Dunajska Streda
vs
FK Košice
Super Liga prediction
Our model says: Dunajska Streda 3–1 FK Košice
The model makes it 72% Dunajska Streda, 16% draw, 12% FK Košice — fair odds of 1.39, 6.25 and 8.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 3-1 (8%).
Expected goals: Dunajska Streda 3.10, FK Košice 1.02.
Both teams to score: 61%. Over 2.5 goals: 78%, under 2.5: 22%.
Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 59% of the time, over 1,493 settled matches.
One-sided: Dunajska Streda are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 24 October 2026. Dunajska Streda's rating is built from 42 Slovak Super Liga matches and FK Košice's from 42, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.
Key facts
- Dunajska Streda are top on 26 points from 10 games; FK Košice are 5th on 14 points from 10 games — Super Liga.
- Dunajska Streda are unbeaten in their last 5 games (4 won), most recently a 3-2 win away to Žilina.
- FK Košice are unbeaten in 3 games, most recently a 1-1 draw away to Zemplín Michalovce.
- Last 6 meetings: Dunajska Streda 3 wins to 2, 1 draw; the most recent, 4 March 2026, ended FK Košice 4–0 Dunajska Streda.
More Slovak Super Liga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Dunajska Streda vs FK Košice
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Dunajska Streda at 72% here. Across 4,534 settled matches (as of 24 October 2026), 368 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 65.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 73.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal. The full record.
Form going into Dunajska Streda vs FK Košice
Dunajska Streda
Super Liga
- W3-2away to Žilina18 October 2026
- W3-0away to Zemplín Michalovce10 October 2026
- D2-2Spartak Trnava20 September 2026
- W4-1away to AS Trencin12 September 2026
- W2-0Slovan Bratislava5 September 2026
FK Košice
Super Liga
- D1-1away to Zemplín Michalovce18 October 2026
- D1-1Komárno10 October 2026
- W2-0Ružomberok19 September 2026
- L2-5away to Spartak Trnava12 September 2026
- W3-0Dukla Banská Bystrica6 September 2026
What these results say
- Dunajska Streda went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Dunajska Streda scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Dunajska Streda won 4 of these 5 matches.
- FK Košice scored in every one of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dunajska Streda | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 31 | 7 | +24 | 26 |
| 5 | FK Košice | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 20 | +3 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Dunajska Streda vs FK Košice
- 4 March 2026FK Košice 4–0 Dunajska StredaCup
- 1 November 2025Dunajska Streda 3–1 FK KošiceSuper Liga
- 1 October 2025FK Košice 0–2 Dunajska StredaSuper Liga
- 20 April 2025Dunajska Streda 3–2 FK KošiceSuper Liga
- 29 March 2025FK Košice 2–2 Dunajska StredaSuper Liga
- 26 October 2024Dunajska Streda 1–3 FK KošiceSuper Liga
Leading scorers: Dunajska Streda and FK Košice
Dunajska Streda
GoalsAssists
- A. Sylla10
- S. Ouro10
FK Košice
GoalsAssists
- M. Rehuš10
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Dunajska Streda carry a model rating of 6.74 against 6.35 for FK Košice. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 3.10 goals for Dunajska Streda and 1.02 for FK Košice. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Dunajska Streda rate 0.93 in attack and 1.16 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; FK Košice rate 0.73 and 2.05.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Dunajska Streda a 82.3% chance of the title and FK Košice 0%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 2,209 correct results out of 4,585 settled predictions (48%), with 455 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Dunajska Streda the highest probability at 72%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 3.10 expected goals for Dunajska Streda against 1.02 for FK Košice. Dunajska Streda's attack/defence rating is 0.93/1.16 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.73/2.05 for FK Košice.
How the model reaches 72% for Dunajska Streda to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Dunajska Streda to win. Then home advantage adds 8 points, Dunajska Streda's ratings take away 5 points and FK Košice's ratings add 33 points, which lands on the published 72%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage44%+8
- Dunajska Streda's ratings39%−5
- FK Košice's ratings72%+33
Each step adds one input to the step before. In another order the steps would differ in size; the end point would not.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Dunajska Streda at home · FK Košice away
League matches only, Super Liga, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Super Liga matches this season: Dunajska Streda 10, FK Košice 10.
Dunajska Streda score most often in the 61–75 minute window (8 goals); FK Košice have let in 5 there.
FK Košice score most often in the 31–45 minute window (6 goals); Dunajska Streda have let in 1 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 2 matches, by difficulty
Dunajska Streda
- vs Komárno21 Nov · Super Ligawin 72%
- at Podbrezová28 Nov · Super Ligawin 54%
FK Košice
- vs Skalica21 Nov · Super Ligawin 57%
- at Slovan Bratislava28 Nov · Super Ligawin 14%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.