The model rates their attack at 0.81× the league average and their defence at 1.10× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better — below average at both ends by these numbers. Among the 18 rated sides in the division that is the 16th-best attack and the 16th-best defence. Next they travel to Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga on 29 August 2026, a match the model gives them 14%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
Next match: Hamburger SV vs Borussia Dortmund
Hamburger SV travel to Borussia Dortmund at Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund on 29 August 2026, 16:30 UTC. The model makes it 14% Hamburger SV, 19% draw and 67% Borussia Dortmund, with a most likely scoreline of 2-0. It projects 0.99 expected goals for Hamburger SV against 2.31. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.
Full preview and model analysis for Hamburger SV vs Borussia Dortmund
Recent meetings with Borussia Dortmund
- 21 March 2026Borussia Dortmund 3–2 Hamburger SVBundesliga
- 8 November 2025Hamburger SV 1–1 Borussia DortmundBundesliga
- 10 February 2018Borussia Dortmund 2–0 Hamburger SVBundesliga
- 20 September 2017Hamburger SV 0–3 Borussia DortmundBundesliga
- 4 April 2017Borussia Dortmund 3–0 Hamburger SVBundesliga
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.