The model rates their attack at 1.23× the league average and their defence at 0.91× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better. Among the 18 rated sides in the division that is the 5th-best attack and the 5th-best defence. Next they host SC Paderborn 07 in the Bundesliga on 29 August 2026, a match the model gives them 50%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
Next match: FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07
FSV Mainz 05 host SC Paderborn 07 at Mewa Arena, Mainz on 29 August 2026, 13:30 UTC. The model makes it 50% FSV Mainz 05, 30% draw and 20% SC Paderborn 07, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0. It projects 1.28 expected goals for FSV Mainz 05 against 0.70. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 37% and over 2.5 goals at 32%.
Full preview and model analysis for FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07
Recent meetings with SC Paderborn 07
- 29 February 2020FSV Mainz 05 2–0 SC Paderborn 07Bundesliga
- 5 October 2019SC Paderborn 07 1–2 FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga
- 31 January 2015FSV Mainz 05 5–0 SC Paderborn 07Bundesliga
- 24 August 2014SC Paderborn 07 2–2 FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga
The last 4 meetings between the two, most recent first.