Clausura - 19 · 15 November 2026, 21:00 UTC

Sportivo Luqueno vs 2 de Mayo Division Profesional - Clausura prediction

Luque

Our model says: Sportivo Luqueno 1–2 2 de Mayo

The model makes it 34% Sportivo Luqueno, 27% draw, 39% 2 de Mayo — fair odds of 2.94, 3.70 and 2.56.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

Expected goals: Sportivo Luqueno 1.34, 2 de Mayo 1.49.

Both teams to score: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 54%, under 2.5: 46%.

Model confidence: Low — calls at this level have come off 38% of the time, over 1,155 settled matches.

Edge to 2 de Mayo: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.

Published

Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 1 November 2026. Sportivo Luqueno's rating is built from 39 Paraguayan Primera División Clausura matches and 2 de Mayo's from 39, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.

Key facts

  • Sportivo Luqueno are 9th on 16 points from 17 games; 2 de Mayo are 5th on 29 points from 17 games — Division Profesional - Clausura.
  • Sportivo Luqueno have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-3 defeat at home to Nacional Asuncion.
  • 2 de Mayo are without a win in 3 games, most recently a 0-1 defeat away to Club Guarani.
  • Last 6 meetings: 2 de Mayo 3 wins to 1, 2 draws; the most recent, 1 September 2026, ended 2 de Mayo 2–2 Sportivo Luqueno.

More Paraguayan Primera División Clausura predictions

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Live win probability

From kick-off

From kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.

Model insights: Sportivo Luqueno vs 2 de Mayo

58%
Both teams to score
54%
Over 2.5 goals
46%
Under 2.5 goals

Most likely scorelines

Sportivo Luqueno win Draw 2 de Mayo win
  1. 1–112%
  2. 1–29%
  3. 0–18%
  4. 2–18%
  5. 1–07%
  6. 0–27%
  7. 0–06%

Scores read Sportivo Luqueno first; the other scorelines share the remaining 43%. How to read this.

Has the model earned this number?

2 de Mayo at 39%: of 4,156 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.5% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Form going into Sportivo Luqueno vs 2 de Mayo

Sportivo Luqueno

Division Profesional - Clausura

  • L0-3Nacional Asuncion31 October 2026
  • L0-1away to Libertad Asuncion23 October 2026
  • W3-2Club Sp. San Lorenzo18 October 2026
  • L0-3Cerro Porteno10 October 2026
  • L2-3away to Sportivo Trinidense5 October 2026

2 de Mayo

Division Profesional - Clausura

  • L0-1away to Club Guarani30 October 2026
  • D1-1Deportivo Recoleta24 October 2026
  • L0-3away to Olimpia17 October 2026
  • W1-0Sportivo Ameliano12 October 2026
  • W2-0away to Cerro Porteno5 October 2026

What these results say

  • Sportivo Luqueno conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Sportivo Luqueno failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Sportivo Luqueno had three goals or more.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for 2 de Mayo had two goals or fewer.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Division Profesional - Clausura table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9Sportivo Luqueno1751111733-1616
52 de Mayo178541818029

Where the two sides stand. Full table

Head-to-head: Sportivo Luqueno vs 2 de Mayo

  • 1 September 20262 de Mayo 2–2 Sportivo LuquenoDivision Profesional - Clausura
  • 22 March 2026Sportivo Luqueno 0–2 2 de MayoDivision Profesional - Apertura
  • 23 January 20262 de Mayo 1–2 Sportivo LuquenoDivision Profesional - Apertura
  • 3 October 2025Sportivo Luqueno 0–3 2 de MayoDivision Profesional - Clausura
  • 25 July 20252 de Mayo 3–2 Sportivo LuquenoDivision Profesional - Clausura
  • 2 May 20252 de Mayo 1–1 Sportivo LuquenoDivision Profesional - Apertura

Leading scorers: Sportivo Luqueno and 2 de Mayo

Sportivo Luqueno

No player in Division Profesional - Clausura's leading scorers — 17 league goals as a side.

2 de Mayo

GoalsAssists

  • D. Acosta51

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The two sides

Sportivo Luqueno carry a model rating of 6.2 against 6.4 for 2 de Mayo.

What the model expects

Under the hood the model expects 1.34 goals for Sportivo Luqueno and 1.49 for 2 de Mayo.

Sportivo Luqueno rate 0.58 in attack and 2.17 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; 2 de Mayo rate 0.57 and 1.42.

The rest of the season

Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Sportivo Luqueno a 0% chance of the title and 2 de Mayo 0.5%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives 2 de Mayo the highest probability at 39%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.34 expected goals for Sportivo Luqueno against 1.49 for 2 de Mayo. Sportivo Luqueno's attack/defence rating is 0.58/2.17 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.57/1.42 for 2 de Mayo.

How the model reaches 39% for 2 de Mayo to win

Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for 2 de Mayo to win. Then home advantage takes away 7 points, Sportivo Luqueno's ratings add 5 points and 2 de Mayo's ratings add 5 points, which lands on the published 39%.

  1. Two average sides, neutral ground36%
  2. Home advantage29%−7
  3. Sportivo Luqueno's ratings34%+5
  4. 2 de Mayo's ratings39%+5

Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.

Season stats

Sportivo Luqueno2 de Mayo
17Matches17
5W 1D 11LRecord8W 5D 4L
17 1.0 per gameGoals scored18 1.1 per game
33 1.9 per gameGoals conceded18 1.1 per game
2 of 17Clean sheets6 of 17
7 of 17Failed to score5 of 17
2 of 3Penalties scored2 of 2
31 1.8 per gameYellow cards44 2.6 per game
1Red cards3
4-1-4-1 7×Usual shape5-3-2 1×

Sportivo Luqueno at home · 2 de Mayo away

9Played9
3W 0D 6LRecord4W 2D 3L
9–18Goals for – against10–12
1 of 9Clean sheets2 of 9

League matches only, Division Profesional - Clausura, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.

Goals scored and conceded, by minute

All Division Profesional - Clausura matches this season: Sportivo Luqueno 17, 2 de Mayo 17.

Sportivo Luqueno scored 014245
2 de Mayo conceded 231326

Sportivo Luqueno score most often in the 76–90 minute window (5 goals); 2 de Mayo have let in 6 there.

2 de Mayo scored 314353
Sportivo Luqueno conceded 719647

2 de Mayo score most often in the 61–75 minute window (5 goals); Sportivo Luqueno have let in 4 there.

League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.

The next 3 matches, by difficulty

Sportivo Luqueno

  • at Sportivo Ameliano18 Nov · Division Profesional - Clausurawin 24%
  • vs Olimpia25 Nov · Division Profesional - Clausurawin 21%
  • at Deportivo Recoleta29 Nov · Division Profesional - Clausurawin 24%

2 de Mayo

  • vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo18 Nov · Division Profesional - Clausurawin 59%
  • at Libertad Asuncion25 Nov · Division Profesional - Clausurawin 25%
  • vs Nacional Asuncion29 Nov · Division Profesional - Clausurawin 26%

Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.