Slovan Bratislava
vs
Dukla Banská Bystrica
Super Liga prediction
Our model says: Slovan Bratislava 2–0 Dukla Banská Bystrica
The model makes it 72% Slovan Bratislava, 18% draw, 10% Dukla Banská Bystrica — fair odds of 1.39, 5.56 and 10.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0 (13%).
Expected goals: Slovan Bratislava 2.61, Dukla Banská Bystrica 0.69.
Both teams to score: 46%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%, under 2.5: 36%.
Model confidence: High.
One-sided: Slovan Bratislava are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published · updated
Key facts
- Slovan Bratislava are 4th on 17 points from 9 games; Dukla Banská Bystrica are 8th on 10 points from 10 games — Super Liga.
- Slovan Bratislava are unbeaten in 3 games, most recently a 1-1 draw away to Skalica.
- Dukla Banská Bystrica have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-0 win away to AS Trencin.
- Last 6 meetings: Slovan Bratislava 5 wins to 0, 1 draw; the most recent, 26 July 2026, ended Dukla Banská Bystrica 0–4 Slovan Bratislava.
More Slovak Super Liga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Slovan Bratislava vs Dukla Banská Bystrica
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Slovan Bratislava at 72% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 307 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 62.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.2%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Slovan Bratislava vs Dukla Banská Bystrica
Slovan Bratislava
- D1-1away to Skalica10 October 2026
- W2-1away to Komárno19 September 2026
- D3-3Žilina13 September 2026
- L0-2away to Dunajska Streda5 September 2026
- L1-2Zemplín Michalovce30 August 2026
Dukla Banská Bystrica
- W1-0away to AS Trencin10 October 2026
- L0-1away to Zemplín Michalovce19 September 2026
- W3-2Skalica12 September 2026
- L0-3away to FK Košice6 September 2026
- D2-2Komárno29 August 2026
What these results say
- Slovan Bratislava conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Slovan Bratislava failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Slovan Bratislava scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Dukla Banská Bystrica conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Slovan Bratislava | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | +11 | 17 |
| 8 | Dukla Banská Bystrica | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Slovan Bratislava
Chance to finish in the top four · 91% today
Dukla Banská Bystrica
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 41% today
From our Super Liga season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. Each figure is that side's chance once this match ends in a win, a draw or a defeat for it, with every other match still left to the model. Positions in the table, not competition rules: what a place is worth differs from league to league.
Head-to-head: Slovan Bratislava vs Dukla Banská Bystrica
- 26 July 2026Dukla Banská Bystrica 0–4 Slovan BratislavaSuper Liga
- 1 December 2024Slovan Bratislava 3–1 Dukla Banská BystricaSuper Liga
- 25 August 2024Dukla Banská Bystrica 0–2 Slovan BratislavaSuper Liga
- 4 November 2023Dukla Banská Bystrica 1–4 Slovan BratislavaSuper Liga
- 5 August 2023Slovan Bratislava 2–2 Dukla Banská BystricaSuper Liga
- 13 May 2023Dukla Banská Bystrica 1–2 Slovan BratislavaSuper Liga
A clear gap in the ratings
Slovan Bratislava carry a model rating of 6.65 against 6.13 for Dukla Banská Bystrica. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 2.61 goals for Slovan Bratislava and 0.69 for Dukla Banská Bystrica. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Slovan Bratislava rate 0.81 in attack and 1.21 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Dukla Banská Bystrica rate 0.47 and 1.98.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Slovan Bratislava a 8.3% chance of the title and Dukla Banská Bystrica 0%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,776 correct results out of 3,725 settled predictions (48%), with 376 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Slovan Bratislava the highest probability at 72%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.61 expected goals for Slovan Bratislava against 0.69 for Dukla Banská Bystrica. Slovan Bratislava's attack/defence rating is 0.81/1.21 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.47/1.98 for Dukla Banská Bystrica.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Slovan Bratislava at home · Dukla Banská Bystrica away
League matches only, Super Liga, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Super Liga matches this season: Slovan Bratislava 9, Dukla Banská Bystrica 10.
Slovan Bratislava score most often in the 76–90 minute window (6 goals); Dukla Banská Bystrica have let in 3 there.
Dukla Banská Bystrica score most often in the 76–90 minute window (5 goals); Slovan Bratislava have let in 3 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Slovan Bratislava
- at AS Trencin28 Oct · Super Ligawin 57%
- at Podbrezová31 Oct · Super Ligawin 46%
Dukla Banská Bystrica
- vs Dunajska Streda1 Nov · Super Ligawin 16%
- vs Spartak Trnava7 Nov · Super Ligawin 22%
- at Žilina21 Nov · Super Ligawin 15%
- vs Ružomberok28 Nov · Super Ligawin 43%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.