Vasteras SK FK
vs
IF Brommapojkarna
Allsvenskan prediction
Our model says: Vasteras SK FK 2–1 IF Brommapojkarna
The model makes it 47% Vasteras SK FK, 25% draw, 28% IF Brommapojkarna — fair odds of 2.13, 4.00 and 3.57. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: Vasteras SK FK 1.98, IF Brommapojkarna 1.42.
Both teams to score: 66%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%, under 2.5: 34%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published
Key facts
- Vasteras SK FK are 8th on 35 points from 23 games; IF Brommapojkarna are 11th on 30 points from 24 games — Allsvenskan.
- Vasteras SK FK have won 3 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-1 defeat away to IFK Goteborg.
- IF Brommapojkarna have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-2 defeat at home to Djurgardens IF.
- Last 6 meetings: level at 2 wins each, 2 draws; the most recent, 26 April 2026, ended IF Brommapojkarna 1–2 Vasteras SK FK.
More Allsvenskan predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Vasteras SK FK vs IF Brommapojkarna
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Vasteras SK FK at 47% here. Across 4,088 settled matches (as of 18 October 2026), 1,906 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.7% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Vasteras SK FK vs IF Brommapojkarna
Vasteras SK FK
- L0-1away to IFK Goteborg9 October 2026
- W2-0Malmo FF19 September 2026
- W4-1away to AIK Stockholm12 September 2026
- L0-1Sirius5 September 2026
- W3-1away to BK Hacken29 August 2026
IF Brommapojkarna
- L0-2Djurgardens IF16 October 2026
- W6-5away to AIK Stockholm10 October 2026
- L0-1IFK Goteborg19 September 2026
- L1-3away to Hammarby FF13 September 2026
- W2-1IF Elfsborg6 September 2026
What these results say
- Vasteras SK FK conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- IF Brommapojkarna conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Allsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Vasteras SK FK | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 35 |
| 11 | IF Brommapojkarna | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 30 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Vasteras SK FK vs IF Brommapojkarna
- 26 April 2026IF Brommapojkarna 1–2 Vasteras SK FKAllsvenskan
- 22 March 2026IF Brommapojkarna 2–2 Vasteras SK FKFriendlies Clubs
- 20 November 2025Vasteras SK FK 2–5 IF BrommapojkarnaFriendlies Clubs
- 9 October 2025IF Brommapojkarna 1–4 Vasteras SK FKFriendlies Clubs
- 30 September 2024IF Brommapojkarna 2–1 Vasteras SK FKAllsvenskan
- 26 May 2024Vasteras SK FK 1–1 IF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan
Leading scorers: Vasteras SK FK and IF Brommapojkarna
Vasteras SK FK
GoalsAssists
- M. Ladefoged92
- A. Taonsa80
IF Brommapojkarna
GoalsAssists
- M. Hansen86
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Vasteras SK FK carry a model rating of 6.44 against 6.36 for IF Brommapojkarna. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 1.98 goals for Vasteras SK FK and 1.42 for IF Brommapojkarna. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Vasteras SK FK rate 0.65 in attack and 1.49 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; IF Brommapojkarna rate 0.69 and 1.87.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,973 correct results out of 4,112 settled predictions (48%), with 412 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Vasteras SK FK the highest probability at 47%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.98 expected goals for Vasteras SK FK against 1.42 for IF Brommapojkarna. Vasteras SK FK's attack/defence rating is 0.65/1.49 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.69/1.87 for IF Brommapojkarna.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Vasteras SK FK at home · IF Brommapojkarna away
League matches only, Allsvenskan, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Allsvenskan matches this season: Vasteras SK FK 23, IF Brommapojkarna 24.
Vasteras SK FK score most often in the 46–60 minute window (8 goals); IF Brommapojkarna have let in 9 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 3 matches, by difficulty
Vasteras SK FK
- at Orgryte IS7 Nov · Allsvenskanwin 48%
- at Gais21 Nov · Allsvenskanwin 27%
IF Brommapojkarna
- vs Mjallby AIF8 Nov · Allsvenskanwin 44%
- vs Halmstad22 Nov · Allsvenskanwin 58%
- at Malmo FF29 Nov · Allsvenskanwin 26%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.