia 1999.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% Gagra, 28% draw, 30% FC Iberia 1999 — fair odds of 2.38, 3.57 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Gagra at 42% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Gagra vs FC Iberia 1999
Line-ups
- 1O. Vorobey
- 40Claudinei
- 14Z. Tchavtchanidze
- 2Augusto
- 4V. Arsic
- 25Wanderson
- 21A. Peikrishvili
- 30G. Goshteliani
- 18V. Bliznichenko
- 23A. Andreychuk
- 33L. Gurchiani
- 35A. Dmitrievich
- 3O. Chochia
- 5Y. Nazarov
- 6M. Tsintsadze
- 9D. Mujiri
- 11S. Zoidze
- 17Vinicius Cesar
- 19G. Khachidze
- 29R. Adeyeye
- 1T. Megrelishvili
- 40G. Kobuladze
- 25A. Amisulashvili
- 4V. Selimovic
- 5J. Jinjolava
- 6N. Dadiani
- 8B. Kardava
- 14I. Alhassan
- 17S. Ende
- 19N. Sikharulashvili
- 10Z. Natchkebia
- 16R. Kurtanidze
- 3P. Cancar
- 7D. Kvartskhava
- 9A. Dzagania
- 18Lucas Cafe
- 22S. Figueredo
- 23E. Kuliyev
- 27G. Kutsia
- 29L. Chikhradze
Form going into Gagra vs FC Iberia 1999
Gagra
No earlier matches on record this season.
FC Iberia 1999
All competitions we cover
- L1-2Jagiellonia27 August 2026
- L0-4away to Jagiellonia20 August 2026
- W2-1Larne11 August 2026
- D0-0away to Larne4 August 2026
- D1-1away to Slovan Bratislava29 July 2026
What these results say
- FC Iberia 1999 failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- FC Iberia 1999 conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Erovnuli Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Gagra | 30 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 26 | 43 | -17 | 30 |
| 2 | FC Iberia 1999 | 30 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 45 | 33 | +12 | 55 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table