Dunajska Streda
vs
Ružomberok
Super Liga prediction
Our model says: Dunajska Streda 2–0 Ružomberok
The model makes it 77% Dunajska Streda, 16% draw, 7% Ružomberok — fair odds of 1.30, 6.25 and 14.29. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0 (13%).
Expected goals: Dunajska Streda 2.80, Ružomberok 0.58.
Both teams to score: 42%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%, under 2.5: 34%.
Model confidence: High.
One-sided: Dunajska Streda are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published · updated
Key facts
- Dunajska Streda are top on 23 points from 9 games; Ružomberok are 11th on 6 points from 10 games — Super Liga.
- Dunajska Streda are unbeaten in their last 5 games (4 won), most recently a 3-0 win away to Zemplín Michalovce.
- Ružomberok have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-2 draw at home to Žilina.
- Last 6 meetings: Dunajska Streda 3 wins to 0, 3 draws; the most recent, 26 July 2026, ended Ružomberok 1–1 Dunajska Streda.
More Slovak Super Liga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Dunajska Streda vs Ružomberok
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Dunajska Streda at 77% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 307 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 62.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.2%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Dunajska Streda vs Ružomberok
Dunajska Streda
- W3-0away to Zemplín Michalovce10 October 2026
- D2-2Spartak Trnava20 September 2026
- W4-1away to AS Trencin12 September 2026
- W2-0Slovan Bratislava5 September 2026
- W6-1away to Skalica30 August 2026
Ružomberok
- D2-2Žilina11 October 2026
- L0-2away to FK Košice19 September 2026
- W3-0Zemplín Michalovce12 September 2026
- D1-1Spartak Trnava6 September 2026
- L1-2away to AS Trencin29 August 2026
What these results say
- Dunajska Streda went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Dunajska Streda scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Dunajska Streda won 4 of these 5 matches.
- Ružomberok failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Ružomberok scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Ružomberok conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dunajska Streda | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 5 | +23 | 23 |
| 11 | Ružomberok | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Dunajska Streda
Chance to finish top of the regular season · 75% today
Ružomberok
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 78% today
From our Super Liga season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. Each figure is that side's chance once this match ends in a win, a draw or a defeat for it, with every other match still left to the model. Positions in the table, not competition rules: what a place is worth differs from league to league.
Head-to-head: Dunajska Streda vs Ružomberok
- 26 July 2026Ružomberok 1–1 Dunajska StredaSuper Liga
- 8 November 2025Ružomberok 0–1 Dunajska StredaSuper Liga
- 9 August 2025Dunajska Streda 2–0 RužomberokSuper Liga
- 1 March 2025Dunajska Streda 3–0 RužomberokSuper Liga
- 19 October 2024Ružomberok 1–1 Dunajska StredaSuper Liga
- 20 April 2024Dunajska Streda 0–0 RužomberokSuper Liga
A clear gap in the ratings
Dunajska Streda carry a model rating of 6.76 against 6.13 for Ružomberok. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 2.80 goals for Dunajska Streda and 0.58 for Ružomberok. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Dunajska Streda rate 0.91 in attack and 1.10 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Ružomberok rate 0.44 and 1.89.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Dunajska Streda a 75.3% chance of the title and Ružomberok 0%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,776 correct results out of 3,725 settled predictions (48%), with 376 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Dunajska Streda the highest probability at 77%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.80 expected goals for Dunajska Streda against 0.58 for Ružomberok. Dunajska Streda's attack/defence rating is 0.91/1.1 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.44/1.89 for Ružomberok.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Dunajska Streda at home · Ružomberok away
League matches only, Super Liga, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Super Liga matches this season: Dunajska Streda 9, Ružomberok 10.
Dunajska Streda score most often in the 61–75 minute window (7 goals); Ružomberok have let in 6 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Dunajska Streda
- at FK Košice28 Oct · Super Ligawin 54%
- at Dukla Banská Bystrica1 Nov · Super Ligawin 62%
- vs FK Košice7 Nov · Super Ligawin 72%
- vs Komárno21 Nov · Super Ligawin 70%
Ružomberok
- vs Skalica1 Nov · Super Ligawin 39%
- at Podbrezová8 Nov · Super Ligawin 20%
- vs Slovan Bratislava21 Nov · Super Ligawin 19%
- at Dukla Banská Bystrica28 Nov · Super Ligawin 28%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.