Dila vs Gagra Erovnuli Liga prediction & result
Final score: Dila 1-0 Gagra.
Before kick-off the model made it 54% Dila, 24% draw, 22% Gagra — fair odds of 1.85, 4.17 and 4.55. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Dila at 54% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Dila vs Gagra
Dila
- L1-2away to Dinamo Tbilisi31 August 2026
- D2-2Torpedo Kutaisi22 August 2026
Gagra
- W2-0FC Iberia 199931 August 2026
- L0-3away to Rustavi22 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Erovnuli Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Dila | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 33 | 27 | +6 | 37 |
| 8 | Gagra | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 28 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table