Cukaricki
vs
Radnicki NIS
Super Liga prediction
Our model says: Cukaricki 2–1 Radnicki NIS
The model makes it 51% Cukaricki, 26% draw, 23% Radnicki NIS — fair odds of 1.96, 3.85 and 4.35. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: Cukaricki 1.83, Radnicki NIS 1.06.
Both teams to score: 56%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%, under 2.5: 45%.
Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 59% of the time, over 1,486 settled matches.
Edge to Cukaricki: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 24 October 2026. Cukaricki's rating is built from 49 Serbian SuperLiga matches and Radnicki NIS's from 49, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 682 matches.
Key facts
- Cukaricki are 9th on 15 points from 12 games; Radnicki NIS are 13th on 8 points from 12 games — Super Liga.
- Cukaricki have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 3-0 win at home to Zemun.
- Radnicki NIS are without a win in 4 games, most recently a 0-2 defeat at home to Novi Pazar.
- Last 6 meetings: Cukaricki 2 wins to 1, 3 draws; the most recent, 25 July 2026, ended Radnicki NIS 0–2 Cukaricki.
More Serbian SuperLiga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Cukaricki vs Radnicki NIS
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Cukaricki at 51% here. Across 4,534 settled matches (as of 24 October 2026), 1,113 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 56.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Cukaricki vs Radnicki NIS
Cukaricki
Super Liga
- W3-0Zemun17 October 2026
- D2-2Macva10 October 2026
- L1-2away to Železničar Pančevo20 September 2026
- D1-1Novi Pazar12 September 2026
- L1-3away to Radnik Surdulica5 September 2026
Radnicki NIS
Super Liga
- L0-2Novi Pazar23 October 2026
- L0-3away to Radnik Surdulica16 October 2026
- L1-4Vojvodina11 October 2026
- L0-3away to FK Crvena Zvezda20 September 2026
- W3-1OFK Beograd13 September 2026
What these results say
- Cukaricki scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Cukaricki failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Cukaricki conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Radnicki NIS conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Radnicki NIS failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Radnicki NIS had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Cukaricki | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 15 |
| 13 | Radnicki NIS | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Cukaricki vs Radnicki NIS
- 25 July 2026Radnicki NIS 0–2 CukarickiSuper Liga
- 8 December 2025Radnicki NIS 1–2 CukarickiSuper Liga
- 3 August 2025Cukaricki 1–1 Radnicki NISSuper Liga
- 13 April 2025Cukaricki 2–2 Radnicki NISSuper Liga
- 12 March 2025Cukaricki 0–2 Radnicki NISCup
- 23 November 2024Radnicki NIS 2–2 CukarickiSuper Liga
Leading scorers: Cukaricki and Radnicki NIS
Cukaricki
GoalsAssists
- U. Miladinović53
Radnicki NIS
No player in Super Liga's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Cukaricki carry a model rating of 6.24 against 6.08 for Radnicki NIS. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.83 goals for Cukaricki and 1.06 for Radnicki NIS. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Cukaricki rate 0.57 in attack and 1.92 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Radnicki NIS rate 0.43 and 2.01.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 2,192 correct results out of 4,558 settled predictions (48%), with 452 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Cukaricki the highest probability at 51%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.83 expected goals for Cukaricki against 1.06 for Radnicki NIS. Cukaricki's attack/defence rating is 0.57/1.92 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.43/2.01 for Radnicki NIS.
How the model reaches 51% for Cukaricki to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 37% for Cukaricki to win. Then home advantage adds 5 points, Cukaricki's ratings take away 28 points and Radnicki NIS's ratings add 37 points, which lands on the published 51%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground37%
- Home advantage42%+5
- Cukaricki's ratings14%−28
- Radnicki NIS's ratings51%+37
Each step adds one input to the step before. In another order the steps would differ in size; the end point would not.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Cukaricki at home · Radnicki NIS away
League matches only, Super Liga, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Super Liga matches this season: Cukaricki 12, Radnicki NIS 12.
Cukaricki score most often in the 16–30 minute window (6 goals); Radnicki NIS have let in 4 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 3 matches, by difficulty
Cukaricki
- at Radnicki 192321 Nov · Super Ligawin 26%
- vs Mladost Lucani28 Nov · Super Ligawin 49%
- at OFK Beograd6 Dec · Super Ligawin 32%
Radnicki NIS
- vs Zemun21 Nov · Super Ligawin 49%
- at FK Partizan28 Nov · Super Ligawin 17%
- vs IMT Novi Beograd6 Dec · Super Ligawin 26%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.