Vizela
vs
Feirense
Segunda Liga prediction
Our model says: Vizela 1–0 Feirense
The model makes it 47% Vizela, 30% draw, 23% Feirense — fair odds of 2.13, 3.33 and 4.35.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0 (15%).
Expected goals: Vizela 1.40, Feirense 0.82.
Both teams to score: 43%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%, under 2.5: 62%.
Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,574 settled matches.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 1 November 2026. Vizela's rating is built from 42 Liga Portugal 2 matches and Feirense's from 42, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.
Key facts
- Vizela are 11th on 11 points from 8 games; Feirense are bottom on 2 points from 8 games — Segunda Liga.
- Vizela are without a win in 3 games, most recently a 1-2 defeat away to Chaves.
- Feirense have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 0-0 draw at home to Benfica B.
- Last 6 meetings: Vizela 2 wins to 1, 3 draws; the most recent, 12 April 2026, ended Feirense 1–0 Vizela.
More Liga Portugal 2 predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Vizela vs Feirense
Has the model earned this number?
Vizela at 47%: of 2,529 settled 40–50% forecasts, 45.4% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Vizela vs Feirense
Vizela
Segunda Liga
- L1-2away to Chaves23 October 2026
- L0-2Sporting CP B10 October 2026
- D2-2away to FC Porto B14 September 2026
- W1-0Felgueiras 19326 September 2026
- W3-0away to Torreense29 August 2026
Feirense
Segunda Liga
- D0-0Benfica B24 October 2026
- L1-2away to Farense11 October 2026
- L0-1away to Chaves13 September 2026
- L1-3Sporting CP B5 September 2026
- L0-2away to AVS30 August 2026
What these results say
- Vizela scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Feirense did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Feirense conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Segunda Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Vizela | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 11 |
| 18 | Feirense | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 2 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Vizela vs Feirense
- 12 April 2026Feirense 1–0 VizelaSegunda Liga
- 1 December 2025Vizela 1–1 FeirenseSegunda Liga
- 2 March 2025Vizela 5–0 FeirenseSegunda Liga
- 6 October 2024Feirense 0–0 VizelaSegunda Liga
- 2 May 2021Vizela 1–1 FeirenseSegunda Liga
- 3 January 2021Feirense 1–2 VizelaSegunda Liga
Leading scorers: Vizela and Feirense
Vizela
No player in Segunda Liga's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.
Feirense
GoalsAssists
- J. Monteiro10
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Vizela carry a model rating of 6.35 against 6.24 for Feirense.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.40 goals for Vizela and 0.82 for Feirense.
Vizela rate 0.56 in attack and 1.54 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Feirense rate 0.44 and 1.54.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Vizela a 0.2% chance of the title and Feirense 0%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Vizela the highest probability at 47%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.40 expected goals for Vizela against 0.82 for Feirense. Vizela's attack/defence rating is 0.56/1.54 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.44/1.54 for Feirense.
How the model reaches 47% for Vizela to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Vizela to win. Then home advantage adds 8 points, the level of the two sides takes away 3 points, Vizela's ratings add 4 points and Feirense's ratings add 2 points, which lands on the published 47%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage44%+8
- Both sides at this match's level41%−3
- Vizela's ratings45%+4
- Feirense's ratings47%+2
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Vizela at home · Feirense away
League matches only, Segunda Liga, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Segunda Liga matches this season: Vizela 8, Feirense 8.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 3 matches, by difficulty
Vizela
- at Lusitânia Lourosa28 Nov · Segunda Ligawin 24%
- vs Farense6 Dec · Segunda Ligawin 38%
- at Benfica B13 Dec · Segunda Ligawin 19%
Feirense
- vs Portimonense27 Nov · Segunda Ligawin 38%
- at Leixoes6 Dec · Segunda Ligawin 23%
- vs União de Leiria13 Dec · Segunda Ligawin 32%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.