Alanyaspor
vs
Konyaspor
Süper Lig prediction
Our model says: Alanyaspor 1–0 Konyaspor
The model makes it 37% Alanyaspor, 32% draw, 31% Konyaspor — fair odds of 2.70, 3.13 and 3.23.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: Alanyaspor 1.11, Konyaspor 0.95.
Both teams to score: 42%. Over 2.5 goals: 34%, under 2.5: 66%.
Model confidence: Low — calls at this level have come off 38% of the time, over 1,308 settled matches.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 13 November 2026. Alanyaspor's rating is built from 45 Süper Lig matches and Konyaspor's from 45, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 747 matches.
Key facts
- Alanyaspor are 13th on 12 points from 11 games; Konyaspor are 15th on 8 points from 11 games — Süper Lig.
- Alanyaspor have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 0-2 defeat at home to Trabzonspor.
- Konyaspor have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-1 defeat away to Samsunspor.
- Last 6 meetings: Alanyaspor 5 wins to 0, 1 draw; the most recent, 14 February 2026, ended Alanyaspor 2–1 Konyaspor.
More Süper Lig predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Alanyaspor vs Konyaspor
Has the model earned this number?
Alanyaspor at 37%: of 4,766 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Alanyaspor vs Konyaspor
Alanyaspor
Süper Lig
- L0-2Trabzonspor8 November 2026
- L0-5away to Gençlerbirliği S.K.2 November 2026
- L1-2Kocaelispor23 October 2026
- L0-3away to Fenerbahçe17 October 2026
- D0-0Erzurumspor FK10 October 2026
Konyaspor
Süper Lig
- L0-1away to Samsunspor7 November 2026
- L0-4Galatasaray30 October 2026
- W2-0Gençlerbirliği S.K.25 October 2026
- L0-1away to Amed17 October 2026
- D0-0Başakşehir11 October 2026
What these results say
- Alanyaspor did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Alanyaspor failed to score in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Alanyaspor conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Konyaspor failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Konyaspor failed to score in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Konyaspor had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Süper Lig table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Alanyaspor | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 12 |
| 15 | Konyaspor | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Alanyaspor vs Konyaspor
- 14 February 2026Alanyaspor 2–1 KonyasporSüper Lig
- 13 September 2025Konyaspor 1–2 AlanyasporSüper Lig
- 25 May 2025Konyaspor 1–2 AlanyasporSüper Lig
- 3 January 2025Alanyaspor 2–1 KonyasporSüper Lig
- 20 April 2024Konyaspor 0–2 AlanyasporSüper Lig
- 2 December 2023Alanyaspor 2–2 KonyasporSüper Lig
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Alanyaspor the highest probability at 37%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.11 expected goals for Alanyaspor against 0.95 for Konyaspor. Alanyaspor's attack/defence rating is 0.62/1.29 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.56/1.08 for Konyaspor.
How the model reaches 37% for Alanyaspor to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 37% for Alanyaspor to win. Then home advantage adds 6 points, the level of the two sides takes away 4 points, Alanyaspor's ratings change nothing and Konyaspor's ratings take away 2 points, which lands on the published 37%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground37%
- Home advantage43%+6
- Both sides at this match's level39%−4
- Alanyaspor's ratings39%±0
- Konyaspor's ratings37%−2
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Alanyaspor at home · Konyaspor away
League matches only, Süper Lig, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Position by match
AlanyasporKonyaspor
Alanyaspor are 13th after 11 Süper Lig matches (between 3rd and 13th so far); Konyaspor are 15th after 11 (between 13th and 18th). How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Süper Lig matches this season: Alanyaspor 11, Konyaspor 11.
Alanyaspor score most often in the 61–75 minute window (4 goals); Konyaspor have let in 1 there.
Konyaspor score most often in the 0–15 minute window (2 goals); Alanyaspor have let in 1 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Alanyaspor
- at Amed5 Dec · Süper Ligwin 14%
- vs Samsunspor12 Dec · Süper Ligwin 43%
- at Galatasaray19 Dec · Süper Ligwin 10%
- vs Başakşehir17 Jan · Süper Ligwin 25%
Konyaspor
- vs Gaziantep FK5 Dec · Süper Ligwin 45%
- at Göztepe13 Dec · Süper Ligwin 22%
- vs Eyüpspor19 Dec · Süper Ligwin 54%
- at Çorum FK17 Jan · Süper Ligwin 25%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.