Hansa Rostock
vs
Havelse
3. Liga prediction
Our model says: Hansa Rostock 2–1 Havelse
The model makes it 64% Hansa Rostock, 20% draw, 16% Havelse — fair odds of 1.56, 5.00 and 6.25.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (9%).
Expected goals: Hansa Rostock 2.53, Havelse 1.06.
Both teams to score: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 69%, under 2.5: 31%.
Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 61% of the time, over 2,130 settled matches.
Edge to Hansa Rostock: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 13 November 2026. Hansa Rostock's rating is built from 51 3. Liga matches and Havelse's from 51, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.
Key facts
- Hansa Rostock are 10th on 19 points from 13 games; Havelse are bottom on 10 points from 13 games — 3. Liga.
- Hansa Rostock have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 3-0 win at home to SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach.
- Havelse have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-3 defeat away to SV Wehen.
- Last 2 meetings: Hansa Rostock 1 win to 0, 1 draw; the most recent, 4 March 2026, ended Havelse 1–3 Hansa Rostock.
More 3. Liga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Hansa Rostock vs Havelse
Has the model earned this number?
Hansa Rostock at 64%: of 1,625 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.5% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Hansa Rostock vs Havelse
Hansa Rostock
3. Liga
- W3-0SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach7 November 2026
- L1-2away to SSV Jahn Regensburg31 October 2026
- D1-1Fortuna Düsseldorf24 October 2026
- L0-2away to Alemannia Aachen17 October 2026
- L0-2SV Meppen13 October 2026
Havelse
3. Liga
- L0-3away to SV Wehen7 November 2026
- D1-1FC Ingolstadt 0431 October 2026
- W3-2FC Saarbrücken25 October 2026
- D1-1away to SV Meppen18 October 2026
- D2-2Würzburger Kickers13 October 2026
What these results say
- Hansa Rostock failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Hansa Rostock conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Havelse conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Havelse failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Havelse scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
3. Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hansa Rostock | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 19 |
| 20 | Havelse | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Hansa Rostock vs Havelse
- 4 March 2026Havelse 1–3 Hansa Rostock3. Liga
- 27 September 2025Hansa Rostock 1–1 Havelse3. Liga
Leading scorers: Hansa Rostock and Havelse
Hansa Rostock
GoalsAssists
- A. Voglsammer41
Havelse
GoalsAssists
- K. Okyere Wriedt32
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Hansa Rostock a 2.3% chance of the title and Havelse 0%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Hansa Rostock the highest probability at 64%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.53 expected goals for Hansa Rostock against 1.06 for Havelse. Hansa Rostock's attack/defence rating is 0.61/1.79 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.49/2.55 for Havelse.
How the model reaches 64% for Hansa Rostock to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Hansa Rostock to win. Then home advantage adds 8 points, the level of the two sides adds 2 points, Hansa Rostock's ratings add 8 points and Havelse's ratings add 10 points, which lands on the published 64%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage44%+8
- Both sides at this match's level46%+2
- Hansa Rostock's ratings54%+8
- Havelse's ratings64%+10
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Hansa Rostock at home · Havelse away
League matches only, 3. Liga, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All 3. Liga matches this season: Hansa Rostock 13, Havelse 13.
Hansa Rostock score most often in the 46–60 minute window (7 goals); Havelse have let in 2 there.
Havelse score most often in the 0–15 minute window (4 goals); Hansa Rostock have let in 4 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Hansa Rostock
- at Fortuna Köln5 Dec · 3. Ligawin 40%
- vs Verl12 Dec · 3. Ligawin 50%
- vs Preußen Münster19 Dec · 3. Ligawin 56%
- at FC Ingolstadt 0416 Jan · 3. Ligawin 31%
Havelse
- at Alemannia Aachen5 Dec · 3. Ligawin 16%
- vs Hoffenheim II12 Dec · 3. Ligawin 36%
- at Verl19 Dec · 3. Ligawin 20%
- vs Fortuna Düsseldorf16 Jan · 3. Ligawin 35%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.