BK Hacken
vs
IFK Goteborg
Allsvenskan prediction
Our model says: BK Hacken 2–1 IFK Goteborg
The model makes it 51% BK Hacken, 24% draw, 25% IFK Goteborg — fair odds of 1.96, 4.17 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: BK Hacken 2.03, IFK Goteborg 1.25.
Both teams to score: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%, under 2.5: 36%.
Model confidence: High.
Edge to BK Hacken: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published
Key facts
- BK Hacken are 5th on 39 points from 23 games; IFK Goteborg are 7th on 36 points from 24 games — Allsvenskan.
- BK Hacken are unbeaten in 4 games, most recently a 3-0 win at home to Orgryte IS.
- IFK Goteborg are unbeaten in their last 5 games (4 won), most recently a 2-2 draw away to AIK Stockholm.
- Last 6 meetings: BK Hacken 4 wins to 1, 1 draw; the most recent, 11 April 2026, ended IFK Goteborg 0–2 BK Hacken.
More Allsvenskan predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: BK Hacken vs IFK Goteborg
Has the model earned this number?
It puts BK Hacken at 51% here. Across 4,088 settled matches (as of 18 October 2026), 989 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 56.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into BK Hacken vs IFK Goteborg
BK Hacken
- W3-0Orgryte IS11 October 2026
- W5-0away to Kalmar FF20 September 2026
- D1-1Mjallby AIF11 September 2026
- D0-0away to Gais5 September 2026
- L1-3Vasteras SK FK29 August 2026
IFK Goteborg
- D2-2away to AIK Stockholm17 October 2026
- W1-0Vasteras SK FK9 October 2026
- W1-0away to IF Brommapojkarna19 September 2026
- W2-1Halmstad12 September 2026
- W4-1away to Mjallby AIF7 September 2026
What these results say
- BK Hacken scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- IFK Goteborg went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- IFK Goteborg scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- IFK Goteborg won 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Allsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | BK Hacken | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 42 | 30 | +12 | 39 |
| 7 | IFK Goteborg | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 36 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: BK Hacken vs IFK Goteborg
- 11 April 2026IFK Goteborg 0–2 BK HackenAllsvenskan
- 15 February 2026BK Hacken 2–1 IFK GoteborgFriendlies Clubs
- 15 September 2025BK Hacken 1–2 IFK GoteborgAllsvenskan
- 20 April 2025IFK Goteborg 2–3 BK HackenAllsvenskan
- 15 September 2024BK Hacken 3–3 IFK GoteborgAllsvenskan
- 24 April 2024IFK Goteborg 0–1 BK HackenAllsvenskan
Leading scorers: BK Hacken and IFK Goteborg
BK Hacken
GoalsAssists
- G. Lindgren121
- Julius Lindberg96
- A. Svanbäck67
IFK Goteborg
GoalsAssists
- S. Larsson72
- T. Heintz65
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
BK Hacken carry a model rating of 6.52 against 6.36 for IFK Goteborg. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 2.03 goals for BK Hacken and 1.25 for IFK Goteborg. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
BK Hacken rate 0.74 in attack and 1.44 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; IFK Goteborg rate 0.63 and 1.68.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,973 correct results out of 4,112 settled predictions (48%), with 412 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives BK Hacken the highest probability at 51%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.03 expected goals for BK Hacken against 1.25 for IFK Goteborg. BK Hacken's attack/defence rating is 0.74/1.44 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.63/1.68 for IFK Goteborg.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
BK Hacken at home · IFK Goteborg away
League matches only, Allsvenskan, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Allsvenskan matches this season: BK Hacken 23, IFK Goteborg 24.
BK Hacken score most often in the 46–60 minute window (10 goals); IFK Goteborg have let in 4 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 3 matches, by difficulty
BK Hacken
- at AIK Stockholm8 Nov · Allsvenskanwin 42%
- vs IF Elfsborg22 Nov · Allsvenskanwin 40%
IFK Goteborg
- vs Malmo FF8 Nov · Allsvenskanwin 35%
- at Hammarby FF23 Nov · Allsvenskanwin 17%
- vs Sirius29 Nov · Allsvenskanwin 29%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.