Club Sp. San Lorenzo
vs
Rubio NU
Division Profesional - Clausura prediction
Our model says: Club Sp. San Lorenzo 1–2 Rubio NU
The model makes it 33% Club Sp. San Lorenzo, 27% draw, 40% Rubio NU — fair odds of 3.03, 3.70 and 2.50.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: Club Sp. San Lorenzo 1.33, Rubio NU 1.51.
Both teams to score: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 54%, under 2.5: 46%.
Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,574 settled matches.
Edge to Rubio NU: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 1 November 2026. Club Sp. San Lorenzo's rating is built from 17 Paraguayan Primera División Clausura matches and Rubio NU's from 17, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.
Key facts
- Club Sp. San Lorenzo are bottom on 7 points from 17 games; Rubio NU are 10th on 16 points from 17 games — Division Profesional - Clausura.
- Club Sp. San Lorenzo have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-1 win at home to Libertad Asuncion.
- Rubio NU have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 4-2 win away to Sportivo Trinidense.
- Last 6 meetings: Rubio NU 5 wins to 1, 0 draws; the most recent, 1 September 2026, ended Rubio NU 3–1 Club Sp. San Lorenzo.
More Paraguayan Primera División Clausura predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Rubio NU
Has the model earned this number?
Rubio NU at 40%: of 2,529 settled 40–50% forecasts, 45.4% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Rubio NU
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Division Profesional - Clausura
- W2-1Libertad Asuncion31 October 2026
- L1-3Cerro Porteno25 October 2026
- L2-3away to Sportivo Luqueno18 October 2026
- D1-1Sportivo Trinidense10 October 2026
- D1-1away to Club Guarani3 October 2026
Rubio NU
Division Profesional - Clausura
- W4-2away to Sportivo Trinidense30 October 2026
- L0-2Club Guarani23 October 2026
- L0-1away to Deportivo Recoleta16 October 2026
- D0-0Olimpia11 October 2026
- W2-1away to Sportivo Ameliano6 October 2026
What these results say
- Club Sp. San Lorenzo scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Club Sp. San Lorenzo conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Both sides scored in every one of these 5 matches for Club Sp. San Lorenzo.
- Rubio NU conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Division Profesional - Clausura table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Club Sp. San Lorenzo | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 30 | -20 | 7 |
| 10 | Rubio NU | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Rubio NU
- 1 September 2026Rubio NU 3–1 Club Sp. San LorenzoDivision Profesional - Clausura
- 26 April 2026Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0–1 Rubio NUDivision Profesional - Apertura
- 26 February 2026Rubio NU 2–0 Club Sp. San LorenzoDivision Profesional - Apertura
- 20 July 2025Rubio NU 2–1 Club Sp. San LorenzoDivision Intermedia
- 14 April 2025Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0–1 Rubio NUDivision Intermedia
- 2 September 2024Rubio NU 0–1 Club Sp. San LorenzoDivision Intermedia
Leading scorers: Club Sp. San Lorenzo and Rubio NU
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
No player in Division Profesional - Clausura's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.
Rubio NU
GoalsAssists
- R. Ruiz Díaz43
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Rubio NU the highest probability at 40%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.33 expected goals for Club Sp. San Lorenzo against 1.51 for Rubio NU. Club Sp. San Lorenzo's attack/defence rating is 0.43/1.99 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.63/1.9 for Rubio NU.
How the model reaches 40% for Rubio NU to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Rubio NU to win. Then home advantage takes away 7 points, Club Sp. San Lorenzo's ratings add 5 points and Rubio NU's ratings add 6 points, which lands on the published 40%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage29%−7
- Club Sp. San Lorenzo's ratings34%+5
- Rubio NU's ratings40%+6
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Club Sp. San Lorenzo at home · Rubio NU away
League matches only, Division Profesional - Clausura, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Division Profesional - Clausura matches this season: Club Sp. San Lorenzo 17, Rubio NU 17.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 3 matches, by difficulty
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
- at 2 de Mayo18 Nov · Division Profesional - Clausurawin 16%
- vs Sportivo Ameliano25 Nov · Division Profesional - Clausurawin 33%
- at Olimpia29 Nov · Division Profesional - Clausurawin 8%
Rubio NU
- vs Libertad Asuncion18 Nov · Division Profesional - Clausurawin 36%
- at Nacional Asuncion25 Nov · Division Profesional - Clausurawin 12%
- vs Cerro Porteno29 Nov · Division Profesional - Clausurawin 33%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.