Gagra vs Torpedo Kutaisi Erovnuli Liga prediction & result
Final score: Gagra 1-1 Torpedo Kutaisi.
Before kick-off the model made it 49% Gagra, 28% draw, 23% Torpedo Kutaisi — fair odds of 2.04, 3.57 and 4.35. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Gagra at 49% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Gagra vs Torpedo Kutaisi
Gagra
- L0-1away to Dila5 September 2026
- W2-0FC Iberia 199931 August 2026
- L0-3away to Rustavi22 August 2026
Torpedo Kutaisi
- D1-1Dinamo Tbilisi6 September 2026
- L0-2Meshakhte31 August 2026
- D2-2away to Dila22 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Erovnuli Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Gagra | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 28 |
| 6 | Torpedo Kutaisi | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 41 | 31 | +10 | 36 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Gagra and Torpedo Kutaisi
Gagra
No player in Erovnuli Liga's leading scorers — 24 league goals as a side.
Torpedo Kutaisi
- K. Andrić8 goals2 assists
- G. Arabidze5 goals8 assists
- Felipe Pires3 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.