Slovan Bratislava
vs
AS Trencin
Super Liga prediction
Our model says: Slovan Bratislava 2–0 AS Trencin
The model makes it 74% Slovan Bratislava, 17% draw, 9% AS Trencin — fair odds of 1.35, 5.88 and 11.11. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0 (12%).
Expected goals: Slovan Bratislava 2.75, AS Trencin 0.69.
Both teams to score: 47%. Over 2.5 goals: 67%, under 2.5: 33%.
Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 59% of the time, over 1,491 settled matches.
One-sided: Slovan Bratislava are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 24 October 2026. Slovan Bratislava's rating is built from 42 Slovak Super Liga matches and AS Trencin's from 42, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.
Key facts
- Slovan Bratislava are 4th on 20 points from 10 games; AS Trencin are 11th on 8 points from 10 games — Super Liga.
- Slovan Bratislava are unbeaten in 4 games, most recently a 3-0 win away to Spartak Trnava.
- AS Trencin have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-0 win away to Skalica.
- Last 6 meetings: Slovan Bratislava 3 wins to 1, 2 draws; the most recent, 14 February 2026, ended Slovan Bratislava 0–2 AS Trencin.
More Slovak Super Liga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Slovan Bratislava vs AS Trencin
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Slovan Bratislava at 74% here. Across 4,534 settled matches (as of 24 October 2026), 368 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 65.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 73.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal. The full record.
Form going into Slovan Bratislava vs AS Trencin
Slovan Bratislava
Super Liga
- W3-0away to Spartak Trnava17 October 2026
- D1-1away to Skalica10 October 2026
- W2-1away to Komárno19 September 2026
- D3-3Žilina13 September 2026
- L0-2away to Dunajska Streda5 September 2026
AS Trencin
Super Liga
- W2-0away to Skalica17 October 2026
- L0-1Dukla Banská Bystrica10 October 2026
- L1-2away to Žilina19 September 2026
- L1-4Dunajska Streda12 September 2026
- L1-3away to Zemplín Michalovce5 September 2026
What these results say
- Slovan Bratislava scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Slovan Bratislava conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- AS Trencin failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- AS Trencin scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- AS Trencin conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Slovan Bratislava | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 10 | +14 | 20 |
| 11 | AS Trencin | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Slovan Bratislava vs AS Trencin
- 14 February 2026Slovan Bratislava 0–2 AS TrencinSuper Liga
- 27 September 2025AS Trencin 1–2 Slovan BratislavaSuper Liga
- 22 February 2025AS Trencin 1–1 Slovan BratislavaSuper Liga
- 4 February 2025Slovan Bratislava 3–1 AS TrencinCup
- 5 October 2024Slovan Bratislava 1–1 AS TrencinSuper Liga
- 25 February 2024AS Trencin 0–2 Slovan BratislavaSuper Liga
Leading scorers: Slovan Bratislava and AS Trencin
Slovan Bratislava
GoalsAssists
- T. Barseghyan10
AS Trencin
No player in Super Liga's leading scorers — 12 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
A clear gap in the ratings
Slovan Bratislava carry a model rating of 6.69 against 6.15 for AS Trencin. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 2.75 goals for Slovan Bratislava and 0.69 for AS Trencin. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Slovan Bratislava rate 0.84 in attack and 1.15 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; AS Trencin rate 0.50 and 2.01.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Slovan Bratislava a 13.8% chance of the title and AS Trencin 0%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 2,204 correct results out of 4,575 settled predictions (48%), with 454 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Slovan Bratislava the highest probability at 74%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.75 expected goals for Slovan Bratislava against 0.69 for AS Trencin. Slovan Bratislava's attack/defence rating is 0.84/1.15 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.5/2.01 for AS Trencin.
How the model reaches 74% for Slovan Bratislava to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Slovan Bratislava to win. Then home advantage adds 8 points, Slovan Bratislava's ratings take away 8 points and AS Trencin's ratings add 38 points, which lands on the published 74%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage44%+8
- Slovan Bratislava's ratings36%−8
- AS Trencin's ratings74%+38
Each step adds one input to the step before. In another order the steps would differ in size; the end point would not.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Slovan Bratislava at home · AS Trencin away
League matches only, Super Liga, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Super Liga matches this season: Slovan Bratislava 10, AS Trencin 10.
Slovan Bratislava score most often in the 76–90 minute window (7 goals); AS Trencin have let in 3 there.
AS Trencin score most often in the 0–15 minute window (4 goals); Slovan Bratislava have let in 1 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 2 matches, by difficulty
Slovan Bratislava
- at Ružomberok21 Nov · Super Ligawin 56%
AS Trencin
- vs Podbrezová21 Nov · Super Ligawin 37%
- at Spartak Trnava28 Nov · Super Ligawin 13%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.